CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago
Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.
That is a teams passer rating less its opponents passer rating.


Now that we have a good sample of data after week 6, I thought I would check it out.


Team, Passer rating differential, record
1) Packers 38.1 (6-0)
2) Lions 22.0 (5-1)
3) Jets 20.2 (3-3) *(mia,ne,jac)
4) Giants 19.5 (4-2)
5) 49'ers 18.2 (5-1)
6) Texans 14.8 (3-3) *(ind,mia,no)
7) Ravens 13.7 (4-1)
8) Bills 13.0 (4-2)
9) Patriots 12.8 (5-1)
10) Titans 12.7 (3-2)
11) Steelers 11.1 (4-2)
12) Saints 9.6 (4-2)
13) Cowboys 6.4 (2-3)
14) Raiders 4.0 (4-2)
15) Bengals 1.5 (4-2)
16) Chargers 0.1 (4-1)
17) Redskins -4.2 (3-2)
18) vikings -6.0 (1-5)
19) Falcons -6.4 (3-3)
20) Bears -7.1 (3-3)
21) Chiefs -8.6 (2-3)
22) Seahawks -8.7 (2-3)
23) Eagles -9.7 (2-4)
24) Browns -11.7 (2-3)
25) Cardinals -13.9 (1-4)
26) Buccaneers -14.5 (4-2) *(det,sf,atl)
27) Rams -20.1 (0-5)
28) Panthers -21.5 (1-5)
29) Colts -24.3 (0-6)
30) Jaguars -25.1 (1-5)
31) Broncos -29.2 (1-4)
32) Dolphins -34.0 (0-5)

I made a note of opponents on some that seemed to not fit the pattern.


Interestingly, The difference between a team's passer rating and its opponents passer rating (passer rating differential) corresponds well with power rankings.
blank
Greg C.
13 years ago
Whoah, that's a huge difference between the Packers and the second-place team. I've read about that stat before, and I agree that it is a helpful one. I think the Packers led the league in that category last season even though they barely made the playoffs, and then they went on to win the Super Bowl.
blank
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
Something like 47 out of the last 60 NFL champions have lead the league in this statistical category.
UserPostedImage
azrunning
13 years ago
That is an incredible difference from 🇦🇷 to anybody else. That's just amazing. I too was reading an article from an NFL stat site that showed a high correlation between yards per attempt and winning. Here is that stat (again a wide margin for 🇦🇷 ):

Aaron Rodgers GB 9.8
Tom Brady NE 9.1
Eli Manning NYG 9.1
Philip Rivers SD 8.3
Drew Brees NO 8.2
Tony Romo DAL 8.2
Cam Newton CAR 8.1
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 8.1
Curtis Painter IND 7.9
Matt Schaub HOU 7.9
Michael Vick PHI 7.9
Matt Hasselbeck TEN 7.8
Chad Henne MIA 7.8
Jay Cutler CHI 7.4
Joe Flacco BAL 7.4
Kevin Kolb ARI 7.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 7.3
Matthew Stafford DET 7.3
Jason Campbell OAK 7.1
Andy Dalton CIN 6.9
Rex Grossman WAS 6.9
Mark Sanchez NYJ 6.9
Alex Smith SF 6.9
Matt Cassel KC 6.8
Josh Freeman TB 6.7
Matt Ryan ATL 6.7
Donovan McNabb MIN 6.6
Tavaris Jackson SEA 6.4
Kyle Orton DEN 6.3
Sam Bradford STL 6.0
Blaine Gabbert JAC 5.8
Colt McCoy CLE 5.5
Kerry Collins IND 4.9

Article 
BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.
13 years ago

Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez 



I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. 😉

I agree with Twinkiegorilla.

bozz_2006 wrote:


CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago

I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. ;)

Originally Posted by: TwinkieGorilla 



Would you prefer parentheses around appositives?

blank
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
13 years ago
very interesting. Looks like the Cowboys (2-3) at #13 and vikings (1-5) at #18 are also ranked a little higher than their records. But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
That was not an appositive but rather a restrictive relative clause and should not have been set off with commas. 🤦
UserPostedImage
Zero2Cool
13 years ago
I'm not going to ask him any questions since he failed to even acknowledge the last two questions I asked. Dick. Factoid!
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago

v But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.

Originally Posted by: wpr 


Indeed, the correlation will never be perfect. But it is certainly amazingly high.
UserPostedImage
Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (13h) : Good deal too
Martha Careful (14h) : Maxx Crosby resigned by Raiders
Zero2Cool (23h) : Chargers release Joey Bosa
Zero2Cool (4-Mar) : Appears Jets released Adams. It'll be official in few hours.
Zero2Cool (3-Mar) : We have re-signed LB Isaiah McDuffie
Zero2Cool (2-Mar) : Jets taking calls for Davante Adams. That $38m cap number hurting lol
Zero2Cool (2-Mar) : Guess it's not official until the 12th
Zero2Cool (2-Mar) : Deebo went for a 5th to Commanders?
Martha Careful (1-Mar) : Just like my late husband!!
Zero2Cool (1-Mar) : Once fired up, it should be good
Zero2Cool (1-Mar) : Sometimes, the first page load will be slow. it's firing up the site.
Martha Careful (1-Mar) : The site is operating much faster...tyvm
Mucky Tundra (28-Feb) : It's the offseason and the draft is still nearly 2 months away, what can ya do?🤷‍♂️
Zero2Cool (27-Feb) : NFL teams were notified today that the 2025 salary cap has been set at $279,200,000 per club.
Zero2Cool (27-Feb) : sssllllooooow
Martha Careful (27-Feb) : is it just me, or has the website been slow the last couple of days?
buckeyepackfan (26-Feb) : Damnit 2026 2nd rnd pick!
buckeyepackfan (26-Feb) : Packers get Myles Garret and Browns 2926 2nd rnd pick.
buckeyepackfan (26-Feb) : Browns get Jaire, + Packers #1 2025 pick and 2026 3rd rnd pick.
beast (26-Feb) : Rams trying to trade Stafford and Kupp, then signing Rodgers and Adams? Just speculation, but interesting
Zero2Cool (26-Feb) : Packers shopping Jaire Alexander per Ian Rapoport
Zero2Cool (25-Feb) : Gutekunst and Jaire Alexander’s agent, John Thornton, are meeting this week in Indianapolis to determine the future of the Packers’ 28-year-
Zero2Cool (25-Feb) : Gutekunst says Mark Murphy told him he can trade their first-round pick despite the draft being in Green Bay.
Zero2Cool (24-Feb) : Packers. 🤦
Zero2Cool (24-Feb) : One team.
Zero2Cool (24-Feb) : One team petition NFL to ban Brotherly Shove.
beast (23-Feb) : Seems like he was just pissed because he was no longer the starter
beast (23-Feb) : Campbell is right, he's rich and he doesn't have to explain sh!t... but that attitude gives teams reasons to never sign him again.
dfosterf (22-Feb) : I have some doubt about all that
dfosterf (22-Feb) : I read De'Vondre Campbell's tweet this morning (via the New York Post) Florio says that if he invested his earnings wisely, he will be good
beast (20-Feb) : I haven't followed, but I believe he's good when healthy, just hasn't been able to stay healthy.
dfosterf (20-Feb) : Hasn"t Bosa missed more games than he has played in the last 3 years?
Mucky Tundra (19-Feb) : He hasn't been too bad when healthy but I don't feel like I ever heard much about when he is
Zero2Cool (19-Feb) : Felt like he was more interested in his body, than football. He flashed more than I expected
Zero2Cool (19-Feb) : When he was coming out, I thought he'd be flash in pan.
Mucky Tundra (19-Feb) : Joey seems so forgettable compared to his brother for some reason
Zero2Cool (19-Feb) : NFL informed teams today that the 2025 salary cap will be roughly $277.5M-$281.5M
Zero2Cool (19-Feb) : Los Angeles Chargers are likely to release DE Joey Bosa this off-season as a cap casualty, per league source.
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : If the exploit is not fixed, we'll see tons of "50 top free agents, 50 perfect NFL team fits: We picked where each should sign in March" lo
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : Issue should be solved, database cleaned and held strong working / meeting. Boom!
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : It should be halted now.
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : usually spambots are trying to get traffic to shady websites filled with spyware; the two links being spammed were to the Packers website
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : you know when you put it that way combined with the links it was spamming (to the official Packers website)
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : Yep. You can do that with holding down ENTER on a command in Console of browser
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : even with the rapid fire posts?
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : I'm not certain it's a bot.
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : I've got to go to work soon which is a pity because I'm enthralled by this battle between the bot and Zero
Zero2Cool (18-Feb) : Yeah, I see what that did. Kind of funny.
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : now it's a link to Wes Hodkiezwicz mailbag
Mucky Tundra (18-Feb) : Now they're back with another topic
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2024 Packers Schedule
Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
Eagles
Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
Titans
Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
Rams
Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
CARDINALS
Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
Bears
Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
49ERS
Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
DOLPHINS
Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
Seahawks
Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM
Vikings
Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Jan 12 @ 3:30 PM
Eagles
Recent Topics
10h / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

14h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

5-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

4-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

4-Mar / Random Babble / Martha Careful

4-Mar / Random Babble / Martha Careful

3-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

3-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

2-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

1-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / buckeyepackfan

1-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

1-Mar / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

28-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

28-Feb / Around The NFL / Martha Careful

27-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

Copyright © 2006 - 2025 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.