Rumors are flying that Aaron Rodgers might be holding out not just for the biggest bundle of cash in the history of the league, but also something far more audacious: the first player option in league history.
I confess myself skeptical that even Rodgers could muster the kind of leverage required to force such a lopsided and potentially fraught deal. From what I've seen to this point, Brian Gutekunst and Russ Ball have shown themselves to be pretty savvy. I find it hard to believe that they would be foolish (or desperate) enough to ink a mammoth deal that could leave Green Bay holding the bag without a whole lot to show for it.
Let's be realistic about this. Although conventional wisdom holds that Aaron Rodgers is one of the most talented quarterbacks in history, possibly
the most gifted in terms of raw talent alone — hell, I myself have made that argument on more than one occasion — if we're honest with ourselves, we have to acknowledge that much of that pure talent has gone unrealized. The unfortunate reality is that Rodgers only has one Super Bowl appearance — eight seasons ago — and he hasn't really gotten close to returning to the big dance since, two NFC Championship Game berths notwithstanding. Moreover, Rodgers has failed to dominate the league statistically the past two or three seasons, and this offense's last truly elite season was 2011.
Not that this misuse of talent is entirely Rodgers' fault, of course. Sure, he's made his share of questionable decisions on the field, particularly in the playoffs, but we all know that management and coaching staff haven't exactly done him any favors, either with personnel decisions or with playcalling in key situations.
Even if we are as generous as possible to Rodgers in apportioning blame for the Packers' postseason futility, however, I just don’t see Gutekunst and Ball springing for a potentially suicidal deal that could not only hamstring the organization's future prospects but also arguably upset the balance of power in the league (and not in a way favorable to teams). And frankly, I wouldn't want them to. From the day they signed that deal until the day Rodgers retired, the sword of Damocles would be hanging over their heads. Keeping Aaron Rodgers happy would become more of a priority than putting a high-quality, sustainable product on the field. I've been a huge Aaron Rodgers fan since day one, but I have no desire to see this team saddle itself with a deal from which it could take
years to recover if things go awry. I'd rather see them trade Rodgers away for whatever they can get and take their chances with a young guy in the next draft.
Aaron Rodgers is great — indeed, he's been elite at times — but if not even Tom Motherfuckin' Brady has earned the right to have his cake and eat it too, I don't see how Aaron Rodgers could possibly be considered worthy of the kind of unprecedented control and autonomy that a fiscally responsible team can only see as a ticking time bomb. Something has to give in this negotiation. If Rodgers wants the right to walk away whenever he feels like it, then he needs to be willing to take a lot less guaranteed money and tie a
lot more of his compensation to performance. And I have to think that's how Gutekunst and Ball will see it too.