Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
If history is any indication, the Packers have as good a chance as any to make the Super Bowl this year. Of the 44 Super Bowls that have been played, only 9 (20.5%) have pitted No. 1 seeds against each other. The last time that had happened before the Saints/Colts Super Bowl was Super Bowl XXVIII in 1994.

Oddsmakers have observed that the NFL doesn't like Super Bowls between No. 1 seeds, because interestingly, all but one (XVI) of these Super Bowl have been routs. Last year was no exception, as the Saints defeated the Colts 31-17. Also of note is the fact that the favorites have won all but two of these Super Bowls, the only exceptions being the 2009-10 Saints and the 1983-84 Raiders. The Overall No. 1 seed has won 5 of the 6 times that both teams haven't entered the game with the same record.

If we can learn anything from history, then, it's that the Falcons and Patriots should feel pretty nervous going into this week, since there is a 79.5% chance that at least one of them is going to lose. Frankly, I'm hoping that both of them lose, but I'll settle for a Falcons defeat and a Seahawks victory.

List of all Super Bowls featuring No. 1 vs No. 1

  XLIV   2009-10    New Orleans Saints   (+4.5)   31-17  * Indianapolis Colts
XXVIII   1993-94    Dallas Cowboys      (-10.5)   30-13    Buffalo Bills
  XXVI   1991-92  * Washington Redskins    (-7)   37-24    Buffalo Bills
  XXIV   1989-90  * San Francisco 49ers   (-12)   55-10    Denver Broncos
   XIX   1984-85  * San Francisco 49ers    (-3)   38-16    Miami Dolphins
 XVIII   1983-84    Los Angeles Raiders    (+3)   38-9   * Washington Redskins
   XVI   1981-82  * San Francisco 49ers    (-2)   26-21    Cincinnati Bengals
   XII   1977-78    Dallas Cowboys         (-5)   27-10    Denver Broncos
    XI   1976-77    Oakland Raiders        (-5)   32-14    Minnesota Vikings 14

* denotes overall No. 1 seed

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peteralan71
14 years ago
Not to be the bearer of bad news, buuuuut........ The #1 seeds could lose next week. I'm not good with math, buuuuut........ that should cut down the previously stated 79.5% chance of either the Falcons or Patriots losing this week. Unfortunately.
Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.
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warhawk
14 years ago
I'll throw a few numbers in here.

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

Green Bay has given up 16 passing TD's to 24 INTs. Only Pittsburg and the Bears have more INT's than TD's allowed. Both those teams are still playing football. The 16 TD's allowed was 4th best to the Steelers, Bears, and Saints but the Saints only had 9 INT's all year.

Green Bay has the 4th best defense in Passing Percentage at 56.2%. Atlanta has the 4th worst defense in Passing Percentage allowing 65% and only one other team (NE-10th) in the bottom 10 are still playing football.

Rodgers has the highest average YPA at 8.3 and the second highest completion percentage at 65.1%(Brady-65.3%).

Atlanta has the lowest YPA of all teams at 6.5%. They have only have allowed 23 sacks all year. In other words dinky do ball out short and quick.

I don't think we will see Woodson blitz much. They only ask Ryan to make quick short throws. I watched the last game over last night. I think Capers will try to move the safeties up and try to get more bodys on Turner and use Woodson to help take away those five to 10 yard passes and change up who he guards to throw Ryan off.

We can take this #1 seed down. They are certainly not the strongest #1 I have seen over the last several years. Good, solid, and, technically sound, but nothing great in any phase.

We get Rodgers on the field enough and he will take care of the rest.
"The train is leaving the station."
peteralan71
14 years ago

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

"warhawk" wrote:



I wasn't sure if NSD would say this, so I'll do it..... wouldn't that make us 3rd best in the NFL? Sorry, I had to :)

However I like the rest of your post. It points out all the areas that we have excelled at this season. If we can play out football, these things will continue to happen, and we'll earn another game.
Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.
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warhawk
14 years ago

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

"peteralan71" wrote:



I wasn't sure if NSD would say this, so I'll do it..... wouldn't that make us 3rd best in the NFL? Sorry, I had to :)

However I like the rest of your post. It points out all the areas that we have excelled at this season. If we can play out football, these things will continue to happen, and we'll earn another game.

"warhawk" wrote:



Those two are tied for 1st at 5 rushing TD's allowed. Got to be on your toes around here don't ya?
"The train is leaving the station."
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Mucky Tundra (3h) : @AaronNagler · 2m Both Jordan Love and Malik Willis were Limited participants at Packers practice today.
Zero2Cool (5h) : Johnson didn't make it until 2020. Ring 2023. 🤷 Personally, he should have been in years prior to Hall.
Zero2Cool (5h) : HUMP DAY
beast (6h) : Guys that have a good shot at making the NFL Hall of Fame usually get into their teams pretty fast
beast (6h) : Yeah, but is Kampman and the others in the NFL Hall of Fame?
Zero2Cool (6h) : Johnson was Hall of Fame, 2020. Should haev been in Ring a year later, not three years.
Zero2Cool (6h) : I could be wrong there though
Zero2Cool (6h) : Guys like Kampman, Tim Harris, Al Harris, etc all over 15 years. Hall of Fame is 5 year wait
Zero2Cool (6h) : I guess I see players in Packers Hall come way later
beast (6h) : Yeah, usually teams hall of fames are a much lower bar than the NFL
Zero2Cool (6h) : is it uncommon for Hall before Ring?
Zero2Cool (6h) : S Xavier McKinney named first-team All-Pro by NFLPA
beast (8h) : I missed it, sorry, but he got into the NFL Hall of Fame years before that
Zero2Cool (8h) : Jones took his sweet ole time!
Zero2Cool (8h) : Yeah, he's in the ring of honor, just saw video and his name is up there
Zero2Cool (8h) : Didn't they have a thing in 2023 for Jimmy's ring of honor? I swear I saw it
beast (8h) : Though if they're legitimately trying to re-sign MM, then it makes sense.
beast (8h) : Jerry Jones still hasn't put Jimmy Johnson in the Ring of Honor, but he's in the NFL's Hall of Fame, Jones is petty
Mucky Tundra (20h) : Unless the Cowboys are planning an extension, seems kinda petty
beast (22h) : Cowboys denied Bears request
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : From what I'm reading, MM is under contract through the 14th of January; after that he's free game
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : McCarthy let go or not extended??
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Chicago Bears have asked the Dallas Cowboys permission to interview Mike McCarthy for head coaching vacancy
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : The winners page that is
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I was not hoping for that. It messes up the page lol
beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.
beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats beast on 2024 !
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats porky on winning 2023 pick'em! (oops sorry)
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Packers have $60M+ of 2025 cap space on paper TODAY.
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Missed FG into a Lions TD; that'll do pig, that'll do
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : That might be it for the Vikings
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Oh so the refs do know what intentional grounding is
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : what the hell was that Goff?! Not much pressure and he just air mails it to Harrison
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : They really need to to get rid of the auto first down for illegal contact
Martha Careful (6-Jan) : watching the Vikings and Lions it's understandable why they swept the Packers. So much better product
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Even when GB got pressure he was throwing darts; vs no pressure on that last pass he just air mails an open guy
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : didn't have guys in his face ... pressure makes difference
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Where was this Darnold vs GB?
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : BALL DON'T LIE
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : how was that not a safety? Goff throws it at an offensive lineman
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero, I thought that was a given! ;)
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Zero I looked through earlier and noticed the same thing. Bonkers year. I just wonder if beast put any money on games
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I'm hoping for BLOODBATH. Pummel one another.
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 8 people in pick'em would have won any year with their total lol
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : I'm rooting for the Lions to lose.
Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : God help me but I'm rooting for the Vikings to...Vikings to...Christ I can't say it
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : 4 td for Rodgers
Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Chiefs got shutout
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