In the base our DL will dominate the LOS and Charles will get squat. The problem w/ Lynch is it’s harder to maintain assignment discipline because you know ya need 34 guys to get him down, so guys are chomping at the bit to abandon their assignment. Charles is a really good back; but if everyone plays w/ discipline they’ll be no holes. He might pop a couple of long runs 20-30 yards maybe even a TD, but he’ll be averaging under 3 for the rest of his carries. Hayward and Shields can man the KC WRs and I expect only 1 safety deep most of game, w/ the other up on LOS. Hyde/Burnett/Dix/Richardson/Palmer/CM3 will take care of Kelce [Their #2 threat].
The only way to run on Pack is to play 3WR and KC dont do this much [about 20x per game]. They play a lot of 12, 21 and some 22 personnel. They play a FB about 15 snaps per game; and a second TE about 30 snaps per game. Their refusal to spread the field will destroy their run game. If Reid recognizes this, he'll play alot more than 20 snaps w/ 3 WRs.
I have 1 and only 1 fear-Charles catching balls out of backfield, somebody fast enough better be on this guys a$$, no matter what is happening. This guy will kill ya if you try to play zone and they do little swing passes and he’s allowed to work in space.
On O: we will not be able to run on their base D. So dammit let’s not even try; and I don’t care what the eff Lombardi did or how important balance is, designing yourself to be 2nd and 12 is just stupid. KC has the best 1-2 NT group in the NFL [Howard-Poe] and Bailey and Devito are really good 3-4DEs. And a real good thumper [Johnson] behind them.
They got 1 good CB [Gaines] and another that’s been playing Damarious-Randell-well [rookie Peters]. Capers and Whitt have had 2 weeks of tape on Peters and if there is a chink, they’ll find and exploit it. When teams go 3 wide, Gaines moves inside and the mediocre Fleming mans the right and Peters the left [KC don’t move their CBs]. In the dime they bring in a safety Abdullah. Mismatch = Cobb outside on Fleming. Mismatch = Rodgers on Gains or any safety. Mismatch= [Rodgers lining up outside occupying CB-Peters] a relatively healthy Adams on the dime cover safety. And if they get Monty up to speed in 2nd slot on 4 wide look, him on the dime cover safety is a scary [for KC] mismatch.
With Adams probably missing practice reps: the extra reps w/ the 1s will help Monty immensely. I’m hopin’ GB should be able to design some plays for Janis against Fleming or Peters. A successful play or 2 to Janis on film will also occupy some precious practice time of our upcoming opponents. Even a long incompletion w/ Janis open will do this.
The 3rd read in a pattern must delay their move to get open anyways. If we put Q or Rodgers to not just chip Houston, but to really get in and block. Then once Houston’s momentum is stopped, then the TE who will probably be uncovered by this time can slip off into his route. If GB does not do this, then it will be by design!!!! Aaron Rodgers sits in pocket drawing Houston into it like drawing a bug to a bug zapper...LOL..Then Zap, Wapp, Barclay smacks him further inside and Aaron Rodgers strolls right with hours to throw or run. A few screens; 745 hard counts; and improvement by Barclay and Bak will keep the rush and the victory well controlled.