2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities· Page 3

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions

Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints

Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers

CRAZY...

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

StoicFire
Member

11 years ago

#22

It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#23

Originally Posted by: StoicFire

Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? 🤣

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#24

Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears

macbob
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#25

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need AR back by that first round of playoffs.

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

#26

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.

Originally Posted by: macbob

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

#27

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

What? Week 8, Week 9, are you losing it nerd?

You don't see us winning this week is that what you are saying?

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#28

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.
The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#29

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Packers could actually win the division with 8 - 7 - 1 record lol ... wow

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#30

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

I KNOW I WAS THE 1ST!!!!!!

Just can't find my original post, in another thread!!!

DAMNIT!!!!!!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Important Information:

The PACKERSHOME uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. More Details Close

Fan Shout

dfosterf (3h) : Mackelvie

dfosterf (3h) : Michael Macelvie- NFL teams know how to draft- Why don"t they?

dfosterf (3h) : Youtube

Zero2Cool (8h) : Packers were not selected for the 2025 Hall of Fame game.

dfosterf (11h) : PFOW Out of our division would be a good thing imo

Zero2Cool (12h) : Jameson Williams is done at 24 years old? What? He's a WR, not QB. I'm missing something here haha

wpr (12h) : Tomorrow is almost here.

packerfanoutwest (13h) : would you want him if Pack needed a back up qb?

packerfanoutwest (13h) : JW is done......stick a fork in him

Zero2Cool (15h) : You should. He goes to AFC that helps Packers.

packerfanoutwest (23-Apr) : don't care

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Lions shopping Jameson Williams?

packerfanoutwest (22-Apr) : Packers General Manager Brian Gutekunst says Green Bay’s roster can win, even without adding anyone in the draft.

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : It's a poor design. New site has SignalR like our gameday chat

wpr (22-Apr) : Ah today's Shout was very quick to post.

wpr (22-Apr) : now 3

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Who? What?

beast (22-Apr) : What is he supposed to say? He doesn't want players currently on the team?

Martha Careful (21-Apr) : meh

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Sounds like Walker and Wyatt will be with Packers for beyond 2026

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : It's so awesome.

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : new site fan shout post fast

wpr (21-Apr) : Slow posting in Fan shout.

wpr (21-Apr) : Only 4

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : If only we had a topic to read about and discuss it. That's something new website must have!!!

dfosterf (21-Apr) : Justice Musqueda over at Acme Packing put up an excellent synopsis of the Packers 1st round options this am

wpr (19-Apr) : 5 days

beast (18-Apr) : 6 days

wpr (17-Apr) : 7 days

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : sounds like Packers don't get good compensation, Jaire staying

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Nobody coming up with a keep, but at x amount

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Trade, cut or keep

dfosterf (16-Apr) : that from Jaire

dfosterf (16-Apr) : My guess is the Packers floated the concept of a reworked contract via his agent and agent got a f'

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Yes, and that is why I think Rob worded it how he did. Rather than say "agent"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Same laws apply. Agent must present such an offer to Jaire. Cannot accept or reject without presenting it

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : I'm thinking that is why Rob worded it how he did.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The Packers can certainly still make the offer to the agent

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Laws of agency and definition of fiduciary responsibility

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Jaire is open to a reduced contract without Jaire's permission

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The agent would arguably violate the law if he were to tell the Packers

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : That someone ... likely the agent.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : So, Jaire has not been offered nor rejected a pay reduction, but someone says he'd decline.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovksy says t was direct communication with someone familiar with Jaire’s line of thinking at that moment.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovsky just replied to me a bit ago. Jaire hasn't said it.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Of course, that depends on the definition of "we"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : We have been told that they haven't because he wouldn't accept it. I submit we don't know that

dfosterf (16-Apr) : What is the downside in making a calculated reduced offer to Jaire?

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers are receiving interest in Jaire Alexander but a trade is not imminent

Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

34 - 0

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM

Vikings

25 - 27

Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS

22 - 24