Zero2Cool
6 years ago

Hell yes if you can get Sammy Watkins for 1-2mil a year then sign him.
I'm betting Sammy would be looking for another agent real quick.😁

The point is everyone is trying to give reasons for letting Jordy go.

I say that would be THE BIGGEST mistake Gutekunst could do.

You don't dump your Qb's favorite receiver to save a few million dollars.

Contracts these days are all about the guaranteed money.

Jordy, Randall, Clay and the rest fully know when they sign there's a good chance they will be restructuring by the final year.

Every receiver on The Packer roster learns to play every wr position.

That's why it takes awhile for the young guys to break into the lineup.

What is the chance that a guy like Watkins could come to Green Bay and step right in?

Jordy may have lost a step, (everyone does), his value on the field and in the lockeroom is much more important.

Extend Jordy for 3 years, convert the 12mil owed to a signing bonus.
Put his base salary at 1mil a year.
Add bonus incentives.

Now you are looking at having Jordy Nelson for the next 4 years at 4mil a year (cap hit)plus any bonus money achieved.
That is very doable.

Cobb is in same situation.
Both seem to be pretty intelligent guys.
The will get there 12mil signing bonus up front.
Pretty sure they could invest that money and make up for any lost revenue the next 3 years.

The first item on the agenda, IMHO, is to get an extension done with Aaron so they know just how much they have to spend.





Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan 


Everyone trying to get rid of Nelson? Umm, no, not everyone. I said keep him. Others said keep him. Stop the generalizing hyperbolic crap. I'll kick you in the tooth!!! 😉

UserPostedImage
Rockmolder
6 years ago

Really? What are the obvious stats that show Nelson is in a decline while having a half decent QB throwing to him...

Originally Posted by: beast 



The averages with Rodgers on the field were down quite a bit, as well. I think I mentioned that in an earlier post.

Still, with that not-half decent QB under center, we did throw for more than 1.800 yards. Nelson caught just 224 of those yards (and I'm including that first Minnesota game fully).

That might say something about Rodgers' familiarity inflating Nelson's stats. Davante caught balls for 543 yards in that stretch with Hundley, with Cobb netting 351 yards. For a young guy, who hasn't built a repetoire with any receiver, you'd think he'd like to go to the main man in Nelson. That's generally what young and back-up QBs do.

And this is not a common problem. When Brady went down, Cassel kept on targeting Welker and Moss. When Big Ben went down, Vick and Jones targeted Antonio Brown for just about half of their total yards that season.

Nelson best season was 2014 where he played 16 games, got 98 catches for 1,519 yards... which is an average of 6.125 catches per game and 94.9375 yards per game.

In 2015, Nelson had an ACL injury which is said to normally take more than a full year to recover from... and so Nelson started 2016 off slow as he was still recovering and knocking off the rust.

In the last 10 games of 2016, Nelson got 70 catches for 936 yards... which is an average of 7 catches for 93.6 yards per game... a whopping 1.3375 yards less per game than his career best.



That's certainly impressive. Didn't say a thing about him never being a good player. When the 2018 season starts, though, that's two seasons ago.

Now in 2017... suddenly Nelson gets knocked out of the Falcons game, the whole offenses struggles against the Seahawks, Bengals and Vikings... and suddenly Nelson is done because Hundley can't get him the ball?



Didn't Nelson go out on the first possesion after catching zero passes? Don't know how you put offensive struggles on Nelson there.

I also never said the offense would be better off with a guy like Allison at WR instead of Nelson. It's just that there's better receivers out there for the money he's getting at his age. I really want to make it clear that I don't hate Nelson as a player at all. He was pretty darn good in his prime. It's just that both on the eye test and looking at his statistics he's lost a step. And that won't get any better, looking at both his age and the averages for wide receivers. Combine that with the fact that we're paying both him and Cobb roughly the same as Julio Jones and T.Y. Hilton and it just looks to me that this isn't a very good situation to be in, let alone extending him.
Rockmolder
6 years ago

Hell yes if you can get Sammy Watkins for 1-2mil a year then sign him.
I'm betting Sammy would be looking for another agent real quick.😁

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan 



I agree that $2 mil is probably on the low side. That said, I think he'll get a 1-year prove it deal for around $5-6 million. That's still a lot less than Nelson for a potentially deadly weapon on the outside. He's a guy who's had injury issues and just didn't get up to speed in that Rams offense, so I can't imagine him getting more than that.



The point is everyone is trying to give reasons for letting Jordy go.

I say that would be THE BIGGEST mistake Gutekunst could do.

You don't dump your Qb's favorite receiver to save a few million dollars.



You do if they're not performing up to their contract. I can't imagine Gutekunst having the balls to cut both Nelson and Cobb, though.

Contracts these days are all about the guaranteed money.

Jordy, Randall, Clay and the rest fully know when they sign there's a good chance they will be restructuring by the final year.

Every receiver on The Packer roster learns to play every wr position.

That's why it takes awhile for the young guys to break into the lineup.

What is the chance that a guy like Watkins could come to Green Bay and step right in?



There's rookie QBs playing left and right who have to know every route, timing and playbook by heart and call the plays on the field. I'd hope a wide receiver could get up to speed during the off-season and pre-season. I've never seen a free agent wide receiver who sat out the first few games or only ran fly routes for his new team. I can imagine familiarity and practice makes perfect, but it'd be crazy if we'd have to give every receiver a year to get accustomed to our offense.

Jordy may have lost a step, (everyone does), his value on the field and in the lockeroom is much more important.

Extend Jordy for 3 years, convert the 12mil owed to a signing bonus.
Put his base salary at 1mil a year.
Add bonus incentives.

Now you are looking at having Jordy Nelson for the next 4 years at 4mil a year (cap hit)plus any bonus money achieved.
That is very doable.



So you agree that he's declining and losing a step, but you want to extend him by 3 years for veteran leadership and familiarity alone? The Patriots go to the Super Bowl every 3rd year with Brady and Bill being the only consistent parts there.

I agree that veteran influence has its place in a locker room and on the field. Just look at Charles Woodson. Thing is, we let Woodson go when he was nearly done. That was a painful move from a fan's perspective, but in hindsight, it was the right move to make.



Cobb is in same situation.
Both seem to be pretty intelligent guys.
The will get there 12mil signing bonus up front.
Pretty sure they could invest that money and make up for any lost revenue the next 3 years.

The first item on the agenda, IMHO, is to get an extension done with Aaron so they know just how much they have to spend.



At least we do agree on that point. Getting Burnett back and signing Rodgers to an extention might be our nr. 1 priorities right now.

KRK
  • KRK
  • Veteran Member
6 years ago
We have to stop creating straw arguments.
I think everyone would like to have Jordy around next year, but not at the current price. The only questions are how much and for how long.
I feel the same way about Randall Cobb.

The is there is simply too much money tied up in the position relative to the level of talent on the field....especially with other glaring needs.

Notwithstanding the foregoing, I still believe Mike McCarthy need to do blend in more picks, rubs, crossing patterns et. al., more "schemeing" to get all of our receivers open.
In Luce tua Videmus Lucem KRK
isocleas2
6 years ago
When I was in Green Bay for the holidays the rumour was Jordy was considering retiring. I think the Packers work out a deal with him and he plays a couple more years but I think both sides realize there's something wrong here. Age/injuries catch everyone eventually there's no shame in it, but the Packers would be smart to invest in another young talent to replace Nelson/Cobb in the near future.
Users browsing this topic
Fan Shout
Mucky Tundra (52m) : Houston getting dog walked by Baltimore
packerfanoutwest (6h) : Feliz Navidad!
Zero2Cool (11h) : Merry Christmas!
beast (20h) : Merry Christmas 🎄🎁
beast (24-Dec) : Sounds like no serious injuries from the Saints game and Jacobs and Watson should play in the Vikings game
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : both games Watson missed, Packers won
Martha Careful (24-Dec) : I hope all of you have a Merry Christmas!
Mucky Tundra (24-Dec) : Oh I know about Jacobs, I just couldn't pass up an opportunity to mimic Zero lol
buckeyepackfan (24-Dec) : Jacobs was just sat down, Watson re-injured that knee that kept him out 1 game earlier
buckeyepackfan (24-Dec) : I needed .14 that's. .14 points for the whole 4th quarter to win and go to the SB. Lol
Mucky Tundra (24-Dec) : Jacobs gonna be OK???
Zero2Cool (24-Dec) : Watson gonna be OK???
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : Inactives tonight for the Pack: Alexander- knee Bullard - ankle Williams - quad Walker -ankle Monk Heath
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : No Jaire, but hopefully the front 7 destroys the line of scrimmage & forces Rattler into a few passes to McKinney.
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : minny could be #1 seed and the Lions #5 seed
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : We'd have same Division and Conference records. Strength of schedule we edge them
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I just checked. What tie breaker?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes its possible but unlikely. If we do get the 5th, we face the NFCS winner
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Ahh, ok.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes due to tie breaker
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I mean, unlikely, yes, but mathematically, 5th is possible by what I'm reading.
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : If Vikings lose out, Packers win out, Packers get 5th, right?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : Minny isnt going to lose out so 5th seed is out of the equation. We are playing for the 6th or 7th seed which makes no difference
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, the ad revenue goes to the broadcast company but they gotta pay to air the game on their channel/network
beast (23-Dec) : If we win tonight the game is still relative in terms of 5th, 6th or 7th seed... win and it's 5th or 6th, lose and it's 6th or 7th
beast (23-Dec) : Mucky, I thought the ad revenue went to the broadcasting companies or the NFL, at least not directly
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I think the revenue share is moot, isn't it? That's the CBA an Salary Cap handling that.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : i mean game becomes irrelevant if we win tonight. Just a game where we are trying to play spoilers to Vikings chance at the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, I would guess ad revenue from more eyes watching tv
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I would think it would hurt the home team because people would have to cancel last minute maybe? i dunno
beast (23-Dec) : I agree that it's BS for fans planning on going to the game. But how does it bring in more money? I'm guessing indirectly?
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : bs on flexing the game....they do it for the $$league$$, not the hometown fans
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I see what you did there Mucky
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : dammit. 3:25pm
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Packers Vikings flexed to 3:35pm
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : Upon receiving the news about Luke Musgrave, I immediately fell to the ground
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : Yeah baby!
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : LUKE MUSGRAVE PLAYING TONIGHT~!~~~~WOWHOAAOHAOAA yah
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I wanna kill new QB's ... blitz the crap out of them.
beast (23-Dec) : Barry seemed to get too conservative against new QBs, Hafley doesn't have that issue
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : However, we seem to struggle vs new QB's
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Should be moot point, cuz Packers should win tonight.
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : ok I stand corrected
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Ok, yes, you are right. I see that now how they get 7th
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : 5th - Packers win out, Vikings lose out. Maybe?
beast (23-Dec) : Saying no to the 6th lock.
beast (23-Dec) : No, with the Commanders beating the Eagles, Packers could have a good chance of 6th or 7th unless the win out
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I think if Packers win, they are locked 6th with chance for 5th.
beast (23-Dec) : But it doesn't matter, as the Packers win surely win one of their remaining games
beast (23-Dec) : This is not complex, just someone doesn't want to believe reality
Please sign in to use Fan Shout
2024 Packers Schedule
Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM
Eagles
Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM
COLTS
Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM
Titans
Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM
VIKINGS
Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM
Rams
Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM
CARDINALS
Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM
TEXANS
Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM
Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM
LIONS
Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM
Bears
Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM
49ERS
Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM
DOLPHINS
Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM
Lions
Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM
Seahawks
Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM
SAINTS
Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM
Vikings
Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM
BEARS
Recent Topics
8h / Featured Content / Zero2Cool
Zero's 2024 [Through Week 16] NFL Power Rankings

8h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
Packers RB Josh Jacobs reveals shiny Christmas gifts to offensive line

20h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
Packers and 1 seed

20h / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
Matchup [2024] Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

23h / GameDay Threads / bboystyle
Matchup [2024] New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers

24-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
Former Packers RB Elijah Pitts to receive Pro Football Hall of Fame Award of Excellence

24-Dec / Random Babble / beast
Fresno State's new nickname

24-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / Zero2Cool
What is the Packers Identity?

23-Dec / Random Babble / Martha Careful
Makes Me Wonder...Sports Betting and College Football

22-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / packerfanoutwest
The Legend of the Lambeau Leap

19-Dec / Random Babble / Zero2Cool
College's Transfer Portal has officially become an issue

18-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
Third-Place Packers Poised to Make NFL History

17-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / wpr
Packers Inbox 2024-12-16

17-Dec / Featured Content / Zero2Cool
Zero's 2024 [Through Week 15] NFL Power Rankings

16-Dec / Green Bay Packers Talk / beast
QB Pressures

Headlines