2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities· Page 3

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions

Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints

Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers

CRAZY...

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

StoicFire
Member

11 years ago

#22

It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#23

Originally Posted by: StoicFire

Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? 🤣

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#24

Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears

macbob
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#25

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

#26

Originally Posted by: macbob

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

#27

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

What? Week 8, Week 9, are you losing it nerd?

You don't see us winning this week is that what you are saying?

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#28

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.
The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#29

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Packers could actually win the division with 8 - 7 - 1 record lol ... wow

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#30

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

I KNOW I WAS THE 1ST!!!!!!

Just can't find my original post, in another thread!!!

DAMNIT!!!!!!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

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Fan Shout

Mucky Tundra (6h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan

beast (6h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings

bboystyle (6h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in

Mucky Tundra (9h) : Or ties, but let's be real here

Mucky Tundra (9h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses

Mucky Tundra (9h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch

buckeyepackfan (10h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks

Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak

beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other

beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)

Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.

beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs

packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.

beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating

Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!

wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.

beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!

beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.

Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”

packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB

Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him

beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie

Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b

Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with

packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie

beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst

Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck

beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now

beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell

packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies

Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol

Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?

beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!

Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.

Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Packers are 6th in sacks.

Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : RB David Montgomery will undergo season-ending knee surgery.

Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Dan Campbell on onside kick with 12 minutes left: In hindsight, wish I didn’t do that

Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : They have that whole 12th man thing so ...

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 12:00 PM

Vikings

Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM

BEARS