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CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago
First let's look at the projected NFC North winner, the Green Bay Packers

Bet Vegas Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Football locks Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Bet US Packers -3 over/under 48

Note: 6 of last seven games between the Packers and Eagles have gone under.
5 of last 6 have gone under when Green Bay plays at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is 7-3 in last 10 September games. Eagles 5-5 in last 10 September games.

Although things point to the under, bet the Packers to cover the spread.


Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43
Football Locks Bears -6 over/under is 43
Bet US Bears -6 over/under is 43

Bears have gone under 6 of last 8 games. Total has gone under on 4 of last 6 Lions road games.
The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games of Detroit in Chicago.
Detroit is 0-10 in last 10 games on grass. 0-10 in last 10 divisional games
Bears are 5-5 in last 10 on grass. 5-5 in last 10 divisional games.

Bet the Bears to cover the spread.


scumbag purple at Saints

Bet Vegas Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Football Locks Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Bet US Saints -4.5 over/under 49

The scumbag purple are 4-6 most recently in September, 6-4 in last 10 outside the division.
The Saints are 5-5 most recently in September, 9-1 in last 10 outside the division.

The last 5 meetings between the two have gone over. 4 of 5 between the two in New Orleans have gone over.

Bet the over.
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beast
14 years ago
Alright I don't understand all the betting stuff... like

"Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43"

is the 43 total points? ...


To be honest I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears/Lions game was a defensive one as both of them have pretty good DLs (after all the FA help) while pretty questionable OLs.

And I wouldn't be surprised to see the Lions to win against the Bears because they have Mike Martz 7 step drop system with a poor pass blocking OL which may not give him the time to throw.
nerdmann
14 years ago
How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago

How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?

"nerdmann" wrote:



http://www.packershome.com/ForumsPro/viewtopic/t=9773.html 
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Since69
14 years ago
Best advice I could give for betting in week 1 is "Don't". Talk about a crapshoot...
Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
It is quite possible that the Lions will be in sole possession of first place in the NFC North after week 1.

Though I think this thread belongs more in the NFC North section than here.
Dulak
14 years ago
we should have a betting thread in the banter forums ... assuming I find work and am still in the UK I will be betting on all the weeks this season again (same as last season).

last season I spent alot of time doing my own indepth analysis of teams/games etc ...

I did a parley bet and I took 4 out of 6 to win ...
took CLE over TB, DEN over JAC, ATL over PIT, DET over CHI, GB over PHI, BAL over NYJ

I think the spread with GB is -3 and the spread with ATL is -2.5
basically how it works with the parley usually is if I get 4/6 right I make even money and if I make 5/6 I make 4-5x as much and if I get 6 right I make 20x my bet.

I dont have much disposible income atm so keping my bets short and sweet.
Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (21h) : Packers placed Marshawn Lloyd on reserve non-football illness list
Zero2Cool (3-Jan) : Luke Getsy been helping Packers defense. He's former OC Bears/Raiders and our old QB coach
beast (2-Jan) : Thanks dfosterf, I'm still kicking myself for last week, as I forgot to change to pick Vikings and Lions... after putting in a holding spot.
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : First alternate: Elgton Jenkins Other alternates: Jordan Love, Kenny Clark, Keisean Nixon, Tucker Kraft, Josh Myers, Jaire Alexander
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Pro Bowl still a thing? Guess Packers have three. Jacobs, Gary, McKinney.
dfosterf (2-Jan) : It's a mine field with all the players sitting, etc
dfosterf (2-Jan) : There was quite a bit of "chalk" matchups this year it seemed, but not this week coming up
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Or we got better and by we I mean everyone except me
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : We have about six that by percent would have won nearly any season. I guess 2024 was predictable 🤷
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You can check previous seasons. I quick did it and don't think anyone hit 70% before
dfosterf (2-Jan) : Hats off to the Beast
dfosterf (2-Jan) : I'm at 71.76% in pick 'em. 2nd place. Beast is at a flat 75% 9 games ahead. That 75% has got to be unprecedented this late in the season
beast (2-Jan) : I don't care deeply, just want some good entertaining games
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : BTW, not serious.
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You don't care about it either!!!!
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : NIL and Portal killed college, no one cares about it.
Mucky Tundra (2-Jan) : outside of Texas-Arizona St, it's been a snoozefest
beast (2-Jan) : I expect Georgia will change that tomorrow, but we'll have to wait and see. If they do, then only Big 10 and SEC are left.
beast (2-Jan) : So much for Conference Championship meaning something as 100% (so far) of the conference Champions lost their first playoff game.
Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Jaire had surgery, season over.
Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : I guess I need a new sig Pic. Boo
Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : Eric Dickerson approves of this decision
beast (1-Jan) : Eagles are resting RB Saquon Barkley, so there is no chance he breaks the record despite being just 101 yards from it
Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Patriots are waiving veteran pass rusher Yannick Ngakoue
beast (1-Jan) : Happy New Year's 🥳🎉
beast (31-Dec) : I want to them chant some songs for Daniel Whelan
beast (31-Dec) : Let's win one! Also, hopefully the Irish will stand with Daniel Whelan
Mucky Tundra (31-Dec) : After London and Brazil, I could go without an overseas game for a while
Zero2Cool (31-Dec) : Packers. Steelers. Ireland. 2025. Reports say.
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Matt Lafleur on if Jaire will play again this season. "Yeah I don't know... he's been dealing with swelling."
Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : After the way they played for most of the game yesterday, I don't see how you can sit anyone for the whole game
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : I'd say play everyone. Going into playoffs at 7th seed on two game lose streak - yucky
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Do the Packers have any best players?
beast (30-Dec) : Play or Rest*
beast (30-Dec) : Should the Packers play or free their best players vs the Bears?
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Packers should be 3 - 2 in the Division. Bonkers being swept by both Lions and Vikings. yikes
go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : All crazy stuff…and good point beast
beast (30-Dec) : Packers should be 0-5 in the division, can't say I saw that coming, even 1-4
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Sam Darnold 35 TD's ... another one
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Baker Mayfield, 39 TD's ... can't say I saw that one
Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : No matter who is playing as 7th, I think we want them to win. Get rid of 2nd seed haha
go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : That would be dhazer who was rooting for Minnesota
beast (30-Dec) : Well, Commanders are currently the 6th seed and Packers the 7th
beast (30-Dec) : Who was it in Chat, that wanted the Vikings to win (because Lions fans upset them) because Packers could not lose the 6th seed?
beast (30-Dec) : If Falcons win, Packers stay as the 6th seed and Falcons lead the NFCS, if they lose, Commanders 6th and Bucs take NFCS lead
beast (30-Dec) : Win or Loss, the NFCS is going down to week 18
Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : if the Falcons win, how does that affect the overall NFC playoff picture? Does it mean that the NFC South comes down to week 18?
beast (30-Dec) : If Commanders win, the Packers drop to the 7th seed
beast (29-Dec) : Taylor still at it!
beast (29-Dec) : Colts get the ball and fumble turn over
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