mi_keys
15 years ago

well my prediction for #1 qb this year is Brady, he gets the NFC North that will boost his stats to be huge lol and throw in the Bills and Dolphins twice and to top it off the Brownies. I see a huge huge year.

"Zero2Cool" wrote:




He did very well against the Bills and Dolphins last season.

94 of 142 66%
1177 yards
6 td's
5 int's
3 sacks

"dhazer" wrote:



Great stats minus the ints. Didn't most of those come in one game against the Bills?

I think Rodgers has been listed as the number one quarterback for fantasy in every league I've seen, not just Yahoo. Of course that's only because of that conspiracy theory we've uncovered whereby Ted Thompson and MM sacrifice everything--even winning--to ensure Rodgers has great stats.
Born and bred a cheesehead
mi_keys
15 years ago

well my prediction for #1 qb this year is Brady, he gets the NFC North that will boost his stats to be huge lol and throw in the Bills and Dolphins twice and to top it off the Brownies. I see a huge huge year.

"dhazer" wrote:



I agree we're more likely to see him thrown in the mix at the top. He's now a year removed from that ACL injury and the one biggest concern I had for his stats has been cut down with Welker returning to practice this early.
Born and bred a cheesehead
porky88
15 years ago
Here are my stat projections for Rodgers. I'm doing stat projections for the fantasy site I write at....

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
4213 passing yards
33 touchdowns (4 rushing)
13 turnovers (3 fumbles)
268 rushing yards

Now here's my numbers for Drew Brees, who would be No. 1 if I just took into account the passing numbers.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
4647 passing yards
32 touchdowns (1 rushing)
18 turnovers (4 fumbles)
29 rushing yards

As you can see Rodgers gets a huge boost due to the fact he is a runner and Brees isn't.

Rodgers earns 50.8 fantasy points with his legs. Brees earns 8.9 with his legs.

That's 41.9 difference, which is enough to make up for the difference in their passing numbers.

Brees holds about a 19 point advantage when just taking the passing numbers into account.

In the end, Rodgers holds about a 23 point advantage thanks to his legs.

Officially I have it at

Rodgers 367.32 points
Brees 344.78 points

Those are my No. 1 and No. 2 so now you know who will be my top two QBs when we have our yearly fantasy draft 🙂
earthquake
15 years ago
As said before, the reason Rodgers is the top fantasy QB is his rushing skills. He's a top 5 QB stats wise, but the last 2 years he has been the top rushing QB in the league. Until Brady can run for 400 yards and 4 TDs, he's going to have trouble keeping up with Rodgers, he could have another 50 TD season, but i happen to think its more likely that he doesn't do that than it is he does. Brees has been playing far and away better than any QB in the league, but Rodgers still manages to score more fantasy points.

2007 was a statistical anomaly for Brady, he has never been a big "stats guy" and infact 2007 is the only time he ever has throw for over 30 TDs in a season, let alone anything close to 50. Rodgers as a starter has averaged 33.5 TDs, outside of Brady's freak 2007 season, the most TDs he's scored in a season is 29(2009 and 2002). All the stars aligned for him in 2007, with Welker and Moss having career years, its hard to imagine that even if healthy, having an older more disgruntled and lethargic Moss, and Welker coming off a serious injury means he'll be able to replicate that sort of season. Now, its not crazy to think he could throw for 35-38 TDs, and that probably enough to lead the league in fantasy points, but honestly i just dont see it happening.
blank
blueleopard
15 years ago
Yeah, most standard fantasy leagues give a bounty to players who put up good rushing stats, and that's why running backs are so valuable.

So since Aaron Rodgers is a double-threat, he's the odds-on favorite to be the best Fantasy QB.
Danreb Victorio A Believer of Greg Jennings
shield4life
15 years ago
Whoever grabs Rodgs in there draft try picking up Finley 2. You'll rack up major points, I'm sure Finley is going to be the go to guy in the red zone.
Glad To Be A Packers Fan.
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