luigis
8 years ago
I've run a few simulations, If we win out I think we are in with a high probability, say 95%.
If we lose a game we are out. I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.
In most of my simulations if we lose against Detroit then the Giants, Redskins or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Note: In my simulations if we win out we are in even if Detroit doesn't lose against NY o r DAL, we would then get the 6th seed at 10-6.
Luis
The_Green_Ninja
8 years ago
The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.
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beast
8 years ago

since my request was rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.

Originally Posted by: beast 



Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.
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beast
8 years ago

Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Beast was saying it in chat, but failed miserably

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 





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luigis
8 years ago

The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.

Originally Posted by: The_Green_Ninja 



No, that would be incorrect.

I've inputed: Dallas defeats Detroit, NYG defeats Detroit, we win against Chi and Min, Min loses to IND.
Even then we need to win the week 17 game against detroit, if we lose Detroit wins the Division and the Giants and Redskis or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Luis
Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Originally Posted by: beast 



You said the Packers could win out and miss playoffs. I asked how because what I had seen is if the won out, they were in. I was asking to be educated, not ignored and insulted. I wasn't paying attention to others because I was making sure since I asked YOU that if YOU responded that I would see it and not miss it. I was giving YOU my attention. If you had just said you didn't feel like explaining it, no big deal. I'm capable of finding out myself, but I was hoping you could share information so OTHERS could also see it.

Playing the victim? Fuck you.
Calling you out? Fuck you.

You're the one acting like some victim cuz I was ribbing you about not giving up some information. Grab a tissue and wipe the tears off your hurt'd ass.

You could have laughed off the ribbing, but no, you got all PMS on me and want to keep going on and on an on, so guess what? I will keep fucking going on and on and on too. The funny thing is here, if you had this much passion to INFORM someone who was ASKING to be INFORMED, we wouldn't have this. But no, you had to be an asshole about it so guess what ... I will also be a asshole. Am I up to five fuck you's yet? Fuck you! (gonna count, brb, gotta take socks an shoes off first)
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beast
8 years ago

I wasn't paying attention to others

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.

Originally Posted by: beast 



You should know I was ignoring them because you are special. You know what kind of special I'm talking. 😉

It's cool, no worries. I'm done with this now. I was going to keep going, but I think you actually are taking me seriously so I'm dropping it. Sorry bud. Ain't no reason to salty up your VICTORY FUCKING MONDAY!!! Sorry, I just love beating the piss out of the Seahawks. Freaking hate that team.

I hope the defense gets another six turn overs and annihilates the hell out of the Bears. I can't hate them because they just suck and it feels wrong.
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mi_keys
8 years ago

I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.

Originally Posted by: luigis 



It's very difficult but if the Packers' one loss is the Bears or Lions, Green Bay could be a wild card if two of the three scenarios below happen:

1. Either Atlanta OR Tampa Bay lose out;
2. Washington loses two; and
3. New York loses out

No one in the NFC West can reach 9-7 other than Seattle, who would be the division winner. So a 9-7 Packers team finishing second in the NFC North is chasing whoever finishes second in the NFC South as well as Washington and New York for the two spots.

If Green Bay beats Chicago and Detroit but lose to Minnesota, Minnesota would have to lose their other two games for Green Bay to still finish second in the NFC North. If all three of the above scenarios play out, then Minnesota and Green Bay could be the two wild card teams.

In short, winning the division is the much easier path now.
Born and bred a cheesehead
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packerfanoutwest (18h) : too funny
packerfanoutwest (18h) : Lions QB Jared Goff was the offensive MVP
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Zero2Cool (20h) : Rather, the murder WAS covered up to prevent ...
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Martha Careful (1-Feb) : I have always admired the pluck of the man
Zero2Cool (1-Feb) : I remember thinking he was going to be something good.
Mucky Tundra (1-Feb) : The Dualing Banjo!
Zero2Cool (31-Jan) : Jets have named Chris Banjo as their special teams coordinator, Former Packers player
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Zero2Cool (30-Jan) : QB coach Sean Mannion
Zero2Cool (30-Jan) : DL Coach DeMarcus Covington
dfosterf (30-Jan) : from ft Belvoir, Quantico and points south. Somber reminder of this tragedy at Reagan Nat Airport
dfosterf (30-Jan) : So eerily quiet here in Alexandria. I live in the flight path of commercial craft coming from the south and west, plus the military craft
dfosterf (30-Jan) : So eeri
Mucky Tundra (30-Jan) : Now that's a thought, maybe they're looking at the college ranks? Maybe not head coaches but DC/assistant DCs with league experience?
beast (30-Jan) : College Coaches wouldn't want that publicly, as it would hurt recruiting and they might not get the job.
beast (30-Jan) : I thought they were supposed to publicly announce them, at least the NFL ones. Hafley was from college, so I believe different rules.
Mucky Tundra (30-Jan) : Who knows who they're interviewing? I mean, nobody knew about Hafley and then out of nowhere he was hired
beast (30-Jan) : I wonder what's taking so long with hiring a DL coach, 2 of the 3 known to interview have already been hired elsewhere.
Zero2Cool (27-Jan) : Packers coach Matt LaFleur hires Luke Getsy as senior assistant, extends Rich Bisaccia's deal
Zero2Cool (27-Jan) : Chiefs again huh? I guess another Super Bowl I'll be finding something else to do.
Mucky Tundra (27-Jan) : Chiefs Eagles...again...sigh
dfosterf (27-Jan) : Happy Birthday Dave!
Mucky Tundra (27-Jan) : happy birthday dhazer
TheKanataThrilla (26-Jan) : Exactly buck...Washington came up with the ball. It is just a shitty coincidence one week later
buckeyepackfan (26-Jan) : I forgot, they corrected the call a week later. Lol btw HAPPY BIRTHDAY dhazer!
buckeyepackfan (26-Jan) : That brings up the question, why wasn't Nixon down by contact? I think that was the point Kanata was making.
buckeyepackfan (26-Jan) : Turnovers rule, win the turnover battle, win the game.
packerfanoutwest (26-Jan) : well, he was
TheKanataThrilla (26-Jan) : Eagles down by contact on the fumble....fuck you NFL
Mucky Tundra (26-Jan) : I think this games over
beast (26-Jan) : Eagles sure get a lot of fumbles on kickoffs
Mucky Tundra (26-Jan) : This game looks too big for Washington
packerfanoutwest (26-Jan) : that being said, The Ravens are the Browns
packerfanoutwest (26-Jan) : Browns, Dolphins have longest AFC Championship droughts
packerfanoutwest (26-Jan) : As of today, Cowboys have longest NFC Championship drought,
beast (26-Jan) : Someone pointed out, with Raiders hiring Carroll, the division games between Carroll and Jim Harbaugh are back on (who can whine more games)
beast (26-Jan) : I'm confused, Pete Carroll and Brian Schottenheimer? When Todd Monken, Joe Brady, Kellen Moore, Kliff Kingsbury and Zac Robinson are availab
Zero2Cool (25-Jan) : Any reason I'm catching a shot here about my intelligence?
Martha Careful (25-Jan) : thank you Mucky for sticking up for me
Martha Careful (25-Jan) : some of those people are smarter than you zero. However Pete Carroll is not
Mucky Tundra (24-Jan) : Rude!
beast (24-Jan) : Martha? 😋
Zero2Cool (24-Jan) : Raiders hired someone from the elderly home.
dfosterf (24-Jan) : I'm going with a combination of the two.
beast (24-Jan) : Either the Cowboys have no idea what they're doing, or they're targeting their former OC, currently the Eagles OC
Zero2Cool (23-Jan) : Fake news. Cowboys say no
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