CaliforniaCheez
13 years ago
NFC

First Round Bye
1) Packers (1) (Better record than anyone)
2) 49'ers (2) (Winning % 5-1 > Saints 5-2)

Division Winners
3) Saints (6) (Winning % 5-2 > Giants 4-2)
4) Giants (4) (Winning % 4-2 > Cowboys 3-3)

Wild Cards
5) Lions (5) (winning % 5-2 > Bears 4-3)
6) Bears (8) (Head to head win over Buccaneers)

The Rest in Order:
7) Buccaneers (3) (Head to head win over Falcons)
8) Falcons (9) (Winning % 4-3 > Cowboys 3-3)
9) Cowboys (10) (Head to head win over Redskins)
10) Redskins (7) (Winning % 3-3 > Seahawks 2-4)
11) Seahawks (11) (Conference % 2-2 > Eagles 2-3)
12) Eagles (12) (Winning % 2-4 > Panthers 2-5)
13) Panthers (15)(Winning % 2-5 > Cardinals 1-5)
14) Cardinals (13) (Winning % 1-5 > vikings 1-6)
15) vikings (14) (Winning % 1-6 > Rams 0-6)
16) Rams (16)


AFC

First Round Bye
1) Patriots (1) (Winning % 5-1 > Steelers 5-2)
2) Steelers (8) (Winning % 5-2 > Chargers 4-2)

Division Winners
3) Chargers (3) (Winning % 4-2 > Texans 4-3)
4) Texans (9)

Wild Cards
5) Bengals (5) (Head to head win over Bills)
6) Bills (6) (Conf % 3-1 > Ravens 3-2)

The rest in order:
7) Ravens (2) (Conf % 3-2 > Raiders 4-3)
8) Raiders (7) (Conf % 4-3 > Jets 3-3)
9) Jets (10) (Winning % 4-3 > Titans 3-3)
10) Titans (4) (SOV .500 > Chiefs .238)
11) Chiefs (12) (Conf % 2-2 > Browns 2-3)
12) Browns (11) (Winning % 3-3 > Broncos 2-4)
13) Broncos (13) (Winning % 2-4 > Jaguars 2-5)
14) Jaguars (14) (Winning % 2-5 > 0-7 Colts)
15) Colts (16) (SOS .605 > Dolphins .579)
16) Dolphins (15)


Notes:
49'ers lost no ground during their bye week.
3 Playoff teams in the NFC North
The Packers will still be the #1 Team next week regardless of results.
The Packers have won 6 of 12 conference games.
49'ers, Lions, Bears and Falcons have won 4.
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wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
13 years ago
It is nice to have a 2 game cushion at this point in the season.
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PackerTraxx
13 years ago
It's even better to have a 2 game cushion at the end of the season.
Why is Jerry Kramer not in the Hall of Fame?
wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
13 years ago
This is true. I would be even better still to have a 5 10 year steak of winning the SB.
I has not trying to say what is the best. Just that as of right now it is great to have a little cushion.
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DoddPower
13 years ago

This is true. I would be even better still to have a 5 10 year steak of winning the SB.
I has not trying to say what is the best. Just that as of right now it is great to have a little cushion.

Originally Posted by: wpr 




heh, I kind of had the same thought when reading that response.
mi_keys
13 years ago

It is nice to have a 2 game cushion at this point in the season.

Originally Posted by: wpr 



1.5. The goal is home field advantage. We should be severely disappointed with anything less.
Born and bred a cheesehead
evad04
13 years ago

1.5. The goal is home field advantage. We should be severely disappointed with anything less.

Originally Posted by: mi_keys 


I understand the sentiment here, but it doesn't jive with me. We should be severely disappointed if the Pack don't make the playoffs. We should be slightly disappointed if they don't get a 1st round bye. We should be mildly disappointed if they don't get home field throughout the playoffs.

Atlanta had the NFC's best record -- and with it, home field advantage. How'd that play out for them? All that matters is making it to the tournament, like we barely did last year.

At this point the only thing I surmise could keep us out of the playoffs is an injury to Rodgers. But that isn't gonna happen, because he needs to see through his first MVP season.
William Henderson didn't have to run people over. His preferred method was levitation.
"I'm a reasonable man, get off my case."
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago

But that isn't gonna happen, because he needs to see through his first MVP season.

Originally Posted by: evad04 


Wow, now there is a non sequitur if I ever saw one!😝

At 7-0 the Packers are currently up 2.5 games on the Giants, 2 games on the Lions and Saints, and 1.5 games on the 49ers. They are up 3 games on Bears and Falcons. The Packers only need to go 5-4 the rest of the way to hit 12-4, while the Giants need to go 8-2, the Lions and Saints need to go 7-2, and the 49ers need to go 7-3. I don't see the Giants or the Lions going on that kind of run. The Saints probably have the firepower to do it, but I think it's unlikely that they will sustain their level of early-season success. The only other team I see having a legitimate chance at hitting 12-4 without a whole lot of luck and/or outside help is the 49ers, who still have 5 games to play in the extraordinarily impotent NFC West.

Thus it is likely that 12-4 will secure at a minimum a first-round bye and more likely homefield advantage throughout. Absent a catastrophic late-season collapse, I think the Packers are well positioned to attain either or both milestones.
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mi_keys
13 years ago

I understand the sentiment here, but it doesn't jive with me. We should be severely disappointed if the Pack don't make the playoffs. We should be slightly disappointed if they don't get a 1st round bye. We should be mildly disappointed if they don't get home field throughout the playoffs.

Atlanta had the NFC's best record -- and with it, home field advantage. How'd that play out for them? All that matters is making it to the tournament, like we barely did last year.

At this point the only thing I surmise could keep us out of the playoffs is an injury to Rodgers. But that isn't gonna happen, because he needs to see through his first MVP season.

Originally Posted by: evad04 



Number 1 seeds generally do a little bit better than they did last year. In fact, we're less than two years removed from a Super Bowl that featured two number 1 seeds. 4 Number 1 seeds have made the Super Bowl in the last 5 years.

We're 16-3 at home since the beginning of 2009 and have won 8 straight in Lambeau since we lost in overtime to Miami. I'm not worried about the cold weather either. I've pulled up the stats before and Rodgers passing in outdoor games late in the year were statistically no different than his career averages (until he upped his game this year). He can probably handle the bad weather better than just about anyone. We're also 8-2 in our last 10 games following a bye. Being the number 1 seed would be a boost to our chances of repeating.

I also look at our remaining schedule and who might compete with us for the top seed. 6-3 from here on out should be very attainable. In my opinion that should be the absolute minimum. If that's the case, New Orleans or Tampa Bay have to win out to pass us and Tampa has to go to Green Bay and New Orleans still. If we beat the Giants then either the Cowboys or Redskins would have to win out and beat us on some non-head-to-head tiebreaker. That leaves San Francisco as the only other team with a shot at 13-3 or better, which they might do considering how shit their schedule is and how resilient they've been. All that considered, I'll be disappointed if we don't get home field advantage.

That said, if we finish 10-6 as a wild card and win the Super Bowl, I won't care one lick that we didn't get home field advantage.


...this of course does not take into account how injuries might pan out.
Born and bred a cheesehead
Nonstopdrivel
13 years ago

4 Number 1 seeds have made the Super Bowl in the last 5 years.

Originally Posted by: mi_keys 


True, although it is a rare Super Bowl that features both Number 1 seeds. I did the math last year (I'd have to dig up the thread). If I remember correctly, only 13% of Super Bowls have featured two Number 1 seeds. I created that thread to point out that even though they were a Number 6, there was still hope for the Packers, since there was an 87% chance that both Number 1 seeds wouldn't make it past the second weekend.
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Fan Shout
wpr (21h) : It's all good.
beast (30-May) : Yeah, and I enjoyed your comments and just attempted to add to it. Sorry if I did it incorrectly.
wpr (30-May) : Beast I never said Henderson was the salt of the earth. Nor even that he was correct. Just quoting the guy.
Zero2Cool (29-May) : What did you do??
Zero2Cool (29-May) : Whoa
beast (29-May) : OMG the website is now all white, even some white on white text
beast (29-May) : Henderson, who admits to taking cocaine during the Super Bowl against the Steelers, might dislike Bradshaw as he lost two Superbowls to him
wpr (28-May) : Hollywood Henderson said Bradshaw “is so dumb, he couldn't spell 'cat' if you spotted him the C and an A.”
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : Cooper stock=BUY BUY BUY
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : Also notes he’s playing with more confidence.
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : @AndyHermanNFL MLF says there was a time last year where Cooper was at 220 pounds. Now he’s at 240 and still flying around.
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : And don't even get me started on Frank Caliendos "impersonations"
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : I got tired of them being circle jerks with them overlaughing at each others jokes.
Zero2Cool (28-May) : It used to be must watch TV for me. now it's "meh" maybe to hear injury update
Mucky Tundra (28-May) : I haven't watched the pregame shows in years and I don't feel like I've missed a thing
Zero2Cool (28-May) : Love says knee affected him all season, groin injury didn't help matters.
Zero2Cool (28-May) : I used to enjoy him on FOX Pregame. Now it's like a frat party of former Patriots.
Zero2Cool (28-May) : LaFleur on Watson: “Christian is doing outstanding. I would say he’s ahead of schedule.”
Martha Careful (28-May) : Bradshaw is a dumb ass cracker. I am so tired of his "aw shucks" diatribe. He should shrivel up and go away.
buckeyepackfan (28-May) : He wad all butt hurt because Aaron duped the media saying he was immunized.
buckeyepackfan (28-May) : Bradshaw needs to retire. He's been ripping on Rodgers ever since the covid crap. He was all hury
Zero2Cool (28-May) : Terry Bradshaw doesn't want Rodgers in Pittsburgh lol wow
Zero2Cool (27-May) : one day contract, which he also feels is pointless, but if Packers came to him, he would
packerfanoutwest (27-May) : Aaron Rodgers talks possibility of retiring with Packers, just another rumor
dfosterf (27-May) : Go watch 2001
Zero2Cool (26-May) : 1984
dfosterf (26-May) : That movie sent a chill through many. 1968.
dfosterf (26-May) : "Open the pod bay doors, HAL"
buckeyepackfan (25-May) : Haven't we all seen thus movie? It doesn't end well!! Lol
Zero2Cool (25-May) : lol Anthropic’s new AI model turns to blackmail when engineers try to take it offline
dfosterf (25-May) : Claude Opus 4
dfosterf (25-May) : AI system resorts to blackmail when its developers threaten to take it offline
beast (22-May) : Colts Owner Jim Irsay has passed away
Zero2Cool (21-May) : Well, emailing should work now. After not working for almost a year. Oops.
Zero2Cool (21-May) : Brotherly Shove did not get enough votes.
Zero2Cool (20-May) : lol our email hasn't worked in months. 7 pages of unverified users
Zero2Cool (20-May) : MySpace Screaming Lord Byron ... Brett Favre.
Zero2Cool (19-May) : Packers have signed first-round pick Matthew Golden, leaving second-round tackle Anthony Belton as their only unsigned draft pick
beast (19-May) : Supposedly he has to take his image, and name off of it... but otherwise could keep selling wine if he wanted to.
Zero2Cool (19-May) : he giving up his win business?
beast (19-May) : Speaking of Woodson, sounds like he'll be a minority owner (0.1%) of the Browns
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Zero, regarding Woodson, that'd why I find the timing with Williams peculiar
dfosterf (15-May) : Ryan Hall y'all does a great job of tracking thesr
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Fear not!! I planned to do 33mi bike ride tomorrow morning, so ... yeah
Zero2Cool (15-May) : We got some dark clouds and nasty winds right bout now.
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Madison they had hail 4pm.
dfosterf (15-May) : Sure looks like these tornadoes are headed towards Green Bay
Zero2Cool (15-May) : Woodson of Charles fame was reluctant and then loved it. that didn't really come out until post career
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : IE "We bought into the Bears and they let us down, we have no choice to seek alternatives"
Mucky Tundra (15-May) : Or that Williams and his family are preparing an exit ramp if they don't like how things are going in a few years
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