2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities· Page 3

sschind
Senior Member

10 years ago

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions

Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints

Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers

CRAZY...

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

StoicFire
Member

10 years ago

#22

It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#23

Originally Posted by: StoicFire

Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? 🤣

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

10 years ago

#24

Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears

macbob
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#25

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

#26

Originally Posted by: macbob

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

sschind
Senior Member

10 years ago

#27

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

What? Week 8, Week 9, are you losing it nerd?

You don't see us winning this week is that what you are saying?

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#28

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.
The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

10 years ago

#29

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Packers could actually win the division with 8 - 7 - 1 record lol ... wow

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#30

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

I KNOW I WAS THE 1ST!!!!!!

Just can't find my original post, in another thread!!!

DAMNIT!!!!!!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

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Fan Shout

packerfanoutwest (7h) : Jaire Alexander says he has a torn PCL

Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : Even with the context it's ... what?

Mucky Tundra (20-Nov) : Matt LaFleur without context: “I don’t wanna pat you on the butt and you poop in my hand.”

beast (20-Nov) : We brought in a former Packers OL coach to help evaluate OL as a scout

beast (20-Nov) : Jets have been pretty good at picking DL

Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He landed good players thanks to high draft slot. He isn't good.

Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He can shove his knowledge up his ass. He knows nothing.

beast (20-Nov) : More knowledge, just like bring in the Jets head coach

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : What? Why? Huh?

beast (19-Nov) : I wonder if the Packers might to try to bring Douglas in through Milt Hendrickson/Ravens connections

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : The Jets fired Joe Douglas, per sources

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Jets are a mess......

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Pretty sure Jets fired their scouting staff and just pluck former Packers.

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Jets sign Anders Carlson to their 53.

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : When you cycle the weeks, the total over remains for season. But you get your W/L for that selected week. Confusing.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the totals are accurate..nrvrtmind

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : I don't follow what you are saying. The totals are not the same as last week.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : ok so then wht are the totals the same as last week?

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : NFL Pick'em is auto updated when NFL Scores tab is clicked

Martha Careful (19-Nov) : The offense was OK. Let's not forget the Bear defense is very very good.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Who updates the leaderboard on NFLPickem?

beast (19-Nov) : Has the Packers offense been worse since the former Jets coach joined the Packers?

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Offense gets his ass in gear, this could be good.

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Backup QB helped with three wins. Special Teams contributed to three wins.

bboystyle (18-Nov) : Lions played outside thats why. They scored 16 and 17 in the only 2 outside games this year

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : The rest of the NFL is catching up to Packers ... kicking is an issue throughout league

packerfanoutwest (18-Nov) : Packers DL Kenny Clark: We knew 'we were going to block' Bears' game-winning field goal attempt

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Lions seem to be throttling everyone, but only (only) got 24 lol maybe the rain is why

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Packers vs Lions game doesn't seem so bad.

beast (18-Nov) : Dennis Green "They are what we thought they were, and we let them off the hook!"

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : comment of the day Z2Cool "Bears better than we want to admit. Packers worse than we think. It's facts."

Mucky Tundra (17-Nov) : my worst case scenario: Bears fix their oline and get a coach like Johnson from the Lions and his scheme

Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Bears get OL fixed amd we might have a problem

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Pretty sure they already have scouting reports on guys who aren't even starting for their college team. The future is now for me.

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : I tend to let Gute and Co. Worry about the future.

beast (17-Nov) : That's great news and Packers need to keep upgrading their OL, DL and DBs this off-season, so missing one guy doesn't kill them

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Jaire and Evans Williams are both ACTIVE! Good news.

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : The badgers really need to change the whole offensive scheme. No draws no screens plus the quarterback is marginal

Cheesey (17-Nov) : If the Badgers had a decent QB, they would have won. The guy can't hit a wide open receiver

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : chop block

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : there was a very questionable job Block call that upon viewing replay was very borderline

beast (17-Nov) : How so? (I didn't watch)

Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Badgers got hosed vs Oregon

packerfanoutwest (16-Nov) : damn,he hasn't played since week 2

Mucky Tundra (15-Nov) : poor guy can't catch a break

wpr (15-Nov) : wow. That three different things for the kid.

Zero2Cool (15-Nov) : MarShawn Lloyd has appendicitis according to Matt LaFleur.

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 12:00 PM

Vikings

Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM

BEARS