Packer Stat Projections

porky88
Veteran Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

I project stats for a fantasy football website and I figured you guys would want to take a peek at some of the more prominent Packers.

Free Agency obviously has an impact on many players, so some of these could be subject to change. For example, James Jones is stuck right now because of his contract. Will he leave Green Bay? Does he go elsewhere? I'm figuring the latter, which is why Jordy Nelson's stats spike like they do.

I'll also put last year's projections up and the actual results, so you can see whether there is any method to my madness. Judge for yourself.

QB Aaron Rodgers

2010 Projections: 29 passing TDs, 4,213 passing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 268 rushing yards, 10 INTs, and 3 fumbles.

2010 Actual Stats: 28 passing TDs, 3,922 passing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 356 rushing yards, 11 INTs, and 1 fumble.

2011 Projections: 32 passing TDs, 4,192 passing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 300 rushing yards, 9 INTs, and 2 fumbles.

RB Ryan Grant

2011 Projections: 1,010 rushing yards, 25 receptions, 156 receiving yards, 8 rushing touchdowns, and 2 fumbles.

Note: I purposely left off anything from 2010 for obvious reasons. The sample size is too small to judge.

RB James Starks

2011 Projections: 544 rushing yards, 6 receptions, 40 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 fumbles.

WR Greg Jennings

2010 Projections: 72 receptions, 1,222 receiving yards, and 10 touchdowns.

2010 Actual Stats: 76 receptions, 1,265 receiving yards, and 12 touchdowns.

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 1,223 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns.

WR Jordy Nelson

2011 Projections: 58 receptions, 831 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns.

I thought I did his a year ago, but I can't find them. I think I drastically underestimated him, but his 2011 projections are eery similar to Donald Driver's 2010 projections.

TE Jermichael Finley

2010 Projections: 77 receptions, 1,006 receiving yards, and 7 touchdowns.

2010 Actual Stats: 21 receptions, 301 receiving yards, and 1 touchdowns. (4 games)

2011 Projections: 76 receptions, 1,022 receiving yards, and 5 touchdowns.

For what it's worth, I was a little worried I overestimated Finley in 2010. He was on pace to catch over 80 passes for 1,200-plus yards had he remained healthy. Ironically, I think I may have overestimated him again.

http://www.row12.com/

Wanna join the discussion?! Login to your PACKERSHOME forum account or Register a new forum account

wpr
Preferred Member

13 years ago

Packers team stats:

2009 10-7

2010 14-6

2011 19-0

I think the TD's for Jer Mike might be a little low. I figure he will have about 10. Over pretty good projections.

The_Claymaker
Registered

13 years ago

Not even giving DD enough love to project him? I don't think Jordy necessarily outperforms him.

porky88
Veteran Member Topic Starter

13 years ago

Not even giving DD enough love to project him? I don't think Jordy necessarily outperforms him.

Originally Posted by: The_Claymaker

I do these for every team and a ton of players. I haven't got to Driver yet.

My initial projections have him under 50 receptions though and he would finish fourth on the team in just about every receiving category. Driver is among my favorite Packers, but Jordy performed about the same as Driver a year ago. Plus, Nelson has improved in every year he’s been in the league.

Through the same span, Driver has regressed.

http://www.row12.com/

zombieslayer
Registered

13 years ago

Not even giving DD enough love to project him? I don't think Jordy necessarily outperforms him.

Originally Posted by: The_Claymaker

Check my sig. Driver's one of my favorite Packers ever. But this year, he'll catch 30 passes for 300 yards and 2 TDs. Jordy will outperform him.

Porky - Freaking amazing! I can't believe how close you got. I'd love to see anyone try to get closer. I do think you are high on Aaron's yards. He won't throw for that many yards because he won't need to.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

wpr
Preferred Member

13 years ago

Check my sig. Driver's one of my favorite Packers ever. But this year, he'll catch 30 passes for 300 yards and 2 TDs. Jordy will outperform him.

Porky - Freaking amazing! I can't believe how close you got. I'd love to see anyone try to get closer. I do think you are high on Aaron's yards. He won't throw for that many yards because he won't need to.

Originally Posted by: zombieslayer

That was my initial thought and I decided it is Rodgers and he has a great stable of receivers. Give him the 4000 + projection.

zombieslayer
Registered

13 years ago

That was my initial thought and I decided it is Rodgers and he has a great stable of receivers. Give him the 4000 + projection.

Originally Posted by: wpr

He didn't even need to throw for 4k last year. Why will he need to this year? We'll be nursing more leads and running the ball more, especially with the Grant/Starks committee.

The stat I want to see is 30+ TDs. I could care less about yards.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

DakotaT
Select Member

13 years ago

4500 yards and 40 touchdowns. 18-1 and another Lombardi trophy. Grant 800 yds - Starks 500. I don't even care what receivers do what. They are blessed to play with Aaron and for McCarthey.

Yerko
Senior Member

13 years ago

That is just scary how close your projections are. Do you get this close with every player/every season?

=d>

dhazer
Veteran Member

13 years ago

#10

I see finley getting around 30 catches for around 300 yards and 4 tds before another injury. and after that the team will become unstoppable again because Rodgers won't be forcing the ball to Finley 🙂

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

Important Information:

The PACKERSHOME uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. More Details Close

Fan Shout

dfosterf (26-Jun) : I think it would be great to have someone like Tom Grossi or Andy Herman on the Board of Directors so he/they could inform us

dfosterf (26-Jun) : Fair enough, WPR. Thing is, I have been a long time advocate to at least have some inkling of the dynamics within the board.

wpr (26-Jun) : 1st world owners/stockholders problems dfosterf.

Martha Careful (25-Jun) : I would have otherwise admirably served

dfosterf (25-Jun) : Also, no more provision for a write-in candidate, so Martha is off the table at least for this year

dfosterf (25-Jun) : You do have to interpret the boring fine print, but all stockholders all see he is on the ballot

dfosterf (25-Jun) : It also says he is subject to another ballot in 2028. I recall nothing of this nature with Murphy

dfosterf (25-Jun) : Ed Policy is on my ballot subject to me penciling him in as a no.

dfosterf (25-Jun) : I thought it used to be we voted for the whatever they called the 45, and then they voted for the seven, and then they voted for Mark Murphy

dfosterf (25-Jun) : Because I was too lazy to change my address, I haven't voted fot years until this year

dfosterf (25-Jun) : of the folks that run this team. I do not recall Mark Murphy being subject to our vote.

dfosterf (25-Jun) : Ed Policy yay or nay is on the pre-approved ballot that we always approve because we are uninformed and lazy, along with all the rest

dfosterf (25-Jun) : Weird question. Very esoteric. For stockholders. Also lengthy. Sorry. Offseason.

Zero2Cool (25-Jun) : Maybe wicked wind chill made it worse?

Mucky Tundra (25-Jun) : And then he signs with Cleveland in the offseason

Mucky Tundra (25-Jun) : @SharpFootball WR Diontae Johnson just admitted he refused to enter a game in 41° weather last year in Baltimore because he felt “ice cold”

Zero2Cool (24-Jun) : Yawn. Rodgers says he is "pretty sure" this be final season.

Zero2Cool (23-Jun) : PFT claims Packers are having extension talks with Zach Tom, Quay Walker.

Mucky Tundra (20-Jun) : GB-Minnesota 2004 Wild Card game popped up on my YouTube page....UGH

beast (20-Jun) : Hmm 🤔 re-signing Walker before Tom? Sounds highly questionable to me.

Mucky Tundra (19-Jun) : One person on Twitter=cannon law

Zero2Cool (19-Jun) : Well, to ONE person on Tweeter

Zero2Cool (19-Jun) : According to Tweeter

Zero2Cool (19-Jun) : Packers are working on extension for LT Walker they hope to have done before camp

dfosterf (18-Jun) : E4B landed at Andrews last night

dfosterf (18-Jun) : 101 in a 60

dfosterf (18-Jun) : FAFO

Zero2Cool (18-Jun) : one year $4m with incentives to make it up to $6m

dfosterf (18-Jun) : Or Lions

dfosterf (18-Jun) : Beats the hell out of a Vikings signing

Zero2Cool (18-Jun) : Baltimore Ravens now have signed former Packers CB Jaire Alexander.

dfosterf (14-Jun) : TWO magnificent strikes for touchdowns. Lose the pennstate semigeezer non nfl backup

dfosterf (14-Jun) : There was minicamp Thursday. My man Taylor Engersma threw

dfosterf (11-Jun) : There will be a mini camp practice Thursday.

Zero2Cool (11-Jun) : He's been sporting a ring for a while now. It's probably Madonna.

Martha Careful (10-Jun) : We only do the tea before whoopee, it relaxes me.

wpr (10-Jun) : That's awesome Martha.

Mucky Tundra (10-Jun) : How's the ayahuasca tea he makes, Martha?

Martha Careful (10-Jun) : Turns out he like older women

Martha Careful (10-Jun) : I wasn't supposed to say anything, but yes the word is out and we are happy 😂😂😂

Mucky Tundra (10-Jun) : I might be late on this but Aaron Rodgers is now married

Mucky Tundra (10-Jun) : Well he can always ask his brother for pointers

Zero2Cool (10-Jun) : Bo Melton taking some reps at CB as well as WR

Zero2Cool (10-Jun) : key transactions coming today at 3pm that will consume more cap in 2025

Zero2Cool (9-Jun) : Jaire played in just 34 of a possible 68 games since the start of the 2021 season

Zero2Cool (9-Jun) : reported, but not expected to practice

Zero2Cool (9-Jun) : Jenkins has REPORTED for mandatory camp

Zero2Cool (9-Jun) : I really thought he'd play for Packers.

buckeyepackfan (9-Jun) : Packers releasing Jaire Alexander.

Mucky Tundra (8-Jun) : (Context: he wants his defense to create turnovers)

Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2025 Packers Schedule

Sunday, Sep 7 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

Thursday, Sep 11 @ 7:15 PM

COMMANDERS

Sunday, Sep 21 @ 12:00 PM

Browns

Sunday, Sep 28 @ 7:20 PM

Cowboys

Sunday, Oct 12 @ 3:25 PM

BENGALS

Sunday, Oct 19 @ 3:25 PM

Cardinals

Sunday, Oct 26 @ 7:20 PM

Steelers

Sunday, Nov 2 @ 12:00 PM

PANTHERS

Monday, Nov 10 @ 7:15 PM

EAGLES

Sunday, Nov 16 @ 12:00 PM

Giants

Sunday, Nov 23 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

Thursday, Nov 27 @ 12:00 PM

Lions

Sunday, Dec 7 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS

Sunday, Dec 14 @ 3:25 PM

Broncos

Friday, Dec 19 @ 11:00 PM

Bears

Friday, Dec 26 @ 11:00 PM

RAVENS

Saturday, Jan 3 @ 11:00 PM

Vikings