CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago
First let's look at the projected NFC North winner, the Green Bay Packers

Bet Vegas Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Football locks Packers -3 over/under 47.5
Bet US Packers -3 over/under 48

Note: 6 of last seven games between the Packers and Eagles have gone under.
5 of last 6 have gone under when Green Bay plays at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is 7-3 in last 10 September games. Eagles 5-5 in last 10 September games.

Although things point to the under, bet the Packers to cover the spread.


Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43
Football Locks Bears -6 over/under is 43
Bet US Bears -6 over/under is 43

Bears have gone under 6 of last 8 games. Total has gone under on 4 of last 6 Lions road games.
The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games of Detroit in Chicago.
Detroit is 0-10 in last 10 games on grass. 0-10 in last 10 divisional games
Bears are 5-5 in last 10 on grass. 5-5 in last 10 divisional games.

Bet the Bears to cover the spread.


scumbag purple at Saints

Bet Vegas Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Football Locks Saints -4.5 over/under 49
Bet US Saints -4.5 over/under 49

The scumbag purple are 4-6 most recently in September, 6-4 in last 10 outside the division.
The Saints are 5-5 most recently in September, 9-1 in last 10 outside the division.

The last 5 meetings between the two have gone over. 4 of 5 between the two in New Orleans have gone over.

Bet the over.
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beast
14 years ago
Alright I don't understand all the betting stuff... like

"Bet Vegas Bears -6 over/under is 43"

is the 43 total points? ...


To be honest I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears/Lions game was a defensive one as both of them have pretty good DLs (after all the FA help) while pretty questionable OLs.

And I wouldn't be surprised to see the Lions to win against the Bears because they have Mike Martz 7 step drop system with a poor pass blocking OL which may not give him the time to throw.
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nerdmann
14 years ago
How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?
“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”
CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago

How do the Eagles look this year? They got any glaring strengths and weaknesses?

"nerdmann" wrote:



http://www.packershome.com/ForumsPro/viewtopic/t=9773.html 
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Since69
14 years ago
Best advice I could give for betting in week 1 is "Don't". Talk about a crapshoot...
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
It is quite possible that the Lions will be in sole possession of first place in the NFC North after week 1.

Though I think this thread belongs more in the NFC North section than here.
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Dulak
14 years ago
we should have a betting thread in the banter forums ... assuming I find work and am still in the UK I will be betting on all the weeks this season again (same as last season).

last season I spent alot of time doing my own indepth analysis of teams/games etc ...

I did a parley bet and I took 4 out of 6 to win ...
took CLE over TB, DEN over JAC, ATL over PIT, DET over CHI, GB over PHI, BAL over NYJ

I think the spread with GB is -3 and the spread with ATL is -2.5
basically how it works with the parley usually is if I get 4/6 right I make even money and if I make 5/6 I make 4-5x as much and if I get 6 right I make 20x my bet.

I dont have much disposible income atm so keping my bets short and sweet.
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beast (3h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (3h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (3h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3
Zero2Cool (3h) : congrats beast on 2024 !
Zero2Cool (3h) : congrats porky on winning 2023 pick'em! (oops sorry)
Zero2Cool (4h) : Packers have $60M+ of 2025 cap space on paper TODAY.
Mucky Tundra (14h) : Missed FG into a Lions TD; that'll do pig, that'll do
Mucky Tundra (15h) : That might be it for the Vikings
Mucky Tundra (15h) : Oh so the refs do know what intentional grounding is
Mucky Tundra (15h) : what the hell was that Goff?! Not much pressure and he just air mails it to Harrison
Mucky Tundra (15h) : They really need to to get rid of the auto first down for illegal contact
Martha Careful (16h) : watching the Vikings and Lions it's understandable why they swept the Packers. So much better product
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Even when GB got pressure he was throwing darts; vs no pressure on that last pass he just air mails an open guy
Zero2Cool (16h) : didn't have guys in his face ... pressure makes difference
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Where was this Darnold vs GB?
Mucky Tundra (16h) : BALL DON'T LIE
Mucky Tundra (16h) : how was that not a safety? Goff throws it at an offensive lineman
Mucky Tundra (17h) : Zero, I thought that was a given! ;)
Mucky Tundra (17h) : Zero I looked through earlier and noticed the same thing. Bonkers year. I just wonder if beast put any money on games
Zero2Cool (17h) : I'm hoping for BLOODBATH. Pummel one another.
Zero2Cool (17h) : 8 people in pick'em would have won any year with their total lol
Mucky Tundra (17h) : I'm rooting for the Lions to lose.
Mucky Tundra (17h) : God help me but I'm rooting for the Vikings to...Vikings to...Christ I can't say it
Zero2Cool (18h) : 4 td for Rodgers
Zero2Cool (18h) : Chiefs got shutout
Zero2Cool (18h) : Rodgers passes for 3rd TD. might be last game of an amazing career
Mucky Tundra (19h) : "The best laid plans of mice and men often go awry."
Zero2Cool (20h) : Owner ... love it
Zero2Cool (20h) : Mayo was the guy they groomed for HC and one of the reasons they let Bill go.
Mucky Tundra (20h) : Pats have the #4 pick, lots of cap space and Maye at QB; should fetch some attention
Mucky Tundra (20h) : Well that didn't take long; Jerod Mayo out as Patriots HC
Zero2Cool (20h) : I would expect it to be higher in favor of Eagles
Mucky Tundra (21h) : Thst line seems...generous
Zero2Cool (21h) : Eagles -3.5 over Packers in Wildcard Round
Mucky Tundra (21h) : Did it though? Pokes beat the Commanders on the road with Cooper Rush previously
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : That gives them their best chance
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Cowboys starting Trey Lance at QB vs Commanders; GB vs Philly in the Wild Card incoming!
Mucky Tundra (4-Jan) : Stinks for Lloyd. Hoping he comes back strong for next year
Zero2Cool (3-Jan) : Packers placed Marshawn Lloyd on reserve non-football illness list
Zero2Cool (3-Jan) : Luke Getsy been helping Packers defense. He's former OC Bears/Raiders and our old QB coach
beast (2-Jan) : Thanks dfosterf, I'm still kicking myself for last week, as I forgot to change to pick Vikings and Lions... after putting in a holding spot.
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : First alternate: Elgton Jenkins Other alternates: Jordan Love, Kenny Clark, Keisean Nixon, Tucker Kraft, Josh Myers, Jaire Alexander
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Pro Bowl still a thing? Guess Packers have three. Jacobs, Gary, McKinney.
dfosterf (2-Jan) : It's a mine field with all the players sitting, etc
dfosterf (2-Jan) : There was quite a bit of "chalk" matchups this year it seemed, but not this week coming up
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Or we got better and by we I mean everyone except me
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : We have about six that by percent would have won nearly any season. I guess 2024 was predictable 🤷
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You can check previous seasons. I quick did it and don't think anyone hit 70% before
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