luigis
7 years ago
I've run a few simulations, If we win out I think we are in with a high probability, say 95%.
If we lose a game we are out. I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.
In most of my simulations if we lose against Detroit then the Giants, Redskins or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Note: In my simulations if we win out we are in even if Detroit doesn't lose against NY o r DAL, we would then get the 6th seed at 10-6.
Luis
The_Green_Ninja
7 years ago
The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.
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beast
7 years ago

since my request was rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.
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Zero2Cool
7 years ago

Your request wasn't ignored... someone else explained it first, you didn't get it, I tried to explain it more and you still didn't get it... the fact that the Lions need to lose one of their next two games seemed to be common knowledge but you didn't get it. That's not my fault.

Originally Posted by: beast 



Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.
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beast
7 years ago

Oh, yeah, it was me who did not get it. You are right, thanks for attempting to put me down when I was waiting for you and looking for your response. Yes, to win the division the Lions need to lose one plus Packers win out. I was talking about Packers winning out and being in for the playoffs. What do you not understand about that? You said it wasn't true. I didn't attack you. I didn't insult you. I didn't ignore you. I inquired on how they could win out and miss the playoffs. But you would rather be a douche bag bitch about it so fuck you.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Beast was saying it in chat, but failed miserably

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 


rudely ignored by beast.

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 





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luigis
7 years ago

The Giants will destory the Lions, you betchya.

The Cowboys will also beat the Lions, imo. This, I think with a Vikings loss mext week, would actually secure a playoff spot of we win the next two.

Originally Posted by: The_Green_Ninja 



No, that would be incorrect.

I've inputed: Dallas defeats Detroit, NYG defeats Detroit, we win against Chi and Min, Min loses to IND.
Even then we need to win the week 17 game against detroit, if we lose Detroit wins the Division and the Giants and Redskis or Tampa get the two wildcard spots.
Luis
Zero2Cool
7 years ago

And someone else explained how the Packers could win out and lose the division. .. and I explained how the Packers could win out and lose the playoffs... your question was explained in chat... you didn't get it and now you're butt hurt for some reason.

You're the one using my name and calling me out with insults... and yet you're trying to play the victim, that's bullshit,you're better than this

Originally Posted by: beast 



You said the Packers could win out and miss playoffs. I asked how because what I had seen is if the won out, they were in. I was asking to be educated, not ignored and insulted. I wasn't paying attention to others because I was making sure since I asked YOU that if YOU responded that I would see it and not miss it. I was giving YOU my attention. If you had just said you didn't feel like explaining it, no big deal. I'm capable of finding out myself, but I was hoping you could share information so OTHERS could also see it.

Playing the victim? Fuck you.
Calling you out? Fuck you.

You're the one acting like some victim cuz I was ribbing you about not giving up some information. Grab a tissue and wipe the tears off your hurt'd ass.

You could have laughed off the ribbing, but no, you got all PMS on me and want to keep going on and on an on, so guess what? I will keep fucking going on and on and on too. The funny thing is here, if you had this much passion to INFORM someone who was ASKING to be INFORMED, we wouldn't have this. But no, you had to be an asshole about it so guess what ... I will also be a asshole. Am I up to five fuck you's yet? Fuck you! (gonna count, brb, gotta take socks an shoes off first)
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beast
7 years ago

I wasn't paying attention to others

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool 



And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.
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Zero2Cool
7 years ago

And that's not my fault. Someone else answered your question before I could... how was I suppose to know you were ignoring them? And since they already correctly answered it (about the division), I thought it would be redundant to answer (about the division) and so I explained the wild card.

Originally Posted by: beast 



You should know I was ignoring them because you are special. You know what kind of special I'm talking. 😉

It's cool, no worries. I'm done with this now. I was going to keep going, but I think you actually are taking me seriously so I'm dropping it. Sorry bud. Ain't no reason to salty up your VICTORY FUCKING MONDAY!!! Sorry, I just love beating the piss out of the Seahawks. Freaking hate that team.

I hope the defense gets another six turn overs and annihilates the hell out of the Bears. I can't hate them because they just suck and it feels wrong.
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mi_keys
7 years ago

I couldn't find a scenario where we could get a wildcard spot being 9-7, it seems the NFC has just too many teams in the playoff hunt and the tiebreakers are not in our side this year.

Originally Posted by: luigis 



It's very difficult but if the Packers' one loss is the Bears or Lions, Green Bay could be a wild card if two of the three scenarios below happen:

1. Either Atlanta OR Tampa Bay lose out;
2. Washington loses two; and
3. New York loses out

No one in the NFC West can reach 9-7 other than Seattle, who would be the division winner. So a 9-7 Packers team finishing second in the NFC North is chasing whoever finishes second in the NFC South as well as Washington and New York for the two spots.

If Green Bay beats Chicago and Detroit but lose to Minnesota, Minnesota would have to lose their other two games for Green Bay to still finish second in the NFC North. If all three of the above scenarios play out, then Minnesota and Green Bay could be the two wild card teams.

In short, winning the division is the much easier path now.
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Mucky Tundra (20-Nov) : Matt LaFleur without context: “I don’t wanna pat you on the butt and you poop in my hand.”
beast (20-Nov) : We brought in a former Packers OL coach to help evaluate OL as a scout
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Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He landed good players thanks to high draft slot. He isn't good.
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beast (20-Nov) : More knowledge, just like bring in the Jets head coach
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : What? Why? Huh?
beast (19-Nov) : I wonder if the Packers might to try to bring Douglas in through Milt Hendrickson/Ravens connections
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : The Jets fired Joe Douglas, per sources
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Jets are a mess......
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Pretty sure Jets fired their scouting staff and just pluck former Packers.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Jets sign Anders Carlson to their 53.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : When you cycle the weeks, the total over remains for season. But you get your W/L for that selected week. Confusing.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the totals are accurate..nrvrtmind
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : I don't follow what you are saying. The totals are not the same as last week.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : ok so then wht are the totals the same as last week?
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Martha Careful (19-Nov) : The offense was OK. Let's not forget the Bear defense is very very good.
packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Who updates the leaderboard on NFLPickem?
beast (19-Nov) : Has the Packers offense been worse since the former Jets coach joined the Packers?
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Offense gets his ass in gear, this could be good.
Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Backup QB helped with three wins. Special Teams contributed to three wins.
bboystyle (18-Nov) : Lions played outside thats why. They scored 16 and 17 in the only 2 outside games this year
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Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Lions seem to be throttling everyone, but only (only) got 24 lol maybe the rain is why
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beast (18-Nov) : Dennis Green "They are what we thought they were, and we let them off the hook!"
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