CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago
Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.
That is a teams passer rating less its opponents passer rating.


Now that we have a good sample of data after week 6, I thought I would check it out.


Team, Passer rating differential, record
1) Packers 38.1 (6-0)
2) Lions 22.0 (5-1)
3) Jets 20.2 (3-3) *(mia,ne,jac)
4) Giants 19.5 (4-2)
5) 49'ers 18.2 (5-1)
6) Texans 14.8 (3-3) *(ind,mia,no)
7) Ravens 13.7 (4-1)
8) Bills 13.0 (4-2)
9) Patriots 12.8 (5-1)
10) Titans 12.7 (3-2)
11) Steelers 11.1 (4-2)
12) Saints 9.6 (4-2)
13) Cowboys 6.4 (2-3)
14) Raiders 4.0 (4-2)
15) Bengals 1.5 (4-2)
16) Chargers 0.1 (4-1)
17) Redskins -4.2 (3-2)
18) vikings -6.0 (1-5)
19) Falcons -6.4 (3-3)
20) Bears -7.1 (3-3)
21) Chiefs -8.6 (2-3)
22) Seahawks -8.7 (2-3)
23) Eagles -9.7 (2-4)
24) Browns -11.7 (2-3)
25) Cardinals -13.9 (1-4)
26) Buccaneers -14.5 (4-2) *(det,sf,atl)
27) Rams -20.1 (0-5)
28) Panthers -21.5 (1-5)
29) Colts -24.3 (0-6)
30) Jaguars -25.1 (1-5)
31) Broncos -29.2 (1-4)
32) Dolphins -34.0 (0-5)

I made a note of opponents on some that seemed to not fit the pattern.


Interestingly, The difference between a team's passer rating and its opponents passer rating (passer rating differential) corresponds well with power rankings.
blank
Greg C.
13 years ago
Whoah, that's a huge difference between the Packers and the second-place team. I've read about that stat before, and I agree that it is a helpful one. I think the Packers led the league in that category last season even though they barely made the playoffs, and then they went on to win the Super Bowl.
blank
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
Something like 47 out of the last 60 NFL champions have lead the league in this statistical category.
UserPostedImage
azrunning
13 years ago
That is an incredible difference from 🇦🇷 to anybody else. That's just amazing. I too was reading an article from an NFL stat site that showed a high correlation between yards per attempt and winning. Here is that stat (again a wide margin for 🇦🇷 ):

Aaron Rodgers GB 9.8
Tom Brady NE 9.1
Eli Manning NYG 9.1
Philip Rivers SD 8.3
Drew Brees NO 8.2
Tony Romo DAL 8.2
Cam Newton CAR 8.1
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 8.1
Curtis Painter IND 7.9
Matt Schaub HOU 7.9
Michael Vick PHI 7.9
Matt Hasselbeck TEN 7.8
Chad Henne MIA 7.8
Jay Cutler CHI 7.4
Joe Flacco BAL 7.4
Kevin Kolb ARI 7.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 7.3
Matthew Stafford DET 7.3
Jason Campbell OAK 7.1
Andy Dalton CIN 6.9
Rex Grossman WAS 6.9
Mark Sanchez NYJ 6.9
Alex Smith SF 6.9
Matt Cassel KC 6.8
Josh Freeman TB 6.7
Matt Ryan ATL 6.7
Donovan McNabb MIN 6.6
Tavaris Jackson SEA 6.4
Kyle Orton DEN 6.3
Sam Bradford STL 6.0
Blaine Gabbert JAC 5.8
Colt McCoy CLE 5.5
Kerry Collins IND 4.9

Article 
BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.
13 years ago

Before the season, one of the many football computer nerd sites said one of the most important stats to watch for, that had the highest corollation, to success was passer rating differential.

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez 



I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. 😉

I agree with Twinkiegorilla.

bozz_2006 wrote:


CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago

I can't stand, unnecessary, commas.


But thank you for your continued statistical deliveries. ;)

Originally Posted by: TwinkieGorilla 



Would you prefer parentheses around appositives?

blank
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
13 years ago
very interesting. Looks like the Cowboys (2-3) at #13 and vikings (1-5) at #18 are also ranked a little higher than their records. But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago
That was not an appositive but rather a restrictive relative clause and should not have been set off with commas. 🤦
UserPostedImage
Zero2Cool
13 years ago
I'm not going to ask him any questions since he failed to even acknowledge the last two questions I asked. Dick. Factoid!
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago

v But that is always going to happen especially after only 5-6 games.

Originally Posted by: wpr 


Indeed, the correlation will never be perfect. But it is certainly amazingly high.
UserPostedImage
Fan Shout
beast (22-May) : Colts Owner Jim Irsay has passed away
Zero2Cool (21-May) : Well, emailing should work now. After not working for almost a year. Oops.
Zero2Cool (21-May) : Brotherly Shove did not get enough votes.
Zero2Cool (20-May) : lol our email hasn't worked in months. 7 pages of unverified users
Zero2Cool (20-May) : MySpace Screaming Lord Byron ... Brett Favre.
Zero2Cool (19-May) : Packers have signed first-round pick Matthew Golden, leaving second-round tackle Anthony Belton as their only unsigned draft pick
beast (19-May) : Supposedly he has to take his image, and name off of it... but otherwise could keep selling wine if he wanted to.
Zero2Cool (19-May) : he giving up his win business?
beast (19-May) : Speaking of Woodson, sounds like he'll be a minority owner (0.1%) of the Browns
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Zero, regarding Woodson, that'd why I find the timing with Williams peculiar
dfosterf (15-May) : Ryan Hall y'all does a great job of tracking thesr
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Fear not!! I planned to do 33mi bike ride tomorrow morning, so ... yeah
Zero2Cool (15-May) : We got some dark clouds and nasty winds right bout now.
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Madison they had hail 4pm.
dfosterf (15-May) : Sure looks like these tornadoes are headed towards Green Bay
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Woodson of Charles fame was reluctant and then loved it. that didn't really come out until post career
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : IE "We bought into the Bears and they let us down, we have no choice to seek alternatives"
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Or that Williams and his family are preparing an exit ramp if they don't like how things are going in a few years
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Either Williams thought it would make him look good (reluctant but then embraces the city and franchise)
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : I can only assume that the Williams camp agreed to cooperate with that article tells me 2 things
dfosterf (15-May) : Ya. They are in a great mood
Zero2Cool (15-May) : I should visit again
dfosterf (15-May) : ChiCity Sports entering freakout mode due to Caleb and his dad not wanting him to go there
Zero2Cool (15-May) : "He's looking really good out there," Derrick Ansley said of Kalen King. Adds that he's been playing inside and out.
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Him saying he doesn't have one to give haha
Zero2Cool (15-May) : True, that was awesome. The whole F thing was great actually.
dfosterf (15-May) : I did like the Mark Murphy part, sorta
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Some comments on it saying it was great, amazing... I came away thinking... awkward.
dfosterf (15-May) : Packers schedule release video is "interesting" I guess.
Zero2Cool (15-May) : SOOO glad that tool still works. Saves from manually entering each game
Zero2Cool (15-May) : NFL Pick'em import was done last night.
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Atlanta with 5 primetime games lol
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Week Five BYE?? NFL is hell.
wpr (14-May) : Vikings schedule leaked. Week 12 in GB. Week 18 in MN.
wpr (14-May) : CBS has GB @ NYG Week 11 Nov 16 and they will face MN in week 18 but don't say where. I think away
Zero2Cool (14-May) : W15: Packers at Broncos
Zero2Cool (14-May) : Ben Sirmans on MarShawn Lloyd: “Everything’s full go for him.”
Zero2Cool (14-May) : Luke Butkus says training camp will allow plenty of time to implement new center Elgton Jenkins
Zero2Cool (14-May) : wk 2 commanders at packers
Zero2Cool (14-May) : Ugh. Packers thanksgiving detroit ...boring
Zero2Cool (14-May) : Panthers at Green Bay in week 9, Nov 2nd
buckeyepackfan (14-May) : Week 1
buckeyepackfan (14-May) : Packers Host Detroit Week 1! ML finally gets a week home opener.
beast (13-May) : I was kind of hoping Douglas might come back to the Pack
beast (13-May) : My question is how much do we trust Jenkins? In bad weather, he seemed to struggle a bit with ball control snapping, though he started at OG
beast (13-May) : Well Jenkins probably knows he's not getting that 2026 salary number without a new contact... so just trying to get the new contact early
Zero2Cool (13-May) : CB Rasul Douglas is visiting the #Seahawks today, per source.
dfosterf (13-May) : He's a switch and baiter. Its the same as a bait and switcher except he agreed to the switch first lol
dfosterf (13-May) : 6.8 mil raise next year. Those are existing contract numbers
dfosterf (13-May) : 12.8 plus 4.8 pro rata signing bonus is 17.6 mil. Top center in the league at 18
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2025 Packers Schedule
Sunday, Sep 7 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Thursday, Sep 11 @ 7:15 PM
COMMANDERS
Sunday, Sep 21 @ 12:00 PM
Browns
Sunday, Sep 28 @ 7:20 PM
Cowboys
Sunday, Oct 12 @ 3:25 PM
BENGALS
Sunday, Oct 19 @ 3:25 PM
Cardinals
Sunday, Oct 26 @ 7:20 PM
Steelers
Sunday, Nov 2 @ 12:00 PM
PANTHERS
Monday, Nov 10 @ 7:15 PM
EAGLES
Sunday, Nov 16 @ 12:00 PM
Giants
Sunday, Nov 23 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Thursday, Nov 27 @ 12:00 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 7 @ 12:00 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Dec 14 @ 3:25 PM
Broncos
Friday, Dec 19 @ 11:00 PM
Bears
Friday, Dec 26 @ 11:00 PM
RAVENS
Saturday, Jan 3 @ 11:00 PM
Vikings
Recent Topics
19h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

19h / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

21-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold

21-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

21-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

21-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / earthquake

20-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

19-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

19-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

16-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

15-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

15-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / greengold

15-May / Random Babble / Martha Careful

15-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

14-May / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

Headlines
Copyright © 2006 - 2025 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.