CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago
First let's look at the projected NFC North winner, the Green Bay Packers

Bet Vegas Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Football locks Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Bet US Packers -3 over/under 48

Note: 6 of last seven games between the Packers and Eagles have gone under.
5 of last 6 have gone under when Green Bay plays at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is 7-3 in last 10 September games. Eagles 5-5 in last 10 September games.

Although things point to the under, bet the Packers to cover the spread.


Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43
Football Locks Bears -6 over/under is 43
Bet US Bears -6 over/under is 43

Bears have gone under 6 of last 8 games. Total has gone under on 4 of last 6 Lions road games.
The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games of Detroit in Chicago.
Detroit is 0-10 in last 10 games on grass. 0-10 in last 10 divisional games
Bears are 5-5 in last 10 on grass. 5-5 in last 10 divisional games.

Bet the Bears to cover the spread.


scumbag purple at Saints

Bet Vegas Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Football Locks Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Bet US Saints -4.5 over/under 49

The scumbag purple are 4-6 most recently in September, 6-4 in last 10 outside the division.
The Saints are 5-5 most recently in September, 9-1 in last 10 outside the division.

The last 5 meetings between the two have gone over. 4 of 5 between the two in New Orleans have gone over.

Bet the over.
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beast
14 years ago
Alright I don't understand all the betting stuff... like

"Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43"

is the 43 total points? ...


To be honest I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears/Lions game was a defensive one as both of them have pretty good DLs (after all the FA help) while pretty questionable OLs.

And I wouldn't be surprised to see the Lions to win against the Bears because they have Mike Martz 7 step drop system with a poor pass blocking OL which may not give him the time to throw.
UserPostedImage
nerdmann
14 years ago
How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago

How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?

"nerdmann" wrote:



http://www.packershome.com/ForumsPro/viewtopic/t=9773.html 
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Since69
14 years ago
Best advice I could give for betting in week 1 is "Don't". Talk about a crapshoot...
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
It is quite possible that the Lions will be in sole possession of first place in the NFC North after week 1.

Though I think this thread belongs more in the NFC North section than here.
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Dulak
14 years ago
we should have a betting thread in the banter forums ... assuming I find work and am still in the UK I will be betting on all the weeks this season again (same as last season).

last season I spent alot of time doing my own indepth analysis of teams/games etc ...

I did a parley bet and I took 4 out of 6 to win ...
took CLE over TB, DEN over JAC, ATL over PIT, DET over CHI, GB over PHI, BAL over NYJ

I think the spread with GB is -3 and the spread with ATL is -2.5
basically how it works with the parley usually is if I get 4/6 right I make even money and if I make 5/6 I make 4-5x as much and if I get 6 right I make 20x my bet.

I dont have much disposible income atm so keping my bets short and sweet.
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packerfanoutwest (8h) : Jaire Alexander says he has a torn PCL
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Even with the context it's ... what?
Mucky Tundra (20-Nov) : Matt LaFleur without context: “I don’t wanna pat you on the butt and you poop in my hand.”
beast (20-Nov) : We brought in a former Packers OL coach to help evaluate OL as a scout
beast (20-Nov) : Jets have been pretty good at picking DL
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He landed good players thanks to high draft slot. He isn't good.
Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He can shove his knowledge up his ass. He knows nothing.
beast (20-Nov) : More knowledge, just like bring in the Jets head coach
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : What? Why? Huh?
beast (19-Nov) : I wonder if the Packers might to try to bring Douglas in through Milt Hendrickson/Ravens connections
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : The Jets fired Joe Douglas, per sources
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Jets are a mess......
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Pretty sure Jets fired their scouting staff and just pluck former Packers.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Jets sign Anders Carlson to their 53.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : When you cycle the weeks, the total over remains for season. But you get your W/L for that selected week. Confusing.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the totals are accurate..nrvrtmind
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : I don't follow what you are saying. The totals are not the same as last week.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : ok so then wht are the totals the same as last week?
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : NFL Pick'em is auto updated when NFL Scores tab is clicked
Martha Careful (19-Nov) : The offense was OK. Let's not forget the Bear defense is very very good.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Who updates the leaderboard on NFLPickem?
beast (19-Nov) : Has the Packers offense been worse since the former Jets coach joined the Packers?
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Offense gets his ass in gear, this could be good.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Backup QB helped with three wins. Special Teams contributed to three wins.
bboystyle (18-Nov) : Lions played outside thats why. They scored 16 and 17 in the only 2 outside games this year
Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : The rest of the NFL is catching up to Packers ... kicking is an issue throughout league
packerfanoutwest (18-Nov) : Packers DL Kenny Clark: We knew 'we were going to block' Bears' game-winning field goal attempt
Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Lions seem to be throttling everyone, but only (only) got 24 lol maybe the rain is why
Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Packers vs Lions game doesn't seem so bad.
beast (18-Nov) : Dennis Green "They are what we thought they were, and we let them off the hook!"
Martha Careful (17-Nov) : comment of the day Z2Cool "Bears better than we want to admit. Packers worse than we think. It's facts."
Mucky Tundra (17-Nov) : my worst case scenario: Bears fix their oline and get a coach like Johnson from the Lions and his scheme
Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Bears get OL fixed amd we might have a problem
buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Pretty sure they already have scouting reports on guys who aren't even starting for their college team. The future is now for me.
buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : I tend to let Gute and Co. Worry about the future.
beast (17-Nov) : That's great news and Packers need to keep upgrading their OL, DL and DBs this off-season, so missing one guy doesn't kill them
beast (17-Nov) : That's great news and Packers need to keep upgrading their OL, DL and DBs this off-season, so missing one guy doesn't kill them
buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Jaire and Evans Williams are both ACTIVE! Good news.
Martha Careful (17-Nov) : The badgers really need to change the whole offensive scheme. No draws no screens plus the quarterback is marginal
Cheesey (17-Nov) : If the Badgers had a decent QB, they would have won. The guy can't hit a wide open receiver
Martha Careful (17-Nov) : chop block
Martha Careful (17-Nov) : there was a very questionable job Block call that upon viewing replay was very borderline
beast (17-Nov) : How so? (I didn't watch)
Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Badgers got hosed vs Oregon
packerfanoutwest (16-Nov) : damn,he hasn't played since week 2
Mucky Tundra (15-Nov) : poor guy can't catch a break
wpr (15-Nov) : wow. That three different things for the kid.
Zero2Cool (15-Nov) : MarShawn Lloyd has appendicitis according to Matt LaFleur.
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