pff_mock_results - 2025-03-15T161142.252.png
You have insufficient rights to see the content.1.23 Trade with Ravens, where we swap 1st round picks, and they get CB Alexander, were Packers get their 2nd and 4th this year, and 3rd next year. Probably unrealistic trade, but PFF approved it.
1.27 WR Burden IIINo clue why PFF has Burden consistently dropping but they do, he's under 6' but other than that, there isn't much bad to say about Burden, other than his numbers clearly dropped, but as scouting reports suggest, that's probably mainly because defenses were selling out to stop him, and daring Missouri to win with someone else. Also some note that Burden looked bored, not getting the ball as much, and Missouri having an overly simple offense scheme, that failed to be more complex and find ways to get the ball into his hands. But when he gets the ball, it's like watching a physical and fast RB against DBs.
2.29 DT NolenCommanders have the 2nd least 2025 draft capital followed by only the Vikings. So they take two 2nd round picks for a late 1st.
Nolen might be the most naturally given penetrating DT in this draft class, and his technique isn't overly good, meaning he's got a lot of upside and room for improvement. Packers couldn't run their preferred Defensive Scheme as the DL wasn't getting enough pressure, I actually probably wouldn't mind if both these 1st round picks were used on DL, assuming they're successful selections.
3.87 OL MilumLots of OL to select from here, sort of pick the type that interest you, I went with West Virginia's long term starting LT, as I believe he's got the best feet and pass blocking potential, which is how I believe they also selected Arizona's LT Morgan in the 1st round a year ago. Like Morgan, Milum has short arms, but Milum's arm are an inch shorter which has a number of people taking him off their OT board, but Milum is actually better against the run than pass, so in theory he should be able to play well at OG.
4.124 CB Williams (Kick Returner)4.128 CB AlexanderI've decided to cover these two CBs together, as they're both aggressive press man CBs, that could and should add more strength. They're not considered the best athletes in shorts, but turn on the tape and they're quite sticky and the best athletes aren't getting away from them very quickly. Both seem like great fits for Cover 3 (the defensive scheme they were supposedly trying to run, the Scheme the Hafley and the 49ers copied from the Seahawks Legion of Boom with Richard Sherman, and the 49ers signed and Hafley did coach Richard Sherman). Of these two Williams is the better athlete and he also has returned Kickoffs, while Alexander hasn't played on STs. Alexander is extremely aggressive against the run, while Williams aggression against the run comes and goes.
4.129 DE JonesGute likes himself very large athletic DEs, and at 6'5" 280lbs, that's exactly what Jones is. He's big, athletic and physical. But Jones has some negatives as well, in that he lets OL get into his pads too much, doesn't know how to use his length well enough to keep OL out of his pads, he's consistent but not creative, you know what to expect, but so does the OL, and while he gives 100% effort on each and every play, not holding anything in reserves, that also means his energy tank will be used up quicker and you'll need a coach willing and able to notice him and quickly pull him when that starts happening, he'll need to be kept in a consistent rotation to keep him fresh, as he'll give everything (which is great) but then run low on energy (which is not great).
5.175 OG Jones Jr.Jones Jr. was a top 10 IOL recruit out of highschool, but went on to start 3 years at RT for LSU. I figure he'll go higher than this, as there is a lot of love/hate for his play and potential, but in the pros, he should probably slide in to OG, as some of his major errors are caused because he struggles to keep up with the speed outside, and then he panics, and it's down hill from there. But even at OG, he'll still need to improve on body control and hand placement, but if you just look at the highlights, he could also become an absolutely dominant player. So draft grade evaluation, will probably depend on what the evaluation values most, the positives or negatives. But Jones Jr. is a player that could absolutely boom or absolutely bust, and it's a risk, but if you can develop him, it could pay off.
6.206 OT PierceAlright, so this is one of my draft crushes and might be a horrible pick, but I just dislike the disrespect he's getting.
Pierce is 6'8" 340+lbs, and has heavy feet, and will struggle against elite speed rushers, and he's probably too tall to consider moving inside, so he's limited with a clear weakness that hard to hide, other than with a chipping TE or RB helping him out.
On the other hand, he's 6'8" 340lbs, with 36" arm length, and if he's able to get on you, he clearly has disruptive power to force people to go around him, or get flatted by him.
But that's not why he's my draft crush, throughout the years, there have been plenty of oversized OT (too big to move inside) that have great power, but lack the quickness or speed to play OT and usually I want to stay completely away from them.
To me, Pierce is different than others because he's CLEARLY improved each and every off-season. EVERY YEAR, he's CLEARLY better than the previous year. I'm not sure if this can continue in the pros, but I'm interested to watch and find out.
Also Pierce used to be an out of shape kid over 400lbs, and just getting in or out of the car, would move the entire car, before walking on at Rutgers, they warned him it would be a tough road, but he wanted to get in better shape and he wanted to play. And from the sounds of it, while he plays extremely extremely mean, when the pads come off, he's also considered by some to be the nicest person on earth.
So he might be a bust, but his college play, he deserves an opportunity!
6.211 TE/WR Gadsden IIPlay wise, Gadsden is a large slot WR in a TE sized body, don't expect to see quality blocking from him. But he has had multiple 900 yards seasons as a 6'5", 245lb frame with a very low drop percentage and a good win rate of contested passes being caught. In a straight line, he runs fast like Musgrave. I'm not sure if I actually believe he'll fall this far with receiving TEs being the new in thing, but once again, he's more of a large slot WR than TE due to lack of blocking. Also he has hip tightness, meaning he's best in a straight line, such as going deep then quick turning routes underneath. Dad was an NFL WR.
7.237 DT RobinsonSimple put, Robinson is a powerful bully on the field. He's going be extremely physical, be the first person to hit every single time with good quockness, and he's going to demand the OL either match his physical style or get run over. Robinson weakness is that if the OL can/will match the physical power style, than Robinson has no other tricks, has he has short arms, no creative, and not overly big at 288lbs. But amazing effort with power and quickness, even if he'll never be a star, he can still be a physical tone setter. Even to practice against, known who's ready to bring it for game day.
7.245 CB HillI honestly don't expect Hill to drop this far, as he's 6', 215lbs, very physical and supposedly in a straight line runs an explosive sub 4.4 in the 40 yard dash. Hill's issue is that he has a WR background, got moved to CB, but only has one season (2023) of playing 275 snaps or more (injury in 2024), so he's very inexperienced. But I'm sure someone will be willing to gamble on big, straight line explosive and very physical tackler, and some absolutely will be considering moving him to Safety, as he's great going forward. But while he's straight line fast, he's only average speed when not in a straight line, and without the coverage instincts can't play man coverage, so he's limited to outside zone coverage roles. But if you can get a system where he can stay back, wait for the ball and then just attack once the ball comes out, then he potentially could be great. But he needs the right system or role for that. In the meantime, he's expected to be a very good ST player.
7.250 WR Brooks (Punt & Kick Returner)Brooks is probably too light (185lbs) to be on Gute's draft board, but if Nixon was serious about trying to get off the return duties, then we need to consider other options. He's also blocked multiple punts over his career.
As a Sophomore, Brooks looked like he'd be a future star at Alabama, posting a good number of TDs but injuries took out his junior year, and he transfered to Louisville for his senior year.
Brooks strength is deep ball tracking and a lot of little tricks to create final separation right before the catch point. His speed is argued, as some suggestions 4.46, while others claim 4.65 which might be good for a LB ot TE, but quite slow for a WR. Also he decided not to run the 40 at the combine, which might suggest the slower number is more correct.
Brooks is a natural on deep balls, but he has a lot to work on underneath, such as releases and routes, but I'm mainly grabbing him as a Punt Returner option and STer.