The Stats Lie· Page 2 · PACKERSHOME

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

The Stats Lie

Only the 2nd time in NFL history that a game went without a punt.

Packers had seven drives, all of which ended with a score, except the blocked field goal of course.

Packers had the ball for just over 23 minutes.

Packers were out gained on the ground 56 yards to Bears 235 yards.

Bears were 63.6% on 3rd down conversions, Packers were just 50%.

Packers had 21 first downs to the Bears 33.

Packers had 47 plays to Bears 77 plays.

Yet, the Packers crush the Bears 38 to 17. [aiee]

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

That's what turnovers will do. Add in time running out at the end of the half.

Trestman's offense is fundamentally sound. THAT, is what I bitch about all the time with Mike. Mike and Aaron can get away with this stat whoring bullshit, because Aaron is an elite QB. But almost every year in the playoffs, that bullshit comes home to roost.

You do the right thing ALL the time. You play the right way, ALL the time.

Fact is this team has a weakness, and that' the Dline. We all know it, and every week teams all over the league get more and more film of it. We've gotta do something about that. The offense does not appear willing to help the defense by burning clock and keeping them off the field.

We're not gonna be facing bullshit QBs in January.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

wpr
Preferred Member

10 years ago

#12

Turnovers involve some luck. A stout defensive line that can consistently stop the run doesn't (or at least less luck is involved).

I'm too lazy to look it up, but I don't know that the Packers' SB team allowed many 500+ yard games, and 2011 isn't really a barometer for success because it was the preview to the problem the Packers currently have with teams such as the Seahawks, 49ers, and now maybe even the Lions.

I'm wavering a lot on this defense. Anyone can lay an egg, we saw that with the 49ers at Seattle last November. I certainly don't have much confidence in this defense, but they've been all over the map and I still can't tell if the 2nd half Jets/Detroit defense is what to expect, or if the Bears/Seahawks is more what we should expect with this team.

Originally Posted by: musccy

Absolutely. CM3s pick was luck on his part. I have said it before I have seen corners beaten or out of position get a pick because the QB was so bad they missed the open receiver by 5 feet or more.

DoddPower
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#13

Absolutely. CM3s pick was luck on his part. I have said it before I have seen corners beaten or out of position get a pick because the QB was so bad they missed the open receiver by 5 feet or more.

Originally Posted by: wpr

The actual catch may have involved some luck, but the actual reason for the interception, Tramon Williams play on the ball, was not.

dfosterf
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#14

We need better defense, specifically, heat on the QB. We all know it, the rest is wishful thinking. We also know we just need to give Aaron just a little time. It has not been a tough equation, in theory. we need to get there in reality.

musccy
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#15

The actual catch may have involved some luck, but the actual reason for the interception, Tramon Williams play on the ball, was not.

Originally Posted by: DoddPower

Luck may not be the right word. Tramon did make a good play on the ball, but in order for Tramon to make that play, Cutler had to miss that he had inside coverage or throw an errant pass. It's not luck that Cutler threw a bad pass, but we were dependent on his error to enable the opportunity.

I know it's what everyone would say but I want a defense that can contain the edge, play their assignment, get off blocks, clog a gap, etc. not rely on the opponent "shitting themselves" as nerdmann would say.

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

#16

Originally Posted by: musccy

Preparation, meeting opportunity.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

#17

Originally Posted by: dfosterf

Specifically, run defense.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

wpr
Preferred Member

10 years ago

#18

The actual catch may have involved some luck, but the actual reason for the interception, Tramon Williams play on the ball, was not.

Originally Posted by: DoddPower

I know that as well as anyone else. Backs do a graet job defending the pass and defect balls all the time. How many tipped/deflected balls are there every week around the NFL? Most fall to the ground. How many tipped balls fly 10-15 yards back towards the LOS that are caught by a LBer? Practically none. The degree of luck on this particular play was over the 75% level.

Dexter_Sinister
Registered

10 years ago

#19

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

The numbers don't lie. But people's understanding of what correlates to winning is often flawed.

Per play the Packers were much more efficient. They only needed 47 plays to score 38 points. The Bears needed 77 plays to score 17 points. The Packers yards per play meant they didn't need as many plays to move the ball.

Yards and TOP mean nothing if the drives don't end in a score. Every failed drive, you might as well wipe out the yards and TOP.

The Bears failed to score on 5 of 8 drives. 1 on downs, 2 turnovers on first down and a goal line stop at the end of the half and at the end of the game.

The Packers only failed to convert one drive into points. They attempted 3 field goals and had one that was blocked, one that was a first down by penalty and one that was made. They did have a 3rd down converted by defensive penalty. I don't know how you can call that 4 of 8 on 3rd down. I would call it 5 of 8 or at least 4 of 7.

The whole story can be misrepresented by focusing on the wrong stat or trying to make a stat say something it doesn't. Like saying yards and TOP should lead to wins. They didn't lie. Saying they matter is the lie.

I want to go out like my Grandpa did. Peacefully in his sleep.
Not screaming in terror like his passengers.

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

#20

Originally Posted by: wpr

Those are patented moves, though.

Shields and Williams bait those QBs into those throws, then they close on the ball like that. Remember Bush's lifetime highlight INT in the SB? He saw that on film, and exploited it. That ain't luck.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

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dfosterf (3h) : The white background beta was hard to read, especially the quotes

dfosterf (3h) : Hopefully the color scheme remains the same

dfosterf (3h) : *Friday*

dfosterf (3h) : 100 million would be 539 million as of Fridsy

dfosterf (3h) : Heck, they could have taken a hundred milliion and invested in DAVE inc. last year (semi random, humor, but real)

dfosterf (3h) : Beer brat and ticket is where the money comes from

dfosterf (3h) : The 40th is Titletown Tech itself. This is a pet project of both Ed Policy and Mark Murphy

Zero2Cool (4h) : New site coming along nicely. The editor is better than what we have here. Oh yeah!

dfosterf (4h) : No profit that I know of. 0 for 40

dfosterf (4h) : The woke reference has to do with the makeup and oftentimes objectives of the companies they invested in

packerfanoutwest (4h) : beer and brats woke? say whom?

beast (4h) : I don't want to get into politics, but how is, beers and brats considered to be "woke"? Food is food...

beast (4h) : That being said, I'm not saying all 100% should be that way, but not surprised if majority are Wisconsin based

beast (4h) : And if everyone has heard of them, then it it probably has less growth potential and less community based

beast (4h) : Well isn't the investing person supposed to invest the money?

dfosterf (4h) : I swear if I were to discover that one of them has invented a virtue signalling transmitter I will not be surprised, lol

dfosterf (4h) : 39 companies so far that I bet no one has ever heard of.

dfosterf (4h) : -Not saying woke, but should- borderline philanthopist venture capital excercise

dfosterf (4h) : Well for one, they are pouring resources into Title Town Tech. Investing beer, brat, hot dog, ticket money into what is pretty much...

beast (11h) : Wow, 95% drop in investment revenue? Would be interesting to hear the details of why...

dfosterf (25-Jul) : It's my one day deal complaint dept. on shareholder meeting day

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Probably a homer access credential intimidation kinda thing

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Meathead "journalists" skip this, concentrating on operational revenue when convenient. They switch when net revenue is more favorable.

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Resulting in an actual drop of net revenue of 12.5%. She is from Minnesota. Just sayin'

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Any plans to hold Maureen Smith (CFO) accountable for a 95% drop in investment revenue?

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : In your face, HBO!

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : @ByRyanWood Mark Murphy: “A great source of pride of mine is that we were never on Hard Knocks.”

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : *years

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : @mattschneidman Mark Murphy says he anticipates “many Packers games” being played in Germany, Ireland and/or the U.K. over the next 5-10 yea

dfosterf (25-Jul) : *cafeteria* I have hit my head also, so I sympathize

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Possibly hit his head leaning into the glass protecting the food in the cafateria

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Maybe a low flying drone

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Did Savion Williams run into a goalpost or something?

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : also, no bueno when a guy starts getting concussions right off the bat in his career

Zero2Cool (25-Jul) : Concussion is worse. Banks probably vet off day via back booboo claim

Mucky Tundra (25-Jul) : @AndyHermanNFL Jordy Nelson out at camp today. No word if he’s in play for one of the two open roster spots ; )

dfosterf (25-Jul) : Is that better or worse than Banks bad back?

Zero2Cool (25-Jul) : Savion concussion ... not good.

packerfanoutwest (24-Jul) : Aaron Rodgers’s first pass of first team period was picked off

Mucky Tundra (24-Jul) : tbh I didn't hear of his passing

Zero2Cool (24-Jul) : Cosby Show. Malcom Jamal Warner I think is real name

Mucky Tundra (24-Jul) : I was thinking of Ozzy and Hulk

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Zero2Cool (24-Jul) : How is Theo alliteration?

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