I think it is hard to judge the Packers on the Seahawks and Lions games in weeks 1 and 3 of the season. Are we watching the same overall Packers team in week 11 that we were watching in the early weeks, where they almost lost to the Jets as well? I don't think so.
As a team, I think they have made positive changes on offense and defense. Its unfortunate that they have only been able to showcase these changes against under performing teams thus far. Offensively, we are seeing them do things differently with personnel and play calling.
-Earlier in the season, the Packers were unable (or not confident) in running a 2 TE set. We watched that happen last week.
-Earlier in the season, Packers fans complained about how vanilla the offense was. Lack of using motion and lack of screens. The past few weeks we have seen Jordy in motion and a nice, healthy use of screens/ dump off passes to Lacy (who is just as good as getting the YAC as our WRs).
-Running game has changed a little bit but not so much so that the offense is predictable. Lacy is a better runner out of singleback formation as opposed to shotgun. There has been more running out of that formation. Less toss plays, but they are still there.
Overall, McCarthy and Rodgers have been playing to their strengths lately and using the personnel they have wisely. I think if this was all happening earlier in the season there would be a big difference in some of the outcomes.
Defensively, the Packers have been getting it done lately (aside from NO, see later). The run defense still has to shape up and I still question if using Clay in a ILB role is going to definitely fix that. Eagles game may be a good indication on this.
Along with the Seahawks and Lions game, I think it is hard to judge the Packers defense against the Saints. They were playing without Sam Shields and Morgan Burnett which is a huge hit against a team like the Saints in their home dome. Add Rodgers and Lang's injury to this list and the offenses inability to score, allowing the Saints to pull away.
My two good indications of this Packers team is:
- the Miami game. That took some grit to win that game against a quality defense and they did it.
- Not only beating bad teams but putting them away early. In the past, good Packers teams have allowed the scrub teams to stay in the game until the end. At least this isn't happening this season.
If I had to choose right now, I'd give the nod to them being contenders simply because they have and continue to make the changes that need to be made to bring in success and winning. The next 3 weeks will be huge for the Packers (2 of the 3 weeks if a fresh Adrian "I beat children" Peterson isn't back) to determine their pretender /contender status.
The Packers are getting hot at the right time of the season.