luigis
8 years ago
I've run a few simulations, If we win out I think we are in with a high probability, say 95%.
If we lose a game we are out. I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.
In most of my simulations if we lose against Detroit then the Giants, Redskins or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Note: In my simulations if we win out we are in even if Detroit doesn't lose against NY o r DAL, we would then get the 6th seed at 10-6.
Luis
The_Green_Ninja
8 years ago
The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.
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beast
8 years ago

since my request was rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.

Originally Posted by: beast 



Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.
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beast
8 years ago

Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Beast was saying it in chat, but failed miserably

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 





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luigis
8 years ago

The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.

Originally Posted by: The_Green_Ninja 



No, that would be incorrect.

I've inputed: Dallas defeats Detroit, NYG defeats Detroit, we win against Chi and Min, Min loses to IND.
Even then we need to win the week 17 game against detroit, if we lose Detroit wins the Division and the Giants and Redskis or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Luis
Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Originally Posted by: beast 



You said the Packers could win out and miss playoffs. I asked how because what I had seen is if the won out, they were in. I was asking to be educated, not ignored and insulted. I wasn't paying attention to others because I was making sure since I asked YOU that if YOU responded that I would see it and not miss it. I was giving YOU my attention. If you had just said you didn't feel like explaining it, no big deal. I'm capable of finding out myself, but I was hoping you could share information so OTHERS could also see it.

Playing the victim? Fuck you.
Calling you out? Fuck you.

You're the one acting like some victim cuz I was ribbing you about not giving up some information. Grab a tissue and wipe the tears off your hurt'd ass.

You could have laughed off the ribbing, but no, you got all PMS on me and want to keep going on and on an on, so guess what? I will keep fucking going on and on and on too. The funny thing is here, if you had this much passion to INFORM someone who was ASKING to be INFORMED, we wouldn't have this. But no, you had to be an asshole about it so guess what ... I will also be a asshole. Am I up to five fuck you's yet? Fuck you! (gonna count, brb, gotta take socks an shoes off first)
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beast
8 years ago

I wasn't paying attention to others

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.
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Zero2Cool
8 years ago

And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.

Originally Posted by: beast 



You should know I was ignoring them because you are special. You know what kind of special I'm talking. 😉

It's cool, no worries. I'm done with this now. I was going to keep going, but I think you actually are taking me seriously so I'm dropping it. Sorry bud. Ain't no reason to salty up your VICTORY FUCKING MONDAY!!! Sorry, I just love beating the piss out of the Seahawks. Freaking hate that team.

I hope the defense gets another six turn overs and annihilates the hell out of the Bears. I can't hate them because they just suck and it feels wrong.
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mi_keys
8 years ago

I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.

Originally Posted by: luigis 



It's very difficult but if the Packers' one loss is the Bears or Lions, Green Bay could be a wild card if two of the three scenarios below happen:

1. Either Atlanta OR Tampa Bay lose out;
2. Washington loses two; and
3. New York loses out

No one in the NFC West can reach 9-7 other than Seattle, who would be the division winner. So a 9-7 Packers team finishing second in the NFC North is chasing whoever finishes second in the NFC South as well as Washington and New York for the two spots.

If Green Bay beats Chicago and Detroit but lose to Minnesota, Minnesota would have to lose their other two games for Green Bay to still finish second in the NFC North. If all three of the above scenarios play out, then Minnesota and Green Bay could be the two wild card teams.

In short, winning the division is the much easier path now.
Born and bred a cheesehead
Fan Shout
wpr (22h) : 7 days
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : sounds like Packers don't get good compensation, Jaire staying
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Nobody coming up with a keep, but at x amount
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Trade, cut or keep
dfosterf (16-Apr) : that from Jaire
dfosterf (16-Apr) : My guess is the Packers floated the concept of a reworked contract via his agent and agent got a f'
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Yes, and that is why I think Rob worded it how he did. Rather than say "agent"
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Same laws apply. Agent must present such an offer to Jaire. Cannot accept or reject without presenting it
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : I'm thinking that is why Rob worded it how he did.
dfosterf (16-Apr) : The Packers can certainly still make the offer to the agent
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Laws of agency and definition of fiduciary responsibility
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Jaire is open to a reduced contract without Jaire's permission
dfosterf (16-Apr) : The agent would arguably violate the law if he were to tell the Packers
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : That someone ... likely the agent.
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : So, Jaire has not been offered nor rejected a pay reduction, but someone says he'd decline.
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovksy says t was direct communication with someone familiar with Jaire’s line of thinking at that moment.
Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovsky just replied to me a bit ago. Jaire hasn't said it.
dfosterf (16-Apr) : Of course, that depends on the definition of "we"
dfosterf (16-Apr) : We have been told that they haven't because he wouldn't accept it. I submit we don't know that
dfosterf (16-Apr) : What is the downside in making a calculated reduced offer to Jaire?
Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers are receiving interest in Jaire Alexander but a trade is not imminent
Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Jalen Ramsey wants to be traded. He's never happy is he?
Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : two 1sts in 2022 and two 2nd's in 2023 and 2024
Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers had fortunate last three drafts.
dfosterf (15-Apr) : I may have to move
dfosterf (15-Apr) : My wife just told the ancient Japanese sushi dude not enough rice under his fish
Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : I think a dozen is what I need
dfosterf (14-Apr) : Go fund me for this purpose just might work. A dozen nurses show up at 1265 to provide mental health assistance.
dfosterf (14-Apr) : Maybe send a crew of Angels to the Packers draft room on draft day.
Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : I am the Angel that gets visited.
dfosterf (14-Apr) : Visiting Angels has a pretty good reputation
Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : what
Martha Careful (14-Apr) : WINNING IT, not someone else losing it. The best victory though was re-uniting with his wife
Martha Careful (14-Apr) : The manner in which he won it was just amazing and wonderful. First blowing the lead then getting back, then blowing it. But ultimately
Zero2Cool (12-Apr) : I'm guessing since the thumb was broken, he wasn't feeling it.
dfosterf (10-Apr) : Looking for guidance. Not feeling the thumb.
Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : If they knew about it or not
Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : I don't recall that he did which is why I asked.
Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Guessing they probably knew. Did he have cast or something on?
Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : Did they know that at the time or was that something the realized afterwards?
Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Van Ness played most of season with broken thumb
wpr (9-Apr) : yay
Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Mark Murphy says Steelers likely to protect Packers game. Meaning, no Ireland
Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Struggling to figure out what text editor options are needed and which are 'nice to have'
Mucky Tundra (8-Apr) : *CHOMP CHOMP CHOMP*
Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : WR who said he'd break Xavier Worthy 40 time...and ran slower than you
Mucky Tundra (2-Apr) : Who?
Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : Texas’ WR Isaiah Bond is scheduled to visit the Bills, Browns, Chiefs, Falcons, Packers and Titans starting next week.
Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : Spotting ball isn't changing, only measuring distance is, Which wasn't the issue.
Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : The spotting of the ball IS the issue. Not the chain gang.
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