Playoff Picture Week 2 (15 Weeks to Go)

CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

WEEK 2

NFC

First Round Bye
1) Redskins (5) (Greater Strength of Victory than Lions)
2) Lions (8) (higher combined conf points ranking than Packers)

Division Winners
3) Saints (12) (Strength of Victory > 49'ers and Falcons)
4) 49'ers (3) (Better division winning % than Cardinals)

Wild Cards
5) Packers (6) (Better winning % than Cowboys)
6) Cowboys (9) (Greater Strength of Schedule than the Bears)

The Rest in Order:
7) Bears (2) (Head to Head win over Falcons)
8) Falcons (15) (Greater Strength of Victory than Eagles)
9) Eagles (1) (Higher combined points ranking than Cardinals)
10) Cardinals (7) (Conf combined pts ranking > Buccaneers)
11) Buccaneers (Better conf combined pts ranking than Giants)
12) Giants (13) (Better winning % than Panthers)
13) Panthers (Greater Strength of Schedule than vikings)
14) vikings (10) (better conf combined pts ranking than Seahawks)
15) Seahawks (14) (better conf combined pts ranking than Rams)
16) Rams (16)

Notes:

-The number in parentheses indicates last week's playoff position.
-The Panthers and Buccaneers were a coin toss decision between 4th and 11th last week. No last week ranking appears.
-The Packers are 2-0 in conference games and Lions 1-0 but conference winning percentage is the same.
-The Packers have more conference net points than Lions but that it not a tiebreaker for teams within a division.
-Combined Points Ranking is adding the points scored ranking to the points allowed ranking.
-Abbreviations SOV and SOS may be used for Strength of Victory and Strength of Schedule.

AFC

First Round Bye
1) Patriots (3) (div winning % > Jets; better SOV than Texans)
2) Texans (2) (better winning % than Raiders)

Division Winners
3) Raiders (4) (greater Strength of Schedule than Ravens)
4) Ravens (1) (better conf combined point ranking than Bengals)

Wild Cards
5) Jets (9) (greater strength of victory than Bills)
6) Bills (5) (greater winning % than Jaguars)

The rest in order:
7) Jaguars (7) (head to head win over Titans)
8) Titans (10) (greater strength of victory than Chargers)
9) Chargers (8) (better division winning % than Broncos)
10) Broncos (11) (head to head win over Bengals)
11) Bengals (6) (head to head win over Browns)
12) Browns (12) (greater conference winning % than Steelers)
13) Steelers (15) (greater winning % than Dolphins)
14) Dolphins (13) (better conf combined points ranking than Chiefs)
15) Chiefs (16) (greater strength of schedule than Colts)
16) Colts (14)

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beast
Select Member

13 years ago

It will be interesting to see which teams remain undefeated. Two teams from the NFC North and three teams from the AFC East (two of which have a game against each other)

List of undefeated (and who they play next)

NFC
Packers (Bears)
Lions (Vikings)
Redskins (Cowboys)

AFC
Patriots (Bills)
Bills (Pats)
Jets (Raiders)
Texans (Saints)

Packers vs. Bears is gonna be a battle.

Patriots vs. Bill is a battle of two undefeated, it will be interesting if the Bills can get things rolling along. It'd be nice to see Bills winning again after losing for so long.

CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

Thanks Chiefs for getting blown out by the Lions.

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polargrizz
Member

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez

this is pure insanity

sorry no billboards

beast
Select Member

13 years ago

Thanks Chiefs for getting blown out by the Lions.

Originally Posted by: CaliforniaCheez

I saw it coming (I mean a good Lions win... not the blown out). The Packers back-ups beat the Chiefs starters in the preseason. So the Lions starters should be able to well against them.

But I guess Lions Defensive Coordinator, Gunther Cunningham worked for the Chiefs a long time and the Chiefs accused him of tampering with one of their players while he was with the Lions. Which clearly ticked off the Lions and they used to to rally and send a message.

Also someone pointed out that the Packers seem to lack that attitude to go full speed all the time and go for the dagger to put the team away and keep going hard, and the Lions seem to have it. That might be a problem late in the season.

beast
Select Member

13 years ago

this is pure insanity

Originally Posted by: polargrizz

we know... but it interesting... even more so starting 6 to 10 weeks into the season.

peteralan71
Registered

13 years ago

Is this pure speculation or is there some sort of database that you use for this? I'm hoping it's the latter, but then again why are we a wildcard team when we are one of the three teams in the NFC that are yet undefeated? Only 3 teams after two weeks. Wow.

Green Bay: Home of the Green & Gold. And the hunter orange. And the camouflage.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: peteralan71

he explains everyone of his rankings and how they were calculated.

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

CaliforniaCheez
Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

Originally Posted by: peteralan71

1) It is the application of the NFL's tie breaking proceedures. There may be 3 undefeated teams but the NFL always has a way of breaking the tie (even if it is a coin flip).

2) If you apply the tiebreaking proccedures with the currently undefeated Lions, the Lions prevail based on their points scored and points allowed rankings (note last week's blowout win against the Chiefs).

3) Every week I update the scores and touchdowns scored in each game to keep the data current. As long as I am doing that; I create this weekly thread for the entertainment of board members.

4) During the first few weeks of the season things change rapidly and this thread has little value the following Tuesday. Much depends on scheduling (The Lions still have to play the Saints and the Packers have yet to play the Chiefs).

5) This doesn't get serious until about midseason. What this does is give you a little bit different perspective on where teams are instead of power rankings. I'm not suggesting the Packers are going to the 49'ers for a wild card playoff game anytime soon. But if you were a 49'er or Saints fan it could cheer you up being 1-1. As a Packers fan it may keep you a little more grounded in reality.

6) The truth can hurt, cheer you up, or just be funny. Much of humor is a different perspective with some truth to it.

Have some humor when you look at this weekly thread and take it with a grain of salt. For example the Bills are 2-0 and just won against the Raiders(1-1) last week yet if the playoffs were held this week the Raiders would host the Bills. Look for the fun in it for awhile.

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GermanGilbert
Member

13 years ago

#10

this is pure insanity

Originally Posted by: polargrizz

To be honest, I really like this "insanity". Keep posting, CalCheez, I enjoy and appreciate it every week.

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Fan Shout

wpr (17-Apr) : 7 days

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : sounds like Packers don't get good compensation, Jaire staying

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Nobody coming up with a keep, but at x amount

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Trade, cut or keep

dfosterf (16-Apr) : that from Jaire

dfosterf (16-Apr) : My guess is the Packers floated the concept of a reworked contract via his agent and agent got a f'

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Yes, and that is why I think Rob worded it how he did. Rather than say "agent"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Same laws apply. Agent must present such an offer to Jaire. Cannot accept or reject without presenting it

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : I'm thinking that is why Rob worded it how he did.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The Packers can certainly still make the offer to the agent

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Laws of agency and definition of fiduciary responsibility

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Jaire is open to a reduced contract without Jaire's permission

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The agent would arguably violate the law if he were to tell the Packers

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : That someone ... likely the agent.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : So, Jaire has not been offered nor rejected a pay reduction, but someone says he'd decline.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovksy says t was direct communication with someone familiar with Jaire’s line of thinking at that moment.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovsky just replied to me a bit ago. Jaire hasn't said it.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Of course, that depends on the definition of "we"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : We have been told that they haven't because he wouldn't accept it. I submit we don't know that

dfosterf (16-Apr) : What is the downside in making a calculated reduced offer to Jaire?

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers are receiving interest in Jaire Alexander but a trade is not imminent

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Jalen Ramsey wants to be traded. He's never happy is he?

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : two 1sts in 2022 and two 2nd's in 2023 and 2024

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers had fortunate last three drafts.

dfosterf (15-Apr) : I may have to move

dfosterf (15-Apr) : My wife just told the ancient Japanese sushi dude not enough rice under his fish

Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : I think a dozen is what I need

dfosterf (14-Apr) : Go fund me for this purpose just might work. A dozen nurses show up at 1265 to provide mental health assistance.

dfosterf (14-Apr) : Maybe send a crew of Angels to the Packers draft room on draft day.

Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : I am the Angel that gets visited.

dfosterf (14-Apr) : Visiting Angels has a pretty good reputation

Zero2Cool (14-Apr) : what

Martha Careful (14-Apr) : WINNING IT, not someone else losing it. The best victory though was re-uniting with his wife

Martha Careful (14-Apr) : The manner in which he won it was just amazing and wonderful. First blowing the lead then getting back, then blowing it. But ultimately

Zero2Cool (12-Apr) : I'm guessing since the thumb was broken, he wasn't feeling it.

dfosterf (10-Apr) : Looking for guidance. Not feeling the thumb.

Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : If they knew about it or not

Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : I don't recall that he did which is why I asked.

Zero2Cool (10-Apr) : Guessing they probably knew. Did he have cast or something on?

Mucky Tundra (10-Apr) : Did they know that at the time or was that something the realized afterwards?

Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Van Ness played most of season with broken thumb

wpr (9-Apr) : yay

Zero2Cool (9-Apr) : Mark Murphy says Steelers likely to protect Packers game. Meaning, no Ireland

Zero2Cool (8-Apr) : Struggling to figure out what text editor options are needed and which are 'nice to have'

Mucky Tundra (8-Apr) : *CHOMP CHOMP CHOMP*

Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : WR who said he'd break Xavier Worthy 40 time...and ran slower than you

Mucky Tundra (2-Apr) : Who?

Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : Texas’ WR Isaiah Bond is scheduled to visit the Bills, Browns, Chiefs, Falcons, Packers and Titans starting next week.

Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : Spotting ball isn't changing, only measuring distance is, Which wasn't the issue.

Zero2Cool (2-Apr) : The spotting of the ball IS the issue. Not the chain gang.

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

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29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

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CARDINALS

34 - 13

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TEXANS

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30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

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Bears

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Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

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30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

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