I agree, it probably won't be close but you are going to compare the stats of the likely #1 receiving threat in Seattle to the #4 or #5 receiving threat in Green Bay and then you are going to say "see, I told you Graham would be better" I don't think there is a person alive who thinks RR is going to put up better numbers than JG this year. That does not mean JG would put up the same stats in GB as he will in Seattle.
Do you honestly think Graham would have the stats in Green Bay, with Nelson, Cobb and Lacy getting their targets, as he will in Seattle? I'll go one step further and say if RR was in Seattle he would probably have better numbers than he will in Green Bay (not Graham type numbers for sure so don't go saying I am comparing RR to JG) but better just because of the lack of targets the #4/#5 pass catcher get in Green Bay.
What I will give you is that if we had Graham instead of Rodgers he wouldn't be the #4/#5 option he would probably be the #3 or maybe even the #2 since it may have meant losing Cobb. It would depend upon how much Mike McCarthy would be willing to change the offensive scheme to include the TE in the pass catching role.
I've said it before and I'll say it again. I think the Packers could turn RR or Q into a top 5 TE statistically if that is what they set out to do. It would be at a huge cost to the rest of the offense though and it would be the same with Graham. For any Packer TE to be top 5 in the league it would mean significantly less opportunities for Nelson, Cobb, Adams, and Lacy as a whole. My question then would be what did you really gain?
Originally Posted by: sschind