Dulak
13 years ago

I might be wrong but I always thought the Vegas Oddsmakers base the line on analyzing statistics, history, etc. and then gamblers move the line accordingly if they start betting heavily on one side. I don't mean to say they sit there and look at every little thing but I would guess that the Dome thing favors the Packers. If the game was in Kansas City, I would guess it'd be an even spread. But again, I don't know a whole lot about the odd-making.

"Greg C." wrote:



ya I dont know but you could be right. I know that team home games are given an automatic -3; and this doesnt have anything to do with whom picks whom to win etc ...

"Dulak" wrote:



I'm not sure if this is true. I always thought that the three points for a home game thing was more like a rule of thumb than something that is done automatically.

"RedSoxExcel" wrote:



well I have been betting for the past 2 years on games and it seems that all evenly matched teams it has functioned this way and they it is lopsided either way. As far as I know the UK bookies get their numbers from the US stats because not as many people bet on football here.

Like one time I had to call in because they didnt have a marker for some preseason games and they just took the spread from what the main us markets were using.
Stevetarded
13 years ago

Ok so Rodgers had a great game against the awful Falcons secondary and he is a dome qb?

"IronMan" wrote:


Prior to the Atlanta game:

106.4 passer rating in 10 starts, with 2,645 yds, 18 TDs and five INTs on 205-of-307 passing (66.8%)

"dhazer" wrote:



Also add in the fact that those stats are from playing in domes on the road which is significantly more difficult than playing in a dome at home.
blank
Stevetarded
13 years ago

awful Falcons

"TwinkieGorilla" wrote:



What the fuck is wrong with you, dude? Seriously. What.

"dhazer" wrote:



For real, he always says something stupid like that then someone will post stats that make him look like an idiot and he will disappear.
blank
Greg C.
13 years ago

I might be wrong but I always thought the Vegas Oddsmakers base the line on analyzing statistics, history, etc. and then gamblers move the line accordingly if they start betting heavily on one side. I don't mean to say they sit there and look at every little thing but I would guess that the Dome thing favors the Packers. If the game was in Kansas City, I would guess it'd be an even spread. But again, I don't know a whole lot about the odd-making.

"Dulak" wrote:



ya I dont know but you could be right. I know that team home games are given an automatic -3; and this doesnt have anything to do with whom picks whom to win etc ...

"Greg C." wrote:



I'm not sure if this is true. I always thought that the three points for a home game thing was more like a rule of thumb than something that is done automatically.

"Dulak" wrote:



well I have been betting for the past 2 years on games and it seems that all evenly matched teams it has functioned this way and they it is lopsided either way. As far as I know the UK bookies get their numbers from the US stats because not as many people bet on football here.

Like one time I had to call in because they didnt have a marker for some preseason games and they just took the spread from what the main us markets were using.

"RedSoxExcel" wrote:



Ah, so you have experience with this. Thanks for the info. I'm not a gambler at all, but I always find it interesting to look at a game from that angle.
blank
Zero2Cool
13 years ago

Ok so Rodgers had a great game against the awful Falcons secondary and he is a dome qb?

"dhazer" wrote:



The Falcons aren't awful. They went 13-3 and only lost something like 3 games in the last two years at home, plus they had a BYE week to rest up and prepare.

The Packers made the Falcons look awful. I wonder if Rodgers throws 3 TD's and for 370 yards and we beat the Steelers by 20+ if you're gonna say the Steelers are awful as well.
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Zero2Cool (1h) : We can say it. We don't play.
Mucky Tundra (2h) : But to say they are in is looking past the Saints
Mucky Tundra (2h) : That said, their odds are very favorable with a >99% chance of making the playoffs entering this week's games
Mucky Tundra (2h) : Packers are not in and have not clinched a playoff spot.
buckeyepackfan (3h) : Packers are in, they need to keep winning to improve their seed#.
Mucky Tundra (12h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan
beast (12h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings
bboystyle (13h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Or ties, but let's be real here
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses
Mucky Tundra (16h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch
buckeyepackfan (16h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks
Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak
beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
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