CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago
First let's look at the projected NFC North winner, the Green Bay Packers

Bet Vegas Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Football locks Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Bet US Packers -3 over/under 48

Note: 6 of last seven games between the Packers and Eagles have gone under.
5 of last 6 have gone under when Green Bay plays at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is 7-3 in last 10 September games. Eagles 5-5 in last 10 September games.

Although things point to the under, bet the Packers to cover the spread.


Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43
Football Locks Bears -6 over/under is 43
Bet US Bears -6 over/under is 43

Bears have gone under 6 of last 8 games. Total has gone under on 4 of last 6 Lions road games.
The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games of Detroit in Chicago.
Detroit is 0-10 in last 10 games on grass. 0-10 in last 10 divisional games
Bears are 5-5 in last 10 on grass. 5-5 in last 10 divisional games.

Bet the Bears to cover the spread.


scumbag purple at Saints

Bet Vegas Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Football Locks Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Bet US Saints -4.5 over/under 49

The scumbag purple are 4-6 most recently in September, 6-4 in last 10 outside the division.
The Saints are 5-5 most recently in September, 9-1 in last 10 outside the division.

The last 5 meetings between the two have gone over. 4 of 5 between the two in New Orleans have gone over.

Bet the over.
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beast
14 years ago
Alright I don't understand all the betting stuff... like

"Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43"

is the 43 total points? ...


To be honest I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears/Lions game was a defensive one as both of them have pretty good DLs (after all the FA help) while pretty questionable OLs.

And I wouldn't be surprised to see the Lions to win against the Bears because they have Mike Martz 7 step drop system with a poor pass blocking OL which may not give him the time to throw.
UserPostedImage
nerdmann
14 years ago
How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago

How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?

"nerdmann" wrote:



http://www.packershome.com/ForumsPro/viewtopic/t=9773.html 
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Since69
14 years ago
Best advice I could give for betting in week 1 is "Don't". Talk about a crapshoot...
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
It is quite possible that the Lions will be in sole possession of first place in the NFC North after week 1.

Though I think this thread belongs more in the NFC North section than here.
UserPostedImage
Dulak
14 years ago
we should have a betting thread in the banter forums ... assuming I find work and am still in the UK I will be betting on all the weeks this season again (same as last season).

last season I spent alot of time doing my own indepth analysis of teams/games etc ...

I did a parley bet and I took 4 out of 6 to win ...
took CLE over TB, DEN over JAC, ATL over PIT, DET over CHI, GB over PHI, BAL over NYJ

I think the spread with GB is -3 and the spread with ATL is -2.5
basically how it works with the parley usually is if I get 4/6 right I make even money and if I make 5/6 I make 4-5x as much and if I get 6 right I make 20x my bet.

I dont have much disposible income atm so keping my bets short and sweet.
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beast (22h) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
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Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Packers are 6th in sacks.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : RB David Montgomery will undergo season-ending knee surgery.
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Dan Campbell on onside kick with 12 minutes left: In hindsight, wish I didn’t do that
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : They have that whole 12th man thing so ...
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Of the times we've played there, I just can't recall hearing our fans.
wpr (16-Dec) : Well done jdlax. Well done.
wpr (16-Dec) : I think more likely to be Pack fans that live in the area.
wpr (16-Dec) : Pack fans represent. I pointed it out early in the game to my wife. Announcers said Packers travel well.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : That was crazy to hear go pack go in Seattle of all plays. That 12 man thing an all
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : jdlax, good man!
jdlax (16-Dec) : Mucky, there were too many of us there to credit any single one but for sure i was 60% responsible.
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