Pack93z
  • Pack93z
  • Select Member Topic Starter
14 years ago
Thought is was an interesting look at the Bears offense.. and something I hadn't heard mentioned as of yet.. just the their offensive line has improved over the course of this season with a change in offensive playcalling.




Can Bears Overcome the Odds?
 


Of the 30 teams that have qualified to play in the last 15 Super Bowls, only four have done so by finishing the regular season with a negative sack differential.

For the mathematically challenged currently in attendance, that means just 13.3% of the previous 30 Super Bowl participants have advanced to the NFLs biggest game after surrendering more sacks on offense than they amassed on defense during the regular season.

Bears fans may want to close their eyes for this next section.

Chicago enters this Sundays NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers backed by a defense that surrendered only 17.9 points per game in 2010 (fourth in NFL, second in NFC). But that doesnt mean this Bears team isnt without its flaws.

Lovie Smiths crew finished the regular season ranked dead last in the NFL in both sacks allowed (56) and sack differential (-22). Quarterback Jay Cutler was sacked a total of nine times in two games against the Packers this season (1-1) and was taken down four or more times in seven of 15 regular season games (3-4). As if that wasnt bad enough, Cutler didnt play a single game in 2010 in which he wasnt sacked at least once.

At this point you may be asking yourself, Why is a teams sack differential so important if the Bears made the NFC Championship game ranked last in that category?

Because this team is somewhat of a statistical anomaly.

For starters, check out the chart below that breaks down each NFL team's 2010 sack differential. The 18 teams that finished with a positive sack differential this season went a combined 169-119 (.586) during the regular season, while the 14 teams that posted a negative sack differential went just 87-137 (.388).

UserPostedImage
2010

In addition, of the 60 teams that have qualified for the playoffs over the last five years, 51 (85%) have entered postseason play with a positive sack differential. However, the nine teams to make the playoffs since 2006 with a negative sack differential are a combined 3-7 in the postseason (.300) and have never made it further than the Divisional Round (with the exception of this years Chicago team). Be sure to also take note that all 12 teams that qualified for postseason play in 2008 boasted a positive regular season sack differential.

This isnt to say the Bears wont go on to win the Super Bowl, but recent history is certainly against them. Only three teams (New England in 2002, Baltimore in 2001 and Green Bay in 1997) have hoisted the Vince Lombardi Trophy over the past 15 years after wrapping up the regular season with a negative sack differential.

The -8 Baltimore posted in 2001 is currently the worst sack differential for a Super Bowl winner since 1995.

At -22, the Bears certainly have their work cut out for them if they plan on rewriting history.

UserPostedImage


"The oranges are dry; the apples are mealy; and the papayas... I don't know what's going on with the papayas!"
RajiRoar
14 years ago
Detroit is +17, wow!


Accuscore is giving GB a 61% chance of winning, 81% if we win the turnover ratio.

gawd i get worried when we are heavy favorites!

MintBaconDrivel
Dec, 11, 2012 - FOREVER!
vikesrule
14 years ago

Thought is was an interesting look at the Bears offense.. and something I hadn't heard mentioned as of yet.. just the their offensive line has improved over the course of this season with a change .

"Pack93z" wrote:



Agreed on their O-line.

Interesting perspective on this.....Mike Tice

Lesson Learned, the Bears Tice Is Teaching Again 

He had his ups and downs in Minnesota, but compared to the last HC we had...Tice was a genius.
Fan Shout
dfosterf (12m) : Great idea imo
dfosterf (13m) : 1st round to 7 minutes with one extension
dfosterf (13m) : NFL comissioner wants to shorten the 2st
Mucky Tundra (4h) : @jalenreagors They’re discussing if Sheduer can go back to college on NFL Network LMFAOOOOO
beast (6h) : Great point Martha
beast (6h) : Buddy Ryan used to say if a candy bar goes missing, there are two to blame, Rex and Rob 🤪 jk 😁
Martha Careful (9h) : Bum Phillips used to say there are two ways to get better. Get better players or get players to play better. We have a new DL coach
Zero2Cool (9h) : Yes. Look at the losses last year. They can win.
beast (10h) : Can Packers win with their current DL?
bboystyle (11h) : waiting for a pass rusher.
dfosterf (13h) : 5 minutes between picks in the 3rd
dfosterf (14h) : 3rd. Hate this phone
dfosterf (14h) : 4rd
dfosterf (14h) : 5 minutes in the 4
dfosterf (14h) : 7 minutes between picks in the 2nd round
Martha Careful (14h) : Sorry to bitch, but the headline writers in that section absolutely mislead, or don't know how to read. It is maddening
Martha Careful (14h) : No thanks. Not a dependable guy to be in the right place and run the right route. Dumb as a box of rocks.
Zero2Cool (15h) : Losing 2nd round pick for a one year rental, not ideal. Especially a headcase.
TheKanataThrilla (15h) : Pickens for Jaire may be interesting. Definitely not sure we want Pickens long term.
dfosterf (15h) : No.Absolutely not
Zero2Cool (15h) : NO NO NO NO NO NO!!1 🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬
dhazer (15h) : scenario: Our main prospects are off the board when our pick comes around, do we just throw a 2nd round pick at Pittsburgh for Pickens
TheKanataThrilla (15h) : Hopefully she had some comfort that her son will be live his dream when she passed away. Sad news.
Mucky Tundra (17h) : Damn that sucks
Zero2Cool (17h) : News about Derrick Harmon mom, saddening.
Zero2Cool (18h) : Mark Murphy: "I predict we will trade up once and down twice."
beast (19h) : Rip the Packers and getting the fans yelling and booing him
beast (19h) : Super competitive Bears fan and WWE "superstar" wrestler, Seth Rollins is supposed to announce a Bears pick and absolutely rip Packers
packerfanoutwest (25-Apr) : Golden
beast (25-Apr) : I want DT Derrick Harmon, Oregon
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : And I can't be looking at my phone
Mucky Tundra (25-Apr) : Hey I'm at work lol
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : btw, new site chat won't delete auto like
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : because everyone left like wimps
TheKanataThrilla (24-Apr) : I am wondering if there is some type of autoclear when there isn't activity after a certain amount of time.
Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : What happened in the chat? Me and Zero posted a few things earlier and they're all gone
dfosterf (24-Apr) : 10-15 min bs plus flyover
dfosterf (24-Apr) : Yes
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : 7pm is when this kicks off????
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : I told him. IT'S VONTE MACK , no matter what!
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : He asked me who I thought The Browns were taking.
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : 2. Would of had to wear Browns gear all week. NOPE I'll watch from my living room.
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : He wanted to know if I would go. 2 things, would have had to fly from Detroit to Green Bay. Nope
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : All expense paid trip to the draft. He will be in the Browns section. I told him to say hi to J-10VE for me 😃😃i
buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : For a call from my nephew, he won an sllexp
TheKanataThrilla (24-Apr) : Hope to see everyone in the Chat tonight!!! Go Pack Go!!!
TheKanataThrilla (24-Apr) : Jeanty would be a great pick-up for the Bears. I see Warren mocked to them as well who I think would be a great selection.
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : GameDay Chat is open. Posting bits an tids in there.
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : Excellent Source: The Bears have a deal in place to move up to 5 if Jeanty is there.
Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : Probably not until 10pm will be making pick
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2024 Packers Schedule
Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
Eagles
Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
Titans
Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
Rams
Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
CARDINALS
Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
Bears
Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
49ERS
Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
DOLPHINS
Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
Seahawks
Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM
Vikings
Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM
BEARS
Recent Topics
23m / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

28m / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

2h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

2h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

6h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

11h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

15h / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

17h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

17h / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

20h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

24-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / TheKanataThrilla

24-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

24-Apr / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

24-Apr / Packers Draft Threads / wpr

22-Apr / Random Babble / Martha Careful

Headlines
Copyright © 2006 - 2025 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.