warhawk
10 years ago
Every year we see the true contenders start to appear in the second half of the season. Say what you like but teams that have played very well in the 1st half don't always fair well and then other teams that start to find the Mo Jo and the "it" factor that do.

The games get bigger and bigger now. Putting together wins and starting to jell as a team and gain that confidence and swagger is HUGE.
There is an additional component to the second half of a season and that is PRESSURE. These division races will start to become clearer and like I said the games become bigger. Who can handle it? Who thrives on it?

Way to often I've seen teams buckle when it gets to be nut cuttin' time and other teams start stomping on opponents necks that didn't show that earlier in the year. So for me it's too early to start labeling anybody pretenders or contenders quite yet.



"The train is leaving the station."
dfosterf
10 years ago
We'll see. I'm very worried, but the points are legitimate. I have no reason to trust our defense against good teams, but maybe you guys see something I missed. Clay on the inside- like that- Peppers playing well, like that... Not nearly enough, imo....


We shall see.

Zero2Cool
10 years ago
As for the Eagles playing with a backup QB. Nick Foles has started 24 games, Mark Sanchez has started over 60. The value of the backup comment can be dismissed. The Eagles are breaking the mold and winning with poor QB play and a dominating special teams play.


Someone asked "what are we doing here", well, we are fans, is that not obvious? We can always hope for the best, even though expecting the worst.

If the Packers dominate the Eagles like they have the Panthers, Vikings and Bears, then I'm going to lean more towards contender than I am now.

The true test comes against the Patriots. Beat them, you're a contender. Lose to them, you're still a pretender.



The Jets were 1-0 when the Pack played them.
The Bears were 2-1 the 1st time The Pack played them.

Does that count as beating teams with a winning record?

The Vikings and The Dolphins were 2-2 when The Packers played them.

"The team that takes the field in December usually does not resemble the team that took the field in September."

A team can ONLY play the teams on their schedule.

The Packers are contenders until they are eliminated from the playoff race.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan 



You're the kind of person who thinks everyone deserves a trophy for participation, am I right?


The December/September thing is quite true and am I saying from what I have seen thus far, they are pretenders. They have not beat a good QB'd team, yet.





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wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
10 years ago

Every year we see the true contenders start to appear in the second half of the season. Say what you like but teams that have played very well in the 1st half don't always fair well and then other teams that start to find the Mo Jo and the "it" factor that do.

The games get bigger and bigger now. Putting together wins and starting to jell as a team and gain that confidence and swagger is HUGE.
There is an additional component to the second half of a season and that is PRESSURE. These division races will start to become clearer and like I said the games become bigger. Who can handle it? Who thrives on it?

Way to often I've seen teams buckle when it gets to be nut cuttin' time and other teams start stomping on opponents necks that didn't show that earlier in the year. So for me it's too early to start labeling anybody pretenders or contenders quite yet.


Originally Posted by: warhawk 



I agree Hawk that teams will step up in the 2nd half. I guess my question to you is have you seen enough of GB against other teams of quality to make you feel that they will be one of them? Asking Aaron to carry the whole team every single game is a bit of a concern to me.

The other issue is GB only has 2 more divisional games. It is hard to make a move even if they are only 1 game back (plus being on the negative side of the tie breaker.) when they only have 2 more games to play.
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wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member
10 years ago

I think we are closer on this than it sounds, if there was a venn diagram to illustrate this we would be in the middle section. This is splitting hairs, but my point is that 3 games of losing to a quality opponent isn't significant enough to rule a team out. It certainly indicates that they can't beat a quality opponent, but all it actually proves is that they didn't. There is no solace to be taken here, but if two quality teams play each other, at least one has to lose. You could replace "quality teams" with "CONTENDERS". Let's say there are three remaining quality teams to be played this year (Eagles, Patriots, and Lions) - how many wins out of this total of six games do the Packers need to be rated a contender?

In the end it's too subjective to come to a clear conclusion, but it does make fore good fan discussion.

Originally Posted by: olds70supreme 



venn diagram? VENN DIAGRAM??? Statistically significant? You gotta be kidding me.

GB only plays 16 regular season games a year. So you will not see the same kind of statistical numbers /opportunities as you will for MLB other the other major sports. They played 3 teams that now (over half way through the year) that have winning records. They lost all three times. That is 100%. That has some relevance in the discussion.

If they had played only 1 game against a quality opponent and lost it and it was still early September you could make a point but not now. 0-3 is a significant statistic. Chart that on your venn diagram if you need the proof. It will fit.
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dfosterf
10 years ago
Someone please explain a friggin' Venn diagram in my ignorance. This BETTER not have anything to do with baseball or that movies about the Athletics/whatever.
Zero2Cool
10 years ago

Someone please explain a friggin' Venn diagram in my ignorance.

Originally Posted by: dfosterf 



I'm of the type that needs visual aids, so this is the best I can do.

UserPostedImage
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Cheesey
10 years ago
Fact is, only ONE team and its fans will be happy at the end of the season.
So much can happen between now and the end of the season. Injuries and so on.
So the guys that seem to be "elite" right now might not be at the end of the year.
The Packers of 2010, who really thought they would go all the way?
Everything can change and it COULD happen again!
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dfosterf
10 years ago

I'm of the type that needs visual aids, so this is the best I can do.

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 




Come on, you're the tekkie guy in here...

WHAT THE fuck does that chart have to do with our probabilities in future GAMES?

I know you didn't write that crap, but you are the fool that responded, so, I'm asking....
macbob
10 years ago

I'm just not seeing contender from the Packers. The next game they have to beat a real contender is the Patriots. if they can win that game, then we can consider them tilted towards contenders instead of pretenders.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



OK. So, I'll wait until after the Patriots game to make that call... [boxing]
Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (1h) : We can say it. We don't play.
Mucky Tundra (2h) : But to say they are in is looking past the Saints
Mucky Tundra (2h) : That said, their odds are very favorable with a >99% chance of making the playoffs entering this week's games
Mucky Tundra (2h) : Packers are not in and have not clinched a playoff spot.
buckeyepackfan (3h) : Packers are in, they need to keep winning to improve their seed#.
Mucky Tundra (12h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan
beast (12h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings
bboystyle (12h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Or ties, but let's be real here
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch
buckeyepackfan (16h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks
Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak
beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
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