Packers Will Go 7-9 · PACKERSHOME

Rockmolder
Honored Member Topic Starter

15 years ago

Green Bay - One of my annual pre-training camp rituals is to venture to the bookstore to pick up the latest Pro Football Prospectus from the guys at FootballOutsiders.com.

Well, there have been some changes this year.

For one, it's now called the Football Outsiders Almanac: The Essential Guide to 2009 NFL and College Football Seasons.

Wanna join the discussion?! Login to your PACKERSHOME forum account or Register a new forum account

Rockmolder
Honored Member Topic Starter

15 years ago

That's quite a reality check on the Capers hiring. Of course I trust the man, but he's not the surefire great cordinator that will turn this team around. That might not've been a very realistic expectation, but you always hoe that that happens.

Love the little statistics at the end of the article as well. It once more shows that Lee is more of a red zone weapon than anything else. Apparently, there's a reason for the fact that McCarthy calls runs to the left the entire time (and maybe why Tauscher isn't resigned) and how important a blocking FB still is.

go.pack.go.
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I see where they are coming from but that is all just prediction.

dhazer
Veteran Member

15 years ago

That was a great read i enjoyed that. As far as 7-9 there is a few of us on here that have called from 7-9 to 9-7 as our predictions. We have a very very tough final month and 1/2 of the year, so we will see what we can get before that.

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

DGB454
Registered

15 years ago

"The Packers' projection is all over the place. We see them as having a 9% chance of winning 0-3 games, a 29% chance of winning 4-6, a 24% chance of getting 7-8 wins, a 24% chance of 9-10 wins, and a 14% chance of 11+ wins."

In other words. We are covering our a$$es and choosing the middle number because we have no idea.

warhawk
Senior Member

15 years ago

I say bull.

First of all I won't concede more than a split with the Vikes and Bears and a sweep of Detroit in the division.

That's two losses.

The four next most difficult games will be Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburg, and, Arizona. Let's just say that doesn't go well and we end up 1-3 there.

That totals five losses.

That means out of the remaining six games against the Bengals, Rams, 49'rs, Bucs, Browns and Seahawks we lose four of those? If we lose one of those I'll be pissed.

I would like to ask how they came up with a prediction for 11-5 in '07 and now 7-9 this year when there is no way this is not a better team and the schedule could not have been easier in '07 than what we have this season.

I would like to see proof that they actually predicted 11-5 in '07 and that wasn't just one of those 24% possible results scenario's.

"The train is leaving the station."

dhazer
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I say bull.

First of all I won't concede more than a split with the Vikes and Bears and a sweep of Detroit in the division.

That's two losses.

The four next most difficult games will be Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburg, and, Arizona. Let's just say that doesn't go well and we end up 1-3 there.

That totals five losses.

That means out of the remaining six games against the Bengals, Rams, 49'rs, Bucs, Browns and Seahawks we lose four of those? If we lose one of those I'll be pissed.

I would like to ask how they came up with a prediction for 11-5 in '07 and now 7-9 this year when there is no way this is not a better team and the schedule could not have been easier in '07 than what we have this season.

I would like to see proof that they actually predicted 11-5 in '07 and that wasn't just one of those 24% possible results scenario's.

"warhawk" wrote:

In the bolded part well i can see you being very mad then cuz i can see us possibly losing to the Browns, Bucs, and Bengals. The Browns can play when healthy look what they did to the Giants last year, The Bengals will have a healthy Palmer which makes them alot better and they have a very good defense, and the Bucs we lost to last year so whats so bad about them this year besides they will be wearing those awesome unis.

Remember also the Hawks will have Hasselbeck back at Qb, and the 49er's have a good running game (where we struggled).

And to top it all off i won't be surprised if we split with the Lions.

I'm not saying we will lose those games but it won't surprise me either.

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

porky88
Veteran Member

15 years ago

I could see it, but I also haven't been a huge fan of football outsiders. A lot of their stuff that I often read is ridiculous in my view such as Eric Moulds being the best receiver in the 98 season. He was great, but not the best and numbers just don't factor in everything that goes around.

7-9 though is something I could see though assuming everything goes poorly for the Packers like it did a year ago.

They do factor in injuries though. They're predicting injuries on offense and while they say that the Packers were healthy last year the fact is Rodgers and Grant were banged up for quite awhile. I wonder if they factor in toughness?

I think not.

http://www.row12.com/

Blank402
Registered

15 years ago

It looks like FO usually under or overestimates by a few games. Let's hope this year they're underestimating us.

One thing I did notice was that part of their prediction is that we'll suffer more injuries on offense this year. Hopefully, that's not true, but if it is I'm much more confident about our offensive depth (except at QB) than I am our defensive depth.

blank

Zero2Cool
Elite Member

15 years ago

#10

Sweet! So that means we're going to be the first team to win a Super Bowl with a sub .500 record.

I'm down with that.

Important Information:

The PACKERSHOME uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. More Details Close

Fan Shout

Zero2Cool (47m) : NFL thought it would get more attention week preceding Super Bowl.

Zero2Cool (48m) : Yes, the Pro Bowl. It was played Sunday before Super Bowl from 2010-2022

packerfanoutwest (48m) : pro bowl

Zero2Cool (52m) : From 2010 to 2022, it was played on the Sunday before the Super Bowl

Zero2Cool (53m) : They moved it to the BYE week before Super Bowl several years ago.

packerfanoutwest (58m) : it was always after the SB.....

beast (10h) : Though I stop following pro bowl years ago

beast (10h) : I thought the pro game was before the Super Bowl?

packerfanoutwest (11h) : ok now for the Pro Bowl Game in Hawaii

TheKanataThrilla (12h) : If I was Philly I would try to end it instead of punting it

Mucky Tundra (12h) : VICTORY! We have (moral) victory!

TheKanataThrilla (12h) : Hey they mentioned that we 3-peted

Mucky Tundra (12h) : seems to me the 49ers should have traded Aiyuk when they had the chance

Mucky Tundra (12h) : if the Eagles get it down to the 1, do they Tush Push or give it to Barkley?

TheKanataThrilla (12h) : 49ers have a money problem if they want to sign their QB

Mucky Tundra (12h) : Wait for real? Didn't he just get an extension two years ago?

Zero2Cool (12h) : 49ers gonna trade Deebo. Interesting

TheKanataThrilla (12h) : Replays always never seem to show the holdings

TheKanataThrilla (12h) : Great throw by Hurts

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Where Carter falls prey to bad off the field influences (to be clear, not saying he'd clip someone though)

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Had Carter not gone to Philly were they already had a lot of old college friends, he ends up in a similar spot to Aaron Hernandez

Mucky Tundra (13h) : I think some of his coaches told scouts to stay away

Mucky Tundra (13h) : the street racing incident+conditioning and motivation problems

beast (13h) : Then Carter was street racing, where the other car crashed and people died... and other teams were scared to pick Carter for some reason

beast (13h) : I think the Saints traded up, giving their next year 1st to the Eagles, and then they sucked and Eagles got the 10th overall pick

packerfanoutwest (13h) : wtf Barkley?

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : Getting Carter and Nolan Smith in the first round in 2023 was pretty darn good

Mucky Tundra (13h) : for some reason i'm thinking of a draft where the Eagles where in the mid 20s and a top player fell all the way to them

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : I think so. I would need to look it up. Think it may have been Carolina's pick.

Mucky Tundra (13h) : i'm not sure who i'm thinking of now

Mucky Tundra (13h) : oh fuck me i messed that up

Zero2Cool (13h) : Jordan Davis was 13th overall

Zero2Cool (13h) : Carter was 9th overall

Zero2Cool (13h) : Eagles had 15th and 10th selections, moved to 13 and 9 to get Davis and Carter back to back

Zero2Cool (13h) : Eagles traded up for Carter, didn't they?

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Obviously he was a huge risk but getting a top 5 talent on the dline in the mid 20s is fortuitous

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Jalen Carter falling into their lap certainly helps

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : And we could only wish to have this type of D

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : It's not like Philly has had low draft picks, but has managed to get themselves a top notch pass rush. We spend so much draft capital of D

packerfanoutwest (13h) : another crap halftime show

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : I think it is over, but then I think of Atlanta and want Philly to go in with the same intensity in the second half

Mucky Tundra (13h) : And with a Pass Rush that might as well be on a milk cartoon and no Jaire

Martha Careful (13h) : I cant help but feel good about how well the Packers D played in Philly during the playoffs

Mucky Tundra (14h) : this game is over

Mucky Tundra (14h) : This might be the kill shot here

Mucky Tundra (14h) : oh that's such a bad penalty for KC after getting the 3rd down stop

TheKanataThrilla (14h) : Philly DL has come to play

TheKanataThrilla (14h) : Ceoper DeJean with the INT scored...bad memories of draft night

Mucky Tundra (14h) : ok scratch that

Mucky Tundra (14h) : Game feels like last years Super Bowl: 49ers started off in control, moved the ball well but didn't have much of a lead to show for it

Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

34 - 0

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM

Vikings

25 - 27

Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS

22 - 24

Sunday, Jan 12 @ 3:30 PM

Eagles

10 - 22