2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!

Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcwinmagicnumbers.html

Wanna join the discussion?! Login to your PACKERSHOME forum account or Register a new forum account

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

I still wanna win.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

PackFanWithTwins
Veteran Member

11 years ago

Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.

The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

This is the biggest test we'll face.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

luigis
Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Luis

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Originally Posted by: luigis

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nyrpack
Veteran Member

11 years ago

only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!

jimmy b.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#10

IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

Important Information:

The PACKERSHOME uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. More Details Close

Fan Shout

Zero2Cool (2m) : 𝕏avier McKinney First Team All-Pro

Zero2Cool (3h) : NFL moves Vikings-Rams playoff tilt to Arizona due to fires

Zero2Cool (3h) : Rams lose home field advantage for Monday game.

Mucky Tundra (18h) : Notre Lame=Notre Dame, Luckeyes=Ohio State, Pedo St=Penn St

Zero2Cool (19h) : ... It clearly was not what we were supposed to be in, certainly."

Zero2Cool (19h) : Hafley says 3rd and 11 call there was a miscommunication.

Zero2Cool (20h) : The only team I know is Texas from that. Who are the other three?

Mucky Tundra (21h) : Notre Lame vs Pedo St tonight and the Luckeyes vs Texas tomorrow

Mucky Tundra (21h) : Stud

Zero2Cool (23h) : E. Cooper. Rookie of Month. Defense.

Mucky Tundra (8-Jan) : @AaronNagler · 2m Both Jordan Love and Malik Willis were Limited participants at Packers practice today.

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Johnson didn't make it until 2020. Ring 2023. 🤷 Personally, he should have been in years prior to Hall.

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : HUMP DAY

beast (8-Jan) : Guys that have a good shot at making the NFL Hall of Fame usually get into their teams pretty fast

beast (8-Jan) : Yeah, but is Kampman and the others in the NFL Hall of Fame?

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Johnson was Hall of Fame, 2020. Should haev been in Ring a year later, not three years.

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : I could be wrong there though

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Guys like Kampman, Tim Harris, Al Harris, etc all over 15 years. Hall of Fame is 5 year wait

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : I guess I see players in Packers Hall come way later

beast (8-Jan) : Yeah, usually teams hall of fames are a much lower bar than the NFL

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : is it uncommon for Hall before Ring?

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : S Xavier McKinney named first-team All-Pro by NFLPA

beast (8-Jan) : I missed it, sorry, but he got into the NFL Hall of Fame years before that

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Jones took his sweet ole time!

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Yeah, he's in the ring of honor, just saw video and his name is up there

Zero2Cool (8-Jan) : Didn't they have a thing in 2023 for Jimmy's ring of honor? I swear I saw it

beast (8-Jan) : Though if they're legitimately trying to re-sign MM, then it makes sense.

beast (8-Jan) : Jerry Jones still hasn't put Jimmy Johnson in the Ring of Honor, but he's in the NFL's Hall of Fame, Jones is petty

Mucky Tundra (8-Jan) : Unless the Cowboys are planning an extension, seems kinda petty

beast (8-Jan) : Cowboys denied Bears request

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : From what I'm reading, MM is under contract through the 14th of January; after that he's free game

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : McCarthy let go or not extended??

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Chicago Bears have asked the Dallas Cowboys permission to interview Mike McCarthy for head coaching vacancy

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : The winners page that is

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : I was not hoping for that. It messes up the page lol

beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3.

beast (6-Jan) : Thank you, and I was really opening we were going to get 4 or more tied for the top 3

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats beast on 2024 !

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : congrats porky on winning 2023 pick'em! (oops sorry)

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : Packers have $60M+ of 2025 cap space on paper TODAY.

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Missed FG into a Lions TD; that'll do pig, that'll do

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : That might be it for the Vikings

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Oh so the refs do know what intentional grounding is

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : what the hell was that Goff?! Not much pressure and he just air mails it to Harrison

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : They really need to to get rid of the auto first down for illegal contact

Martha Careful (6-Jan) : watching the Vikings and Lions it's understandable why they swept the Packers. So much better product

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Even when GB got pressure he was throwing darts; vs no pressure on that last pass he just air mails an open guy

Zero2Cool (6-Jan) : didn't have guys in his face ... pressure makes difference

Mucky Tundra (6-Jan) : Where was this Darnold vs GB?

Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

34 - 0

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM

Vikings

25 - 27

Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS

22 - 24