luigis
8 years ago
I've run a few simulations, If we win out I think we are in with a high probability, say 95%.
If we lose a game we are out. I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.
In most of my simulations if we lose against Detroit then the Giants, Redskins or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Note: In my simulations if we win out we are in even if Detroit doesn't lose against NY o r DAL, we would then get the 6th seed at 10-6.
Luis
The_Green_Ninja
8 years ago
The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.
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beast
8 years ago

since my request was rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.

Originally Posted by: beast 



Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.
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beast
8 years ago

Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Beast was saying it in chat, but failed miserably

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 





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luigis
8 years ago

The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.

Originally Posted by: The_Green_Ninja 



No, that would be incorrect.

I've inputed: Dallas defeats Detroit, NYG defeats Detroit, we win against Chi and Min, Min loses to IND.
Even then we need to win the week 17 game against detroit, if we lose Detroit wins the Division and the Giants and Redskis or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Luis
Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Originally Posted by: beast 



You said the Packers could win out and miss playoffs. I asked how because what I had seen is if the won out, they were in. I was asking to be educated, not ignored and insulted. I wasn't paying attention to others because I was making sure since I asked YOU that if YOU responded that I would see it and not miss it. I was giving YOU my attention. If you had just said you didn't feel like explaining it, no big deal. I'm capable of finding out myself, but I was hoping you could share information so OTHERS could also see it.

Playing the victim? Fuck you.
Calling you out? Fuck you.

You're the one acting like some victim cuz I was ribbing you about not giving up some information. Grab a tissue and wipe the tears off your hurt'd ass.

You could have laughed off the ribbing, but no, you got all PMS on me and want to keep going on and on an on, so guess what? I will keep fucking going on and on and on too. The funny thing is here, if you had this much passion to INFORM someone who was ASKING to be INFORMED, we wouldn't have this. But no, you had to be an asshole about it so guess what ... I will also be a asshole. Am I up to five fuck you's yet? Fuck you! (gonna count, brb, gotta take socks an shoes off first)
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beast
8 years ago

I wasn't paying attention to others

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.

Originally Posted by: beast 



You should know I was ignoring them because you are special. You know what kind of special I'm talking. 😉

It's cool, no worries. I'm done with this now. I was going to keep going, but I think you actually are taking me seriously so I'm dropping it. Sorry bud. Ain't no reason to salty up your VICTORY FUCKING MONDAY!!! Sorry, I just love beating the piss out of the Seahawks. Freaking hate that team.

I hope the defense gets another six turn overs and annihilates the hell out of the Bears. I can't hate them because they just suck and it feels wrong.
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mi_keys
8 years ago

I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.

Originally Posted by: luigis 



It's very difficult but if the Packers' one loss is the Bears or Lions, Green Bay could be a wild card if two of the three scenarios below happen:

1. Either Atlanta OR Tampa Bay lose out;
2. Washington loses two; and
3. New York loses out

No one in the NFC West can reach 9-7 other than Seattle, who would be the division winner. So a 9-7 Packers team finishing second in the NFC North is chasing whoever finishes second in the NFC South as well as Washington and New York for the two spots.

If Green Bay beats Chicago and Detroit but lose to Minnesota, Minnesota would have to lose their other two games for Green Bay to still finish second in the NFC North. If all three of the above scenarios play out, then Minnesota and Green Bay could be the two wild card teams.

In short, winning the division is the much easier path now.
Born and bred a cheesehead
Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (14-Feb) : Packers are hiring Luke Getsy as senior offensive assistant.
Martha Careful (12-Feb) : I would love to have them both, esp. Crosby, but either might be too expensive.
Zero2Cool (12-Feb) : Keisean Nixon is trying to get Maxx Crosby and Davante Adams lol
Mucky Tundra (11-Feb) : Yeah where did it go?
packerfanoutwest (11-Feb) : or did you resctrict access to that topic?
packerfanoutwest (11-Feb) : why did you remove the Playoff topic?
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Tua’s old DC won a Super Bowl Year 1 with Tua’s former backup
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : *winning MVP
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Funny observation I've heard: Carson Wentz was on the sideline for both Eagles Super Bowl wins w/guys supposed to be his back up winning
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : NFL thought it would get more attention week preceding Super Bowl.
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Yes, the Pro Bowl. It was played Sunday before Super Bowl from 2010-2022
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : pro bowl
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : From 2010 to 2022, it was played on the Sunday before the Super Bowl
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : They moved it to the BYE week before Super Bowl several years ago.
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : it was always after the SB.....
beast (10-Feb) : Though I stop following pro bowl years ago
beast (10-Feb) : I thought the pro game was before the Super Bowl?
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : ok now for the Pro Bowl Game in Hawaii
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : If I was Philly I would try to end it instead of punting it
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : VICTORY! We have (moral) victory!
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Hey they mentioned that we 3-peted
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : seems to me the 49ers should have traded Aiyuk when they had the chance
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : if the Eagles get it down to the 1, do they Tush Push or give it to Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : 49ers have a money problem if they want to sign their QB
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Wait for real? Didn't he just get an extension two years ago?
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : 49ers gonna trade Deebo. Interesting
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Replays always never seem to show the holdings
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Great throw by Hurts
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Where Carter falls prey to bad off the field influences (to be clear, not saying he'd clip someone though)
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Had Carter not gone to Philly were they already had a lot of old college friends, he ends up in a similar spot to Aaron Hernandez
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : I think some of his coaches told scouts to stay away
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : the street racing incident+conditioning and motivation problems
beast (10-Feb) : Then Carter was street racing, where the other car crashed and people died... and other teams were scared to pick Carter for some reason
beast (10-Feb) : I think the Saints traded up, giving their next year 1st to the Eagles, and then they sucked and Eagles got the 10th overall pick
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : wtf Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Getting Carter and Nolan Smith in the first round in 2023 was pretty darn good
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : for some reason i'm thinking of a draft where the Eagles where in the mid 20s and a top player fell all the way to them
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think so. I would need to look it up. Think it may have been Carolina's pick.
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : i'm not sure who i'm thinking of now
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : oh fuck me i messed that up
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Jordan Davis was 13th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Carter was 9th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles had 15th and 10th selections, moved to 13 and 9 to get Davis and Carter back to back
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles traded up for Carter, didn't they?
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Obviously he was a huge risk but getting a top 5 talent on the dline in the mid 20s is fortuitous
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Jalen Carter falling into their lap certainly helps
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : And we could only wish to have this type of D
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : It's not like Philly has had low draft picks, but has managed to get themselves a top notch pass rush. We spend so much draft capital of D
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : another crap halftime show
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think it is over, but then I think of Atlanta and want Philly to go in with the same intensity in the second half
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