mi_keys
14 years ago

well my prediction for #1 qb this year is Brady, he gets the NFC North that will boost his stats to be huge lol and throw in the Bills and Dolphins twice and to top it off the Brownies. I see a huge huge year.

"Zero2Cool" wrote:




He did very well against the Bills and Dolphins last season.

94 of 142 66%
1177 yards
6 td's
5 int's
3 sacks

"dhazer" wrote:



Great stats minus the ints. Didn't most of those come in one game against the Bills?

I think Rodgers has been listed as the number one quarterback for fantasy in every league I've seen, not just Yahoo. Of course that's only because of that conspiracy theory we've uncovered whereby Ted Thompson and Mike McCarthy sacrifice everything--even winning--to ensure Rodgers has great stats.
Born and bred a cheesehead
mi_keys
14 years ago

well my prediction for #1 qb this year is Brady, he gets the NFC North that will boost his stats to be huge lol and throw in the Bills and Dolphins twice and to top it off the Brownies. I see a huge huge year.

"dhazer" wrote:



I agree we're more likely to see him thrown in the mix at the top. He's now a year removed from that ACL injury and the one biggest concern I had for his stats has been cut down with Welker returning to practice this early.
Born and bred a cheesehead
porky88
14 years ago
Here are my stat projections for Rodgers. I'm doing stat projections for the fantasy site I write at....

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
4213 passing yards
33 touchdowns (4 rushing)
13 turnovers (3 fumbles)
268 rushing yards

Now here's my numbers for Drew Brees, who would be No. 1 if I just took into account the passing numbers.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
4647 passing yards
32 touchdowns (1 rushing)
18 turnovers (4 fumbles)
29 rushing yards

As you can see Rodgers gets a huge boost due to the fact he is a runner and Brees isn't.

Rodgers earns 50.8 fantasy points with his legs. Brees earns 8.9 with his legs.

That's 41.9 difference, which is enough to make up for the difference in their passing numbers.

Brees holds about a 19 point advantage when just taking the passing numbers into account.

In the end, Rodgers holds about a 23 point advantage thanks to his legs.

Officially I have it at

Rodgers 367.32 points
Brees 344.78 points

Those are my No. 1 and No. 2 so now you know who will be my top two QBs when we have our yearly fantasy draft 🙂
earthquake
14 years ago
As said before, the reason Rodgers is the top fantasy QB is his rushing skills. He's a top 5 QB stats wise, but the last 2 years he has been the top rushing QB in the league. Until Brady can run for 400 yards and 4 TDs, he's going to have trouble keeping up with Rodgers, he could have another 50 TD season, but i happen to think its more likely that he doesn't do that than it is he does. Brees has been playing far and away better than any QB in the league, but Rodgers still manages to score more fantasy points.

2007 was a statistical anomaly for Brady, he has never been a big "stats guy" and infact 2007 is the only time he ever has throw for over 30 TDs in a season, let alone anything close to 50. Rodgers as a starter has averaged 33.5 TDs, outside of Brady's freak 2007 season, the most TDs he's scored in a season is 29(2009 and 2002). All the stars aligned for him in 2007, with Welker and Moss having career years, its hard to imagine that even if healthy, having an older more disgruntled and lethargic Moss, and Welker coming off a serious injury means he'll be able to replicate that sort of season. Now, its not crazy to think he could throw for 35-38 TDs, and that probably enough to lead the league in fantasy points, but honestly i just dont see it happening.
blank
blueleopard
14 years ago
Yeah, most standard fantasy leagues give a bounty to players who put up good rushing stats, and that's why running backs are so valuable.

So since Aaron Rodgers is a double-threat, he's the odds-on favorite to be the best Fantasy QB.
Danreb Victorio A Believer of Greg Jennings
shield4life
14 years ago
Whoever grabs Rodgs in there draft try picking up Finley 2. You'll rack up major points, I'm sure Finley is going to be the go to guy in the red zone.
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Tua’s old DC won a Super Bowl Year 1 with Tua’s former backup
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Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Funny observation I've heard: Carson Wentz was on the sideline for both Eagles Super Bowl wins w/guys supposed to be his back up winning
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Yes, the Pro Bowl. It was played Sunday before Super Bowl from 2010-2022
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : pro bowl
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : From 2010 to 2022, it was played on the Sunday before the Super Bowl
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TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : If I was Philly I would try to end it instead of punting it
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : VICTORY! We have (moral) victory!
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Hey they mentioned that we 3-peted
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : seems to me the 49ers should have traded Aiyuk when they had the chance
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : if the Eagles get it down to the 1, do they Tush Push or give it to Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : 49ers have a money problem if they want to sign their QB
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Wait for real? Didn't he just get an extension two years ago?
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : 49ers gonna trade Deebo. Interesting
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Replays always never seem to show the holdings
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Great throw by Hurts
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Where Carter falls prey to bad off the field influences (to be clear, not saying he'd clip someone though)
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Had Carter not gone to Philly were they already had a lot of old college friends, he ends up in a similar spot to Aaron Hernandez
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : I think some of his coaches told scouts to stay away
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : the street racing incident+conditioning and motivation problems
beast (10-Feb) : Then Carter was street racing, where the other car crashed and people died... and other teams were scared to pick Carter for some reason
beast (10-Feb) : I think the Saints traded up, giving their next year 1st to the Eagles, and then they sucked and Eagles got the 10th overall pick
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : wtf Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Getting Carter and Nolan Smith in the first round in 2023 was pretty darn good
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : for some reason i'm thinking of a draft where the Eagles where in the mid 20s and a top player fell all the way to them
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think so. I would need to look it up. Think it may have been Carolina's pick.
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : i'm not sure who i'm thinking of now
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : oh fuck me i messed that up
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Jordan Davis was 13th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Carter was 9th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles had 15th and 10th selections, moved to 13 and 9 to get Davis and Carter back to back
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles traded up for Carter, didn't they?
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Obviously he was a huge risk but getting a top 5 talent on the dline in the mid 20s is fortuitous
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Jalen Carter falling into their lap certainly helps
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : And we could only wish to have this type of D
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : It's not like Philly has had low draft picks, but has managed to get themselves a top notch pass rush. We spend so much draft capital of D
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : another crap halftime show
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think it is over, but then I think of Atlanta and want Philly to go in with the same intensity in the second half
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