play2win
10 years ago
Hey, I just thought it might be kind of cool to post our collective resources for gathering info on this upcoming Packers draft.

While this is not specific to GB, I wanted to share this particular link, as it shows a pretty remarkable success rate in finding 5 year starters at 3 of our greatest positions of need, Safety, Inside Linebacker and Tight End.

Draft Probabilities by Position
https://sports.yahoo.com/news/draft-probabilities-position-160112669--nfl.html 

I just found that information really interesting, and I know we all have our own links we reference to gather info as we get closer to the draft. Thought his might be a good time to pool some of that stuff together.

Here is a good listing/ranking of the top 300 players:
http://www.gbnreport.com/top100.html 

Here is another with the top 256:
http://www.draftcountdown.com/Rankings/TOP.php 

Ourlads does a great positional ranking:
http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-nfl-prospect-rankings-by-position/ 

Another from Draft Insider top 150 and positional:
http://www.draftinsider.net/rankings 

Rotoworld has some decent info:
http://www.rotoworld.com/sports/cfb/nfl-draft 

I like Draftek for ease of use in finding players in mocks through all 7 rounds with bios, and they have decent positional rankings:
http://www.drafttek.com/2014-NFL-Mock-Draft-Round1.asp 

All this stuff needs to be taken with a grain of salt, but I like getting as much info as possible, even if some of it is more or less reliable.
joemailman
10 years ago
Anyone who wants to spend way too much time looking at mock drafts can use this database. http://walterfootball.com/draftdata.php 
Mucky Tundra
10 years ago
Draft Trade Chart 

IIRC, this is based off what the Cowboys used under Jimmy Johnson.
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play2win
10 years ago
joe 7 Mucky, I love using both of those in geeking out draft scenarios. Walters is pretty good.

Here is another interesting bit of info on projecting success and how it correlates to draft slot, #, round:

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Boom-or-bust-A-look-at-draft-probabilities.html 

We need to keep that 21 pick I think... I want a big impact player added to our O or D if at all possible. A bunch of them would be nice if the draft falls Ted's way.
joemailman
10 years ago

joe 7 Mucky, I love using both of those in geeking out draft scenarios. Walters is pretty good.

Here is another interesting bit of info on projecting success and how it correlates to draft slot, #, round:

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Boom-or-bust-A-look-at-draft-probabilities.html 

We need to keep that 21 pick I think... I want a big impact player added to our O or D if at all possible. A bunch of them would be nice if the draft falls Ted's way.

Originally Posted by: play2win 



History suggests Ted Thompson will probably garner more than 1 pick in the 47-73 range. He's had 2 picks in 1-13, 3 picks in 14-24, 5 picks in 25-46, and 14 picks in 47-73. Of course, you can get an extra pick in the 47-73 range by trading down in the 1st round or trading up from the 3rd round. Probably no GM has had as good a success in the 47-73 range as Thompson.

1-13: B.J. Raji, A.J. Hawk (2 good players who have probably been a disappointment for that high a pick)

14-24: Aaron Rodgers, Justin Harrell, Bryan Bulaga (1 superstar, 1 bust, and 1 very good player hampered by injury)

25-46: Jordy Nelson, Clay Matthews, Derek Sherrod, Nick Perry, Datone Jones (1 outstanding player, 1 superstar, 3 recent players who have been hampered by injury)

47-73: Terrence Murphy, Nick Collins, Abdul Hodge, Greg Jennings, Daryn Colledge, Brandon Jackson, Pat Lee, Brian Brohm, Morgan Burnett, Mike Neal, Randall Cobb, Casey Hayward, Jerel Worthy, Eddie Lacy (Three Pro Bowl Players, 2 outstanding players (of which 1 hampered by injury), 1 solid players, 2 players hampered by injury, 2 busts, 1 reserve)
Fan Shout
Mucky Tundra (1h) : But to say they are in is looking past the Saints
Mucky Tundra (1h) : That said, their odds are very favorable with a >99% chance of making the playoffs entering this week's games
Mucky Tundra (1h) : Packers are not in and have not clinched a playoff spot.
buckeyepackfan (1h) : Packers are in, they need to keep winning to improve their seed#.
Mucky Tundra (10h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan
beast (11h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings
bboystyle (11h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in
Mucky Tundra (14h) : Or ties, but let's be real here
Mucky Tundra (14h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses
Mucky Tundra (14h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch
buckeyepackfan (14h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks
Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak
beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.
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