Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
If history is any indication, the Packers have as good a chance as any to make the Super Bowl this year. Of the 44 Super Bowls that have been played, only 9 (20.5%) have pitted No. 1 seeds against each other. The last time that had happened before the Saints/Colts Super Bowl was Super Bowl XXVIII in 1994.

Oddsmakers have observed that the NFL doesn't like Super Bowls between No. 1 seeds, because interestingly, all but one (XVI) of these Super Bowl have been routs. Last year was no exception, as the Saints defeated the Colts 31-17. Also of note is the fact that the favorites have won all but two of these Super Bowls, the only exceptions being the 2009-10 Saints and the 1983-84 Raiders. The Overall No. 1 seed has won 5 of the 6 times that both teams haven't entered the game with the same record.

If we can learn anything from history, then, it's that the Falcons and Patriots should feel pretty nervous going into this week, since there is a 79.5% chance that at least one of them is going to lose. Frankly, I'm hoping that both of them lose, but I'll settle for a Falcons defeat and a Seahawks victory.

List of all Super Bowls featuring No. 1 vs No. 1

  XLIV   2009-10    New Orleans Saints   (+4.5)   31-17  * Indianapolis Colts
XXVIII   1993-94    Dallas Cowboys      (-10.5)   30-13    Buffalo Bills
  XXVI   1991-92  * Washington Redskins    (-7)   37-24    Buffalo Bills
  XXIV   1989-90  * San Francisco 49ers   (-12)   55-10    Denver Broncos
   XIX   1984-85  * San Francisco 49ers    (-3)   38-16    Miami Dolphins
 XVIII   1983-84    Los Angeles Raiders    (+3)   38-9   * Washington Redskins
   XVI   1981-82  * San Francisco 49ers    (-2)   26-21    Cincinnati Bengals
   XII   1977-78    Dallas Cowboys         (-5)   27-10    Denver Broncos
    XI   1976-77    Oakland Raiders        (-5)   32-14    Minnesota Vikings 14

* denotes overall No. 1 seed

UserPostedImage
peteralan71
14 years ago
Not to be the bearer of bad news, buuuuut........ The #1 seeds could lose next week. I'm not good with math, buuuuut........ that should cut down the previously stated 79.5% chance of either the Falcons or Patriots losing this week. Unfortunately.
Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.
UserPostedImage
warhawk
14 years ago
I'll throw a few numbers in here.

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

Green Bay has given up 16 passing TD's to 24 INTs. Only Pittsburg and the Bears have more INT's than TD's allowed. Both those teams are still playing football. The 16 TD's allowed was 4th best to the Steelers, Bears, and Saints but the Saints only had 9 INT's all year.

Green Bay has the 4th best defense in Passing Percentage at 56.2%. Atlanta has the 4th worst defense in Passing Percentage allowing 65% and only one other team (NE-10th) in the bottom 10 are still playing football.

Rodgers has the highest average YPA at 8.3 and the second highest completion percentage at 65.1%(Brady-65.3%).

Atlanta has the lowest YPA of all teams at 6.5%. They have only have allowed 23 sacks all year. In other words dinky do ball out short and quick.

I don't think we will see Woodson blitz much. They only ask Ryan to make quick short throws. I watched the last game over last night. I think Capers will try to move the safeties up and try to get more bodys on Turner and use Woodson to help take away those five to 10 yard passes and change up who he guards to throw Ryan off.

We can take this #1 seed down. They are certainly not the strongest #1 I have seen over the last several years. Good, solid, and, technically sound, but nothing great in any phase.

We get Rodgers on the field enough and he will take care of the rest.
"The train is leaving the station."
peteralan71
14 years ago

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

"warhawk" wrote:



I wasn't sure if NSD would say this, so I'll do it..... wouldn't that make us 3rd best in the NFL? Sorry, I had to :)

However I like the rest of your post. It points out all the areas that we have excelled at this season. If we can play out football, these things will continue to happen, and we'll earn another game.
Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.
UserPostedImage
warhawk
14 years ago

Green Bay is 18th in rushing yards allowed....but, they have only given up six rushing TD's all year which is second best in the NFL to the Steelers and Ravens. Both those teams are still playing football.

"peteralan71" wrote:



I wasn't sure if NSD would say this, so I'll do it..... wouldn't that make us 3rd best in the NFL? Sorry, I had to :)

However I like the rest of your post. It points out all the areas that we have excelled at this season. If we can play out football, these things will continue to happen, and we'll earn another game.

"warhawk" wrote:



Those two are tied for 1st at 5 rushing TD's allowed. Got to be on your toes around here don't ya?
"The train is leaving the station."
Fan Shout
Zero2Cool (28m) : Keisean Nixon is trying to get Maxx Crosby and Davante Adams lol
Mucky Tundra (7h) : Yeah where did it go?
packerfanoutwest (14h) : or did you resctrict access to that topic?
packerfanoutwest (14h) : why did you remove the Playoff topic?
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Tua’s old DC won a Super Bowl Year 1 with Tua’s former backup
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : *winning MVP
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Funny observation I've heard: Carson Wentz was on the sideline for both Eagles Super Bowl wins w/guys supposed to be his back up winning
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : NFL thought it would get more attention week preceding Super Bowl.
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Yes, the Pro Bowl. It was played Sunday before Super Bowl from 2010-2022
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : pro bowl
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : From 2010 to 2022, it was played on the Sunday before the Super Bowl
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : They moved it to the BYE week before Super Bowl several years ago.
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : it was always after the SB.....
beast (10-Feb) : Though I stop following pro bowl years ago
beast (10-Feb) : I thought the pro game was before the Super Bowl?
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : ok now for the Pro Bowl Game in Hawaii
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : If I was Philly I would try to end it instead of punting it
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : VICTORY! We have (moral) victory!
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Hey they mentioned that we 3-peted
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : seems to me the 49ers should have traded Aiyuk when they had the chance
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : if the Eagles get it down to the 1, do they Tush Push or give it to Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : 49ers have a money problem if they want to sign their QB
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Wait for real? Didn't he just get an extension two years ago?
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : 49ers gonna trade Deebo. Interesting
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Replays always never seem to show the holdings
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Great throw by Hurts
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Where Carter falls prey to bad off the field influences (to be clear, not saying he'd clip someone though)
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Had Carter not gone to Philly were they already had a lot of old college friends, he ends up in a similar spot to Aaron Hernandez
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : I think some of his coaches told scouts to stay away
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : the street racing incident+conditioning and motivation problems
beast (10-Feb) : Then Carter was street racing, where the other car crashed and people died... and other teams were scared to pick Carter for some reason
beast (10-Feb) : I think the Saints traded up, giving their next year 1st to the Eagles, and then they sucked and Eagles got the 10th overall pick
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : wtf Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Getting Carter and Nolan Smith in the first round in 2023 was pretty darn good
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : for some reason i'm thinking of a draft where the Eagles where in the mid 20s and a top player fell all the way to them
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think so. I would need to look it up. Think it may have been Carolina's pick.
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : i'm not sure who i'm thinking of now
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : oh fuck me i messed that up
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Jordan Davis was 13th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Carter was 9th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles had 15th and 10th selections, moved to 13 and 9 to get Davis and Carter back to back
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles traded up for Carter, didn't they?
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Obviously he was a huge risk but getting a top 5 talent on the dline in the mid 20s is fortuitous
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Jalen Carter falling into their lap certainly helps
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : And we could only wish to have this type of D
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : It's not like Philly has had low draft picks, but has managed to get themselves a top notch pass rush. We spend so much draft capital of D
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : another crap halftime show
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think it is over, but then I think of Atlanta and want Philly to go in with the same intensity in the second half
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : And with a Pass Rush that might as well be on a milk cartoon and no Jaire
Martha Careful (10-Feb) : I cant help but feel good about how well the Packers D played in Philly during the playoffs
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2024 Packers Schedule
Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
Eagles
Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
Titans
Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
Rams
Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
CARDINALS
Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
Bears
Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
49ERS
Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
DOLPHINS
Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
Seahawks
Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM
Vikings
Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM
BEARS
Sunday, Jan 12 @ 3:30 PM
Eagles
Recent Topics
8h / Random Babble / Zero2Cool

10-Feb / Featured Content / Zero2Cool

10-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / dfosterf

10-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

9-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / bboystyle

9-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / dhazer

7-Feb / Around The NFL / Zero2Cool

4-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

4-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool

4-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / earthquake

4-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / earthquake

1-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / Martha Careful

1-Feb / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr

29-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / Mucky Tundra

27-Jan / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast

Headlines
Copyright © 2006 - 2025 PackersHome.com™. All Rights Reserved.