I agree mostly with Teds approach. but I do feel he has missed now a couple opportunities where he could have made moves to give the team a better chance at the SB and failed to do so.
Originally Posted by: PackFanWithTwins
Words and thinking that cannot be challenged..It’s perfect thinking, but it’s a verbal Escher staircase, there is no way to translate this thinking to reality.
Ted Thompson works 1 way; 31 GMs work another. Out of 31 GMs show me one that TOOK a “couple opportunities” and made the odds better of winning a SB. Last year, 31GMs TOOK a "couple opportunities;" but only 1 in 31 actually won!!!!! So you want to point to Revis and Browner. But if Denver won, you’d point to Sanders, Ware, Ward and Talib. If Bears, you’d point to Allen, Houston, Mundy. If Ravens, you’d point to...you get the point.
1 of 31 odds is pretty BAD, but it’s even worse than that!!!! Theses “couple opportunities” that these 31 teams took in 2014 have hurt their odds of winning in 2015. THIS IS TRUE FOR ALL OF THEM...ALL! So it’s like these “couple opportunities” work 1 in 62 or 1 in 93 times.
Odds of winning SB are 1 in 32; if you make POs every year 1 in 12; w/ bye every year, 1 in 8; if you go to POs every year and get a bye for half 1 in 10. TT’s refusal to indulge in these “couple opportunities” put GB 3x to 9x better depending on how stupid the other GMs were.
If Ted Thompson had a worthwhile “opportunity” he would have taken it if in his control. And for that one guy you get that you think gets you closer to wining; there’s 4 failures, [two of which are miserable failures] that not only get you further away in the instant year; but set you much farther back in subsequent years. Ted Thompson knows the odds and is playing them to perfection.