CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago
Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.
That is a teams passer rating less its opponents passer rating.


Now that we have a good sample of data after week 6, I thought I would check it out.


Team, Passer rating differential, record
1) Packers 38.1 (6-0)
2) Lions 22.0 (5-1)
3) Jets 20.2 (3-3) *(mia,ne,jac)
4) Giants 19.5 (4-2)
5) 49'ers 18.2 (5-1)
6) Texans 14.8 (3-3) *(ind,mia,no)
7) Ravens 13.7 (4-1)
8) Bills 13.0 (4-2)
9) Patriots 12.8 (5-1)
10) Titans 12.7 (3-2)
11) Steelers 11.1 (4-2)
12) Saints 9.6 (4-2)
13) Cowboys 6.4 (2-3)
14) Raiders 4.0 (4-2)
15) Bengals 1.5 (4-2)
16) Chargers 0.1 (4-1)
17) Redskins -4.2 (3-2)
18) vikings -6.0 (1-5)
19) Falcons -6.4 (3-3)
20) Bears -7.1 (3-3)
21) Chiefs -8.6 (2-3)
22) Seahawks -8.7 (2-3)
23) Eagles -9.7 (2-4)
24) Browns -11.7 (2-3)
25) Cardinals -13.9 (1-4)
26) Buccaneers -14.5 (4-2) *(det,sf,atl)
27) Rams -20.1 (0-5)
28) Panthers -21.5 (1-5)
29) Colts -24.3 (0-6)
30) Jaguars -25.1 (1-5)
31) Broncos -29.2 (1-4)
32) Dolphins -34.0 (0-5)

I made a note of opponents on some that seemed to not fit the pattern.


Interestingly, The difference between a team's passer rating and its opponents passer rating (passer rating differential) corresponds well with power rankings.
blank
Greg C.
13 years ago
Whoah, that's a huge difference between the Packers and the second-place team. I've read about that stat before, and I agree that it is a helpful one. I think the Packers led the league in that category last season even though they barely made the playoffs, and then they went on to win the Super Bowl.
blank
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
Something like 47 out of the last 60 NFL champions have lead the league in this statistical category.
UserPostedImage
azrunning
13 years ago
That is an incredible difference from 🇦🇷 to anybody else. That's just amazing. I too was reading an article from an NFL stat site that showed a high correlation between yards per attempt and winning. Here is that stat (again a wide margin for 🇦🇷 ):

Aaron Rodgers GB 9.8
Tom Brady NE 9.1
Eli Manning NYG 9.1
Philip Rivers SD 8.3
Drew Brees NO 8.2
Tony Romo DAL 8.2
Cam Newton CAR 8.1
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 8.1
Curtis Painter IND 7.9
Matt Schaub HOU 7.9
Michael Vick PHI 7.9
Matt Hasselbeck TEN 7.8
Chad Henne MIA 7.8
Jay Cutler CHI 7.4
Joe Flacco BAL 7.4
Kevin Kolb ARI 7.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 7.3
Matthew Stafford DET 7.3
Jason Campbell OAK 7.1
Andy Dalton CIN 6.9
Rex Grossman WAS 6.9
Mark Sanchez NYJ 6.9
Alex Smith SF 6.9
Matt Cassel KC 6.8
Josh Freeman TB 6.7
Matt Ryan ATL 6.7
Donovan McNabb MIN 6.6
Tavaris Jackson SEA 6.4
Kyle Orton DEN 6.3
Sam Bradford STL 6.0
Blaine Gabbert JAC 5.8
Colt McCoy CLE 5.5
Kerry Collins IND 4.9

Article 
BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.
13 years ago

Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez 



I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. 😉

I agree with Twinkiegorilla.

bozz_2006 wrote:


CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago

I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. ;)

Originally Posted by: TwinkieGorilla 



Would you prefer parentheses around appositives?

blank
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
13 years ago
very interesting. Looks like the Cowboys (2-3) at #13 and vikings (1-5) at #18 are also ranked a little higher than their records. But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
That was not an appositive but rather a restrictive relative clause and should not have been set off with commas. 🤦
UserPostedImage
Zero2Cool
13 years ago
I'm not going to ask him any questions since he failed to even acknowledge the last two questions I asked. Dick. Factoid!
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago

v But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.

Originally Posted by: wpr 


Indeed, the correlation will never be perfect. But it is certainly amazingly high.
UserPostedImage
Fan Shout
Mucky Tundra (6h) : From what I'm reading, MM is under contract through the 14th of January; after that he's free game
Zero2Cool (7h) : McCarthy let go or not extended??
Mucky Tundra (8h) : Chicago Bears have asked the Dallas Cowboys permission to interview Mike McCarthy for head coaching vacancy
Zero2Cool (13h) : The winners page that is
Zero2Cool (13h) : I was not hoping for that. It messes up the page lol
beast (14h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (14h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (14h) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3
Zero2Cool (14h) : congrats beast on 2024 !
Zero2Cool (14h) : congrats porky on winning 2023 pick'em! (oops sorry)
Zero2Cool (15h) : Packers have $60M+ of 2025 cap space on paper TODAY.
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Missed FG into a Lions TD; that'll do pig, that'll do
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : That might be it for the Vikings
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Oh so the refs do know what intentional grounding is
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : what the hell was that Goff?! Not much pressure and he just air mails it to Harrison
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : They really need to to get rid of the auto first down for illegal contact
Martha Careful (6-Jan) : watching the Vikings and Lions it's understandable why they swept the Packers. So much better product
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Even when GB got pressure he was throwing darts; vs no pressure on that last pass he just air mails an open guy
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : didn't have guys in his face ... pressure makes difference
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Where was this Darnold vs GB?
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : BALL DON'T LIE
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : how was that not a safety? Goff throws it at an offensive lineman
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero, I thought that was a given! ;)
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero I looked through earlier and noticed the same thing. Bonkers year. I just wonder if beast put any money on games
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I'm hoping for BLOODBATH. Pummel one another.
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 8 people in pick'em would have won any year with their total lol
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : I'm rooting for the Lions to lose.
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : God help me but I'm rooting for the Vikings to...Vikings to...Christ I can't say it
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 4 td for Rodgers
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Chiefs got shutout
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Rodgers passes for 3rd TD. might be last game of an amazing career
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : "The best laid plans of mice and men often go awry."
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : Owner ... love it
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : Mayo was the guy they groomed for HC and one of the reasons they let Bill go.
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Pats have the #4 pick, lots of cap space and Maye at QB; should fetch some attention
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Well that didn't take long; Jerod Mayo out as Patriots HC
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : I would expect it to be higher in favor of Eagles
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Thst line seems...generous
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : Eagles -3.5 over Packers in Wildcard Round
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Did it though? Pokes beat the Commanders on the road with Cooper Rush previously
Zero2Cool (5-Jan) : That gives them their best chance
Mucky Tundra (5-Jan) : Cowboys starting Trey Lance at QB vs Commanders; GB vs Philly in the Wild Card incoming!
Mucky Tundra (4-Jan) : Stinks for Lloyd. Hoping he comes back strong for next year
Zero2Cool (3-Jan) : Packers placed Marshawn Lloyd on reserve non-football illness list
Zero2Cool (3-Jan) : Luke Getsy been helping Packers defense. He's former OC Bears/Raiders and our old QB coach
beast (2-Jan) : Thanks dfosterf, I'm still kicking myself for last week, as I forgot to change to pick Vikings and Lions... after putting in a holding spot.
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : First alternate: Elgton Jenkins Other alternates: Jordan Love, Kenny Clark, Keisean Nixon, Tucker Kraft, Josh Myers, Jaire Alexander
Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Pro Bowl still a thing? Guess Packers have three. Jacobs, Gary, McKinney.
dfosterf (2-Jan) : It's a mine field with all the players sitting, etc
dfosterf (2-Jan) : There was quite a bit of "chalk" matchups this year it seemed, but not this week coming up
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2024 Packers Schedule
Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
Eagles
Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
Titans
Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
Rams
Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
CARDINALS
Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
Bears
Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
49ERS
Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
DOLPHINS
Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
Seahawks
Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM
Vikings
Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM
BEARS
Recent Topics
4h / Fantasy Sports Talk / Zero2Cool

7h / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

9h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

9h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

9h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

14h / Fantasy Sports Talk / Zero2Cool

16h / Featured Content / Zero2Cool

6-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

5-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

5-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / buckeyepackfan

3-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

3-Jan / Around The NFL / Zero2Cool

2-Jan / GameDay Threads / Zero2Cool

2-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

Headlines
Copyright © 2006 - 2025 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.