Playoff Picture Week 2 (15 Weeks to Go)

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CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

WEEK 2

NFC

First Round Bye
1) Redskins (5) (Greater Strength of Victory than Lions)
2) Lions (8) (higher combined conf points ranking than Packers)

Division Winners
3) Saints (12) (Strength of Victory > 49'ers and Falcons)
4) 49'ers (3) (Better division winning % than Cardinals)

Wild Cards
5) Packers (6) (Better winning % than Cowboys)
6) Cowboys (9) (Greater Strength of Schedule than the Bears)

The Rest in Order:
7) Bears (2) (Head to Head win over Falcons)
8) Falcons (15) (Greater Strength of Victory than Eagles)
9) Eagles (1) (Higher combined points ranking than Cardinals)
10) Cardinals (7) (Conf combined pts ranking > Buccaneers)
11) Buccaneers (Better conf combined pts ranking than Giants)
12) Giants (13) (Better winning % than Panthers)
13) Panthers (Greater Strength of Schedule than vikings)
14) vikings (10) (better conf combined pts ranking than Seahawks)
15) Seahawks (14) (better conf combined pts ranking than Rams)
16) Rams (16)

Notes:

-The number in parentheses indicates last week's playoff position.
-The Panthers and Buccaneers were a coin toss decision between 4th and 11th last week. No last week ranking appears.
-The Packers are 2-0 in conference games and Lions 1-0 but conference winning percentage is the same.
-The Packers have more conference net points than Lions but that it not a tiebreaker for teams within a division.
-Combined Points Ranking is adding the points scored ranking to the points allowed ranking.
-Abbreviations SOV and SOS may be used for Strength of Victory and Strength of Schedule.

AFC

First Round Bye
1) Patriots (3) (div winning % > Jets; better SOV than Texans)
2) Texans (2) (better winning % than Raiders)

Division Winners
3) Raiders (4) (greater Strength of Schedule than Ravens)
4) Ravens (1) (better conf combined point ranking than Bengals)

Wild Cards
5) Jets (9) (greater strength of victory than Bills)
6) Bills (5) (greater winning % than Jaguars)

The rest in order:
7) Jaguars (7) (head to head win over Titans)
8) Titans (10) (greater strength of victory than Chargers)
9) Chargers (8) (better division winning % than Broncos)
10) Broncos (11) (head to head win over Bengals)
11) Bengals (6) (head to head win over Browns)
12) Browns (12) (greater conference winning % than Steelers)
13) Steelers (15) (greater winning % than Dolphins)
14) Dolphins (13) (better conf combined points ranking than Chiefs)
15) Chiefs (16) (greater strength of schedule than Colts)
16) Colts (14)

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beast
Select Member

13 years ago

It will be interesting to see which teams remain undefeated. Two teams from the NFC North and three teams from the AFC East (two of which have a game against each other)

List of undefeated (and who they play next)

NFC
Packers (Bears)
Lions (Vikings)
Redskins (Cowboys)

AFC
Patriots (Bills)
Bills (Pats)
Jets (Raiders)
Texans (Saints)

Packers vs. Bears is gonna be a battle.

Patriots vs. Bill is a battle of two undefeated, it will be interesting if the Bills can get things rolling along. It'd be nice to see Bills winning again after losing for so long.

CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

Thanks Chiefs for getting blown out by the Lions.

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polargrizz
Member

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez

this is pure insanity

sorry no billboards

beast
Select Member

13 years ago

Thanks Chiefs for getting blown out by the Lions.

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez

I saw it coming (I mean a good Lions win... not the blown out). The Packers back-ups beat the Chiefs starters in the preseason. So the Lions starters should be able to well against them.

But I guess Lions Defensive Coordinator, Gunther Cunningham worked for the Chiefs a long time and the Chiefs accused him of tampering with one of their players while he was with the Lions. Which clearly ticked off the Lions and they used to to rally and send a message.

Also someone pointed out that the Packers seem to lack that attitude to go full speed all the time and go for the dagger to put the team away and keep going hard, and the Lions seem to have it. That might be a problem late in the season.

beast
Select Member

13 years ago

this is pure insanity

Originally Posted by: polargrizz

we know... but it interesting... even more so starting 6 to 10 weeks into the season.

peteralan71
Registered

13 years ago

Is this pure speculation or is there some sort of database that you use for this? I'm hoping it's the latter, but then again why are we a wildcard team when we are one of the three teams in the NFC that are yet undefeated? Only 3 teams after two weeks. Wow.

Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: peteralan71

he explains everyone of his rankings and how they were calculated.

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: peteralan71

1) It is the application of the NFL's tie breaking proceedures. There may be 3 undefeated teams but the NFL always has a way of breaking the tie (even if it is a coin flip).

2) If you apply the tiebreaking proccedures with the currently undefeated Lions, the Lions prevail based on their points scored and points allowed rankings (note last week's blowout win against the Chiefs).

3) Every week I update the scores and touchdowns scored in each game to keep the data current. As long as I am doing that; I create this weekly thread for the entertainment of board members.

4) During the first few weeks of the season things change rapidly and this thread has little value the following Tuesday. Much depends on scheduling (The Lions still have to play the Saints and the Packers have yet to play the Chiefs).

5) This doesn't get serious until about midseason. What this does is give you a little bit different perspective on where teams are instead of power rankings. I'm not suggesting the Packers are going to the 49'ers for a wild card playoff game anytime soon. But if you were a 49'er or Saints fan it could cheer you up being 1-1. As a Packers fan it may keep you a little more grounded in reality.

6) The truth can hurt, cheer you up, or just be funny. Much of humor is a different perspective with some truth to it.

Have some humor when you look at this weekly thread and take it with a grain of salt. For example the Bills are 2-0 and just won against the Raiders(1-1) last week yet if the playoffs were held this week the Raiders would host the Bills. Look for the fun in it for awhile.

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GermanGilbert
Member

13 years ago

#10

this is pure insanity

Originally Posted by: polargrizz

To be honest, I really like this "insanity". Keep posting, CalCheez, I enjoy and appreciate it every week.

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Fan Shout

beast (2-Jan) : Thanks dfosterf, I'm still kicking myself for last week, as I forgot to change to pick Vikings and Lions... after putting in a holding spot.

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : First alternate: Elgton Jenkins Other alternates: Jordan Love, Kenny Clark, Keisean Nixon, Tucker Kraft, Josh Myers, Jaire Alexander

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Pro Bowl still a thing? Guess Packers have three. Jacobs, Gary, McKinney.

dfosterf (2-Jan) : It's a mine field with all the players sitting, etc

dfosterf (2-Jan) : There was quite a bit of "chalk" matchups this year it seemed, but not this week coming up

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Or we got better and by we I mean everyone except me

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : We have about six that by percent would have won nearly any season. I guess 2024 was predictable 🤷

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You can check previous seasons. I quick did it and don't think anyone hit 70% before

dfosterf (2-Jan) : Hats off to the Beast

dfosterf (2-Jan) : I'm at 71.76% in pick 'em. 2nd place. Beast is at a flat 75% 9 games ahead. That 75% has got to be unprecedented this late in the season

beast (2-Jan) : I don't care deeply, just want some good entertaining games

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : BTW, not serious.

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You don't care about it either!!!!

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : NIL and Portal killed college, no one cares about it.

Mucky Tundra (2-Jan) : outside of Texas-Arizona St, it's been a snoozefest

beast (2-Jan) : I expect Georgia will change that tomorrow, but we'll have to wait and see. If they do, then only Big 10 and SEC are left.

beast (2-Jan) : So much for Conference Championship meaning something as 100% (so far) of the conference Champions lost their first playoff game.

Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Jaire had surgery, season over.

Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : I guess I need a new sig Pic. Boo

Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : Eric Dickerson approves of this decision

beast (1-Jan) : Eagles are resting RB Saquon Barkley, so there is no chance he breaks the record despite being just 101 yards from it

Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Patriots are waiving veteran pass rusher Yannick Ngakoue

beast (1-Jan) : Happy New Year's 🥳🎉

beast (31-Dec) : I want to them chant some songs for Daniel Whelan

beast (31-Dec) : Let's win one! Also, hopefully the Irish will stand with Daniel Whelan

Mucky Tundra (31-Dec) : After London and Brazil, I could go without an overseas game for a while

Zero2Cool (31-Dec) : Packers. Steelers. Ireland. 2025. Reports say.

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Matt Lafleur on if Jaire will play again this season. "Yeah I don't know... he's been dealing with swelling."

Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : After the way they played for most of the game yesterday, I don't see how you can sit anyone for the whole game

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : I'd say play everyone. Going into playoffs at 7th seed on two game lose streak - yucky

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Do the Packers have any best players?

beast (30-Dec) : Play or Rest*

beast (30-Dec) : Should the Packers play or free their best players vs the Bears?

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Packers should be 3 - 2 in the Division. Bonkers being swept by both Lions and Vikings. yikes

go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : All crazy stuff…and good point beast

beast (30-Dec) : Packers should be 0-5 in the division, can't say I saw that coming, even 1-4

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Sam Darnold 35 TD's ... another one

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Baker Mayfield, 39 TD's ... can't say I saw that one

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : No matter who is playing as 7th, I think we want them to win. Get rid of 2nd seed haha

go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : That would be dhazer who was rooting for Minnesota

beast (30-Dec) : Well, Commanders are currently the 6th seed and Packers the 7th

beast (30-Dec) : Who was it in Chat, that wanted the Vikings to win (because Lions fans upset them) because Packers could not lose the 6th seed?

beast (30-Dec) : If Falcons win, Packers stay as the 6th seed and Falcons lead the NFCS, if they lose, Commanders 6th and Bucs take NFCS lead

beast (30-Dec) : Win or Loss, the NFCS is going down to week 18

Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : if the Falcons win, how does that affect the overall NFC playoff picture? Does it mean that the NFC South comes down to week 18?

beast (30-Dec) : If Commanders win, the Packers drop to the 7th seed

beast (29-Dec) : Taylor still at it!

beast (29-Dec) : Colts get the ball and fumble turn over

packerfanoutwest (29-Dec) : Jets pull Aaron Rodgers for Tyrod Taylor

Mucky Tundra (29-Dec) : Colts-Giants now a tight one

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

34 - 0

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM

Vikings

25 - 27

Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS