2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities· Page 3

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions

Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints

Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers

CRAZY...

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

StoicFire
Member

11 years ago

#22

It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#23

Originally Posted by: StoicFire

Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? 🤣

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#24

Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears

macbob
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#25

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

#26

Originally Posted by: macbob

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

sschind
Senior Member

11 years ago

#27

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

What? Week 8, Week 9, are you losing it nerd?

You don't see us winning this week is that what you are saying?

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#28

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.
The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

#29

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Packers could actually win the division with 8 - 7 - 1 record lol ... wow

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#30

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

I KNOW I WAS THE 1ST!!!!!!

Just can't find my original post, in another thread!!!

DAMNIT!!!!!!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

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Fan Shout

Zero2Cool (45m) : However, we seem to struggle vs new QB's

Zero2Cool (45m) : Should be moot point, cuz Packers should win tonight.

packerfanoutwest (59m) : ok I stand corrected

Zero2Cool (1h) : Ok, yes, you are right. I see that now how they get 7th

Zero2Cool (1h) : 5th - Packers win out, Vikings lose out. Maybe?

beast (1h) : Saying no to the 6th lock.

beast (1h) : No, with the Commanders beating the Eagles, Packers could have a good chance of 6th or 7th unless the win out

Zero2Cool (1h) : I think if Packers win, they are locked 6th with chance for 5th.

beast (1h) : But it doesn't matter, as the Packers win surely win one of their remaining games

beast (1h) : This is not complex, just someone doesn't want to believe reality

beast (1h) : We already have told you... if Packers lose all their games (they won't, but if they did), and Buccaneers and Falcons win all theirs

Zero2Cool (1h) : I posted it in that Packers and 1 seed thread

Zero2Cool (1h) : I literally just said it.

packerfanoutwest (1h) : show us a scenario where Pack don't get in? bet you can't

Zero2Cool (1h) : Falcons, Buccaneers would need to win final two games.

Zero2Cool (1h) : Yes, if they win one of three, they are lock. If they lose out, they can be eliminated.

packerfanoutwest (1h) : as I just said,,gtheyh are in no matter what

Zero2Cool (1h) : Packers should get in. I just hope it's not 7th seed. Feels dirty.

packerfanoutwest (1h) : If packers lose out, no matter what, they are in

packerfanoutwest (1h) : both teams can not male the playoffs....falcon hold the tie breaker

packerfanoutwest (1h) : if bucs win out they win their division

beast (1h) : Fine, Buccaneers and Falcons can get ahead of us

packerfanoutwest (1h) : falcons are already ahead of us

beast (1h) : Packers will get in

beast (1h) : If Packers lose the rest of their games and Falcons win the rest of theirs, they could pass us... but not gonna happen

packerfanoutwest (2h) : they still are in the playoffs

packerfanoutwest (2h) : If Packers lose the remaining games,,,,at 10-7

Zero2Cool (3h) : We can say it. We don't play.

Mucky Tundra (5h) : But to say they are in is looking past the Saints

Mucky Tundra (5h) : That said, their odds are very favorable with a >99% chance of making the playoffs entering this week's games

Mucky Tundra (5h) : Packers are not in and have not clinched a playoff spot.

buckeyepackfan (5h) : Packers are in, they need to keep winning to improve their seed#.

Mucky Tundra (14h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan

beast (15h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings

bboystyle (15h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in

Mucky Tundra (18h) : Or ties, but let's be real here

Mucky Tundra (18h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses

Mucky Tundra (18h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch

buckeyepackfan (18h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks

Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak

beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other

beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)

Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.

beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs

packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.

beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating

Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!

wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 12:00 PM

Vikings

Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM

BEARS