I would never, ever go with the Bills. Don't let that one win fool you. They've been giving up a huge amount of yardage through the air and on the ground. Their number is a bit skewed because of facing a lot of passing teams early on. Next to that, they can't score points to safe their lives.
Against the Panthers, their only chance to win is stopping the run and hoping that Delhomme will turn it over. So lets take a look at how they've done against the run in the last couple of weeks.
@ NYJ
Thomas Jones - 22 Carries, 210 Yards, 9.5 Avg, 1 TD.
Leon Washington - 15 Carries, 99 Yards, 6.6 Avg.
If it wasn't for Sanchez' gift wrapped ints in that windy stadium, it would've been a blow-out. They didn't muster up a whole lot on offense.
CLE
Jamal Lewis - 31 Carries, 117 Yards, 3.8 Avg.
Joshua Cribbs - 1 Carry, 31 Yards, 31.0 Avg.
Again, they couldn't stop a back, even while the Browns QB threw 2/17 for 23 yards. They scored a whopping 3 points.
@ MIA
Ronnie Brown - 20 Carries, 115 Yards, 5.8 Avg, 2 TDs.
Ricky Williams - 16 Carries, 85 Yards, 5.3 Avg, 1 TD.
They once again got all run over. And barely scored themselfs, mustering up just 10 points against a struggling Dolphins defense.
Went a little overboard, but I think my point is clear, the Bills are going to have a very hard time against the Panthers, who have one of the best RB tandems in the league and have a defense that will be always somewhat decent as long as Fox is coaching there.
I'd put my money Caroline if the Bills are +7. No brainer to me.
The other two are really just gambles. Houston has been up and down all season long. If they have a good game, they could beat the 49ers. If they stink it up again, they'll lose. It's that easy.
The Bears and Bengals is just a guess, as well.