Packers Will Go 7-9 · PACKERSHOME

Rockmolder
Honored Member Topic Starter

15 years ago

Green Bay - One of my annual pre-training camp rituals is to venture to the bookstore to pick up the latest Pro Football Prospectus from the guys at FootballOutsiders.com.

Well, there have been some changes this year.

For one, it's now called the Football Outsiders Almanac: The Essential Guide to 2009 NFL and College Football Seasons.

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Rockmolder
Honored Member Topic Starter

15 years ago

That's quite a reality check on the Capers hiring. Of course I trust the man, but he's not the surefire great cordinator that will turn this team around. That might not've been a very realistic expectation, but you always hoe that that happens.

Love the little statistics at the end of the article as well. It once more shows that Lee is more of a red zone weapon than anything else. Apparently, there's a reason for the fact that McCarthy calls runs to the left the entire time (and maybe why Tauscher isn't resigned) and how important a blocking FB still is.

go.pack.go.
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I see where they are coming from but that is all just prediction.

dhazer
Veteran Member

15 years ago

That was a great read i enjoyed that. As far as 7-9 there is a few of us on here that have called from 7-9 to 9-7 as our predictions. We have a very very tough final month and 1/2 of the year, so we will see what we can get before that.

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

DGB454
Registered

15 years ago

"The Packers' projection is all over the place. We see them as having a 9% chance of winning 0-3 games, a 29% chance of winning 4-6, a 24% chance of getting 7-8 wins, a 24% chance of 9-10 wins, and a 14% chance of 11+ wins."

In other words. We are covering our a$$es and choosing the middle number because we have no idea.

warhawk
Senior Member

15 years ago

I say bull.

First of all I won't concede more than a split with the Vikes and Bears and a sweep of Detroit in the division.

That's two losses.

The four next most difficult games will be Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburg, and, Arizona. Let's just say that doesn't go well and we end up 1-3 there.

That totals five losses.

That means out of the remaining six games against the Bengals, Rams, 49'rs, Bucs, Browns and Seahawks we lose four of those? If we lose one of those I'll be pissed.

I would like to ask how they came up with a prediction for 11-5 in '07 and now 7-9 this year when there is no way this is not a better team and the schedule could not have been easier in '07 than what we have this season.

I would like to see proof that they actually predicted 11-5 in '07 and that wasn't just one of those 24% possible results scenario's.

"The train is leaving the station."

dhazer
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I say bull.

First of all I won't concede more than a split with the Vikes and Bears and a sweep of Detroit in the division.

That's two losses.

The four next most difficult games will be Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburg, and, Arizona. Let's just say that doesn't go well and we end up 1-3 there.

That totals five losses.

That means out of the remaining six games against the Bengals, Rams, 49'rs, Bucs, Browns and Seahawks we lose four of those? If we lose one of those I'll be pissed.

I would like to ask how they came up with a prediction for 11-5 in '07 and now 7-9 this year when there is no way this is not a better team and the schedule could not have been easier in '07 than what we have this season.

I would like to see proof that they actually predicted 11-5 in '07 and that wasn't just one of those 24% possible results scenario's.

"warhawk" wrote:

In the bolded part well i can see you being very mad then cuz i can see us possibly losing to the Browns, Bucs, and Bengals. The Browns can play when healthy look what they did to the Giants last year, The Bengals will have a healthy Palmer which makes them alot better and they have a very good defense, and the Bucs we lost to last year so whats so bad about them this year besides they will be wearing those awesome unis.

Remember also the Hawks will have Hasselbeck back at Qb, and the 49er's have a good running game (where we struggled).

And to top it all off i won't be surprised if we split with the Lions.

I'm not saying we will lose those games but it won't surprise me either.

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

porky88
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I could see it, but I also haven't been a huge fan of football outsiders. A lot of their stuff that I often read is ridiculous in my view such as Eric Moulds being the best receiver in the 98 season. He was great, but not the best and numbers just don't factor in everything that goes around.

7-9 though is something I could see though assuming everything goes poorly for the Packers like it did a year ago.

They do factor in injuries though. They're predicting injuries on offense and while they say that the Packers were healthy last year the fact is Rodgers and Grant were banged up for quite awhile. I wonder if they factor in toughness?

I think not.

http://www.row12.com/

Blank402
Registered

15 years ago

It looks like FO usually under or overestimates by a few games. Let's hope this year they're underestimating us.

One thing I did notice was that part of their prediction is that we'll suffer more injuries on offense this year. Hopefully, that's not true, but if it is I'm much more confident about our offensive depth (except at QB) than I am our defensive depth.

blank

Zero2Cool
Elite Member

15 years ago

#10

Sweet! So that means we're going to be the first team to win a Super Bowl with a sub .500 record.

I'm down with that.

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Mucky Tundra (2h) : @AaronNagler · 2m Both Jordan Love and Malik Willis were Limited participants at Packers practice today.

Zero2Cool (4h) : Johnson didn't make it until 2020. Ring 2023. 🤷 Personally, he should have been in years prior to Hall.

Zero2Cool (4h) : HUMP DAY

beast (5h) : Guys that have a good shot at making the NFL Hall of Fame usually get into their teams pretty fast

beast (5h) : Yeah, but is Kampman and the others in the NFL Hall of Fame?

Zero2Cool (5h) : Johnson was Hall of Fame, 2020. Should haev been in Ring a year later, not three years.

Zero2Cool (5h) : I could be wrong there though

Zero2Cool (5h) : Guys like Kampman, Tim Harris, Al Harris, etc all over 15 years. Hall of Fame is 5 year wait

Zero2Cool (5h) : I guess I see players in Packers Hall come way later

beast (5h) : Yeah, usually teams hall of fames are a much lower bar than the NFL

Zero2Cool (5h) : is it uncommon for Hall before Ring?

Zero2Cool (5h) : S Xavier McKinney named first-team All-Pro by NFLPA

beast (7h) : I missed it, sorry, but he got into the NFL Hall of Fame years before that

Zero2Cool (7h) : Jones took his sweet ole time!

Zero2Cool (7h) : Yeah, he's in the ring of honor, just saw video and his name is up there

Zero2Cool (7h) : Didn't they have a thing in 2023 for Jimmy's ring of honor? I swear I saw it

beast (7h) : Though if they're legitimately trying to re-sign MM, then it makes sense.

beast (7h) : Jerry Jones still hasn't put Jimmy Johnson in the Ring of Honor, but he's in the NFL's Hall of Fame, Jones is petty

Mucky Tundra (19h) : Unless the Cowboys are planning an extension, seems kinda petty

beast (21h) : Cowboys denied Bears request

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : From what I'm reading, MM is under contract through the 14th of January; after that he's free game

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : McCarthy let go or not extended??

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Chicago Bears have asked the Dallas Cowboys permission to interview Mike McCarthy for head coaching vacancy

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : The winners page that is

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I was not hoping for that. It messes up the page lol

beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.

beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats beast on 2024 !

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats porky on winning 2023 pick'em! (oops sorry)

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Packers have $60M+ of 2025 cap space on paper TODAY.

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Missed FG into a Lions TD; that'll do pig, that'll do

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : That might be it for the Vikings

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Oh so the refs do know what intentional grounding is

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : what the hell was that Goff?! Not much pressure and he just air mails it to Harrison

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : They really need to to get rid of the auto first down for illegal contact

Martha Careful (6-Jan) : watching the Vikings and Lions it's understandable why they swept the Packers. So much better product

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Even when GB got pressure he was throwing darts; vs no pressure on that last pass he just air mails an open guy

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : didn't have guys in his face ... pressure makes difference

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Where was this Darnold vs GB?

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : BALL DON'T LIE

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : how was that not a safety? Goff throws it at an offensive lineman

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero, I thought that was a given! ;)

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero I looked through earlier and noticed the same thing. Bonkers year. I just wonder if beast put any money on games

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I'm hoping for BLOODBATH. Pummel one another.

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 8 people in pick'em would have won any year with their total lol

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : I'm rooting for the Lions to lose.

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : God help me but I'm rooting for the Vikings to...Vikings to...Christ I can't say it

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 4 td for Rodgers

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Chiefs got shutout

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