I don't have the data either but I would say the success rate for a #32 pick is higher than the average for other first round picks. The reason is the teams that draft @ 32 are typically the better teams. They do not have to rush the player into the game as quickly. They can truly draft the best player instead of the highest rated player at a position of need who they pretend is the BPA. They can get the draft pick on to the field a little at a time, pull him off and then talk about what he experienced. There is not a lot of pressure on the player to be the savior of the team or even the offense or defense.
Even though they were not the 32nd picks just look at GB first round picks this year and in 2005. A lot of people expect great things out of Ha Ha this year. Aaron was allowed to sit for 3 years before he had to step up.
Originally Posted by: wpr
That's a great point. I was thinking along the lines that it would make sense to find more can't miss players up high in picks 1-10 vs. 22-32.
With a QB, I think that would make some sense, but how many SB winners, or those that are playoff teams are drafting QB's in Round 1?
The thing that troubled me about Sherrod is there was no positive buzz about him like there was with some other guys like a Greg Jennings, Casey Hayward, etc. He wasn't making any waves early and seemed to be treading water. If you're a 1st round OT and you can't get on the field with the line we had when he was drafted, that was a very disappointing omen. It is hard for me to believe a guy with no positive buzz who wasn't making hey to play vs. the guys we had there, then, how is he going to do so now?
His movement to G after drafting him a T might be all the reason he struggled as he didn't play G at Mississippi State. The Packers had an even more liberal move guys around philosophy regarding the OL than they do now. I'm all for a guy being able wear multiple hats but make sure he is good at one before you move him. He never got a shot at tackle. Campen and musical positions has usually done us a disservice. A couple of smart decisions that worked out were realizing Bryan Bulaga was not a LT and putting him on the right side...Guard made sense for him and of course the switch of Sitton and Lang.
What a boon to the team it would be if Derek overcomes the odds and excels at LT...it'd be like an extra 1st rounder added for this season.
Ted Thompson sits on his hands per former GM: "because they’ve had 25 fricking years of great quarterbacks. Of course it works. Try it without a special quarterback."