Oddsmakers have Pack as 1 point underdog· Page 2

warhawk
Senior Member

14 years ago

1 point underdog going on the road against defending SB champs. Too scary, home team is usually given 3 pts, oddsmakers are usually pretty close, I am taking the point and betting The Pack gets it done by beating Steelers outright.

http://www.usaplayers.com/news/2009/nfl/nfl-weekly-previews/week15/despite-differing-streaks-pittsburgh-steelers-favorites-over-green-bay-packers-12424.html

"buckeyepackfan" wrote:

You are better doing this every time you like the underdog. I assume your payback increases with every point you give up when taking the "dog" in a game.

Up to a certain point spread the numbers shows that dogs that cover WIN the game an incredibly high percentage of the time. If you pick the dog, give back the odds, and increase your take.

I also like the Pack in this game. Most often I would stay away playing the Steelers at home with rest but I feel at this point no matter what they would like to muster they can't.

You are also correct getting in early. Public perception with the Packers win streak and the Steelers losing will probably drive the line down to pick or Steelers +1 by Sunday. Having said that late big money may lean towards the Steelers with the kicker being the 10 days rest.

I think our defense will raise total chaos for Ben. The offensive line looks lost out there and with the multiple looks we will bring I think you will see him on his back often. If there was an over/under on sacks for Pittsburgh I would say the number would have to be 5.

"The train is leaving the station."

dhazer
Veteran Member

14 years ago

#12

Not bad Warhawk but are you forgetting Ben see more exotic blitzes in practice than he would from the Packers, plus he plays the Ravens twice a year. He probably knows the 3-4 better than some of our defensive players lol. On that note i say the Pack by 10.

Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)

zombieslayer
Registered

14 years ago

#13

Let's not underestimate the Steelers. They won the SB last year because they had the #1 D in the NFL. This year, they're #11 but if I'm not mistaken, it's because of injuries to some key players (especially the guy with the cool hair).

Never underestimate an elite D. In big games, it often comes through. Ah, Polamulu. I was having a brain fart.

If he is out against us, I expect to win by double digits. If he's playing, it's going to be a tough game. He's one of the best all around DBs in the NFL and his presence is a huge morale boost to that D.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

warhawk
Senior Member

14 years ago

#14

"dhazer" wrote:

I can imagine the scout team this week.

"Ok, they line up one DL over center and then....well, three or four other guys will be coming from who knows where, and, by the way, ALWAYS know where Woodson is too."

"We will get into how they stunt their DL and double-barrell the ILB's this afternoon."

Speaking of afternoon, let's take lunch.

"The train is leaving the station."

British
Registered

14 years ago

#15

We should hammer them, they're playing like crap.

But their season is on the line.

When ours was on the line, against Dallas, we pulled out a blinder.

(I hope they've checked the permutations and actually realise their season is over. NFL network said the other day the fact they're down on all the tie breakers means even if they run the table they can't actually make the playoffs.)

zombieslayer
Registered

14 years ago

#16

British - Teams still like to play spoilers.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

warhawk
Senior Member

14 years ago

#17

"zombieslayer" wrote:

He's out. I read an article this morning where he said he wanted to be back for the last game of the season just to get in a game before the season is over.

"The train is leaving the station."

DakotaT
Select Member

14 years ago

#18

Packers 28-10, and I'm not even worried about it. The only thing that concerns me is a couple of three toothed Appalachian boys taking offense to my Packer wear and throwing me off the bridge into the Ohio River.

And from what I saw from Arizona last night, we just may run the table going into the playoffs. 12-4 sure sounds nice, and what's that I hear...the sound of silence from the Tators.

zombieslayer
Registered

14 years ago

#19

Thanks Warhawk. Too bad as I like the guy and I'd rather beat the Steelers with him playing. We as a team could use the practice against elite DBs before we head into the Playoffs. Troy Polamulu is one of the most elite DBs in the game.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

wamj2008
Registered

14 years ago

#20

I like the Pack in this one, simply for the fact that momentum is on their side. They are not an up and down team, not knowing what you're going to get from week to week. I'd rather be steadily good than great one week and horrible the next. This team is steadily good, and the D only continues to get better.

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Zero2Cool (2h) : 49ers might be down their QB, DL, TE and LT?

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beast (20-Nov) : We brought in a former Packers OL coach to help evaluate OL as a scout

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Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He landed good players thanks to high draft slot. He isn't good.

Zero2Cool (20-Nov) : He can shove his knowledge up his ass. He knows nothing.

beast (20-Nov) : More knowledge, just like bring in the Jets head coach

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : What? Why? Huh?

beast (19-Nov) : I wonder if the Packers might to try to bring Douglas in through Milt Hendrickson/Ravens connections

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : The Jets fired Joe Douglas, per sources

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Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : When you cycle the weeks, the total over remains for season. But you get your W/L for that selected week. Confusing.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the total and percentage are the same as the previous weeks

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : the totals are accurate..nrvrtmind

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : I don't follow what you are saying. The totals are not the same as last week.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : ok so then wht are the totals the same as last week?

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : NFL Pick'em is auto updated when NFL Scores tab is clicked

Martha Careful (19-Nov) : The offense was OK. Let's not forget the Bear defense is very very good.

packerfanoutwest (19-Nov) : Who updates the leaderboard on NFLPickem?

beast (19-Nov) : Has the Packers offense been worse since the former Jets coach joined the Packers?

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Offense gets his ass in gear, this could be good.

Zero2Cool (19-Nov) : Backup QB helped with three wins. Special Teams contributed to three wins.

bboystyle (18-Nov) : Lions played outside thats why. They scored 16 and 17 in the only 2 outside games this year

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : The rest of the NFL is catching up to Packers ... kicking is an issue throughout league

packerfanoutwest (18-Nov) : Packers DL Kenny Clark: We knew 'we were going to block' Bears' game-winning field goal attempt

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Lions seem to be throttling everyone, but only (only) got 24 lol maybe the rain is why

Zero2Cool (18-Nov) : Packers vs Lions game doesn't seem so bad.

beast (18-Nov) : Dennis Green "They are what we thought they were, and we let them off the hook!"

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : comment of the day Z2Cool "Bears better than we want to admit. Packers worse than we think. It's facts."

Mucky Tundra (17-Nov) : my worst case scenario: Bears fix their oline and get a coach like Johnson from the Lions and his scheme

Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Bears get OL fixed amd we might have a problem

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Pretty sure they already have scouting reports on guys who aren't even starting for their college team. The future is now for me.

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : I tend to let Gute and Co. Worry about the future.

beast (17-Nov) : That's great news and Packers need to keep upgrading their OL, DL and DBs this off-season, so missing one guy doesn't kill them

buckeyepackfan (17-Nov) : Jaire and Evans Williams are both ACTIVE! Good news.

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : The badgers really need to change the whole offensive scheme. No draws no screens plus the quarterback is marginal

Cheesey (17-Nov) : If the Badgers had a decent QB, they would have won. The guy can't hit a wide open receiver

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : chop block

Martha Careful (17-Nov) : there was a very questionable job Block call that upon viewing replay was very borderline

beast (17-Nov) : How so? (I didn't watch)

Zero2Cool (17-Nov) : Badgers got hosed vs Oregon

packerfanoutwest (16-Nov) : damn,he hasn't played since week 2

Mucky Tundra (15-Nov) : poor guy can't catch a break

wpr (15-Nov) : wow. That three different things for the kid.

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