Zero2Cool
4 years ago

Looking at why the current WR66 could help you tilt your fantasy season in your favor. The immediate aftermath of the 2020 NFL draft  was a healthy dose of commentary on the Green Bay Packers  not adding any weapons to help the Packers “win now.”

The Packers have been insistent on being happy with the weapons they have and, frankly, they’re probably right. Allen Lazard  will be a better option for the Green Bay Packers in 2020 than any rookie pass catcher they could’ve gotten at the 26th pick in the draft.

Lazard  is big, can track a deep ball, and is still relatively anonymous in fantasy draft circles and in the national sports media. Lazard  had a really good last third of the season when he finally started getting the attention he deserved from Aaron Rodgers  and from the gameplan.

Looking at Lazard ’s success last year (albeit in little action) and how it adds up to winning Rodgers ’ trust, Lazard finished with the fifth highest situational success rate at WR, per Warren Sharp. Among WRs with 40+ targets, Lazard finished 12th out of 96 in passer rating when targeted (117.9). It’s one thing for a QB to have favorite targets, but another thing entirely when those targets actually equal analytical success.

It took time to build that trust, however, and for Lazard to earn his spot in the rotation. While receiving no targets in September, Lazard got 26 targets in October and November, then had that same amount in December alone. The Packers won five games during the month of December and Lazard was a big part of that success. He turned those 26 targets into 16 catches for 250 yards (15.63 Y/R) and two TDs.

Currently, Lazard’s average draft position is sitting at WR66. That’s snugly between future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald — who’s going to be 37 by the time the season starts — and rookie Tee Higgins. This area of the draft is, to put it nicely, not great, but Lazard can be an easy fantasy WR2 this year providing the most bang for your buck. WR66 is ridiculously low considering a few other numbers, too. Per Football Outsiders, Lazard was ranked 36th in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement (DYAR) in 2019 and was all the way up at 18th in DVOA. (Side note: DYAR measures the plays total value, while DVOA measures value per play.)

Davante Adams  is, rightfully, the Packer pass catcher to get the most attention, but Lazard should be in play for second on the team in targets. Securing the WR2 spot behind Adams  will keep him on the field despite the Packers going with more heavy personnel this season. Lazard is 6’5”, 227 pounds and uses that frame in run blocking to great effect. Per Pro Football Focus, Lazard was fourth among WRs last year in run blocking grade (82.0).

Lazard may have been a practice designee in his past, but that doesn’t mean he lacks pedigree to be a Pro Bowl  caliber NFL player. He was a USA Today All-American in high school and a four-star WR prospect who chose to play his ball at Iowa State, despite offers from Cal, Iowa, Nebraska, Notre Dame, and Stanford. Despite owning a ton of records at Iowa State, he went undrafted. He didn’t produce a particularly fast 40 time (4.55, still decent) and was considered a tweener prospect due to his size.

But sometimes it’s about finding the right fit and getting the right opportunity. Expect Lazard to be securing the edge and getting more looks like season in the passing game. If you can draft Lazard at a time when kickers and D/STs are being drafted, you might just get a serious game changer.

Continue Reading @ Jordan E. Smith 

Jordan E. Smith wrote:



Who knows!! But I'll take him in the 14th round.
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Fan Shout
beast (1h) : In other news, the Green Bay Packers have signed Zero2Cool to update their website 😋 jk
beast (4h) : Might just re-sign the kicker we got
beast (4h) : Are there any kickers worth drafting next year?
Zero2Cool (4h) : Preston Smith for Malik Willis
Mucky Tundra (4h) : Getting a 7th rounder from the Stillers
Zero2Cool (4h) : At least we get 7th round pick now!! HELLO NEW KICKER
Mucky Tundra (4h) : Steelers getting a premier lockdown corner!
Zero2Cool (5h) : Packers are trading edge rusher Preston Smith to the Pittsburgh Steelers, per sources.
Mucky Tundra (5h) : Preston Smith traded to the Steelers!!!!
Zero2Cool (6h) : CB Marshon Lattimore to Commanders
Zero2Cool (10h) : Bears are sending RB Khalil Herbert to the Bengals, per sources.
Zero2Cool (11h) : ZaDarius Smith continues his "north" tour.
Zero2Cool (11h) : Let the Chiefs trade a 5th for him
Zero2Cool (11h) : Nearing 30, large contract, nope.
Martha Careful (5-Nov) : any interest in Marshon Lattimore?
Zero2Cool (4-Nov) : What does NFL do if they're over cap?
Mucky Tundra (4-Nov) : They've been able to constantly push it out through extensions, void years etc but they're in the hole by 72 million next year I believe
hardrocker950 (4-Nov) : Seems the Saints are always in cap hell
Mucky Tundra (4-Nov) : Saints HC job is not an envious one; gonna be in cap hell for 3 years
Mucky Tundra (4-Nov) : Dennis Allen has now been fired twice mid-season with Derek Carr as his starting QB
Zero2Cool (4-Nov) : Kuhn let go
beast (4-Nov) : I wonder if the Packers would have any interest in Z. Smith, probably not
Zero2Cool (4-Nov) : Shefter says Browns and Lions will figure out how to get a deal done for Za'Darius Smith..
Zero2Cool (4-Nov) : Packers are more likely to have 1,000 yard rusher than 4,000 yard passer
Zero2Cool (3-Nov) : It's raining hard.
Zero2Cool (3-Nov) : Packers inactives vs. Lions: CB Jaire Alexander S Evan Williams C Josh Myers Non-injury inactives: WR Malik Heath OL Travis Glover DE Bren
packerfanoutwest (3-Nov) : Malik Willis: My focus is helping the Packers win, not proving I can start elsewhere. But he could
Zero2Cool (1-Nov) : I had Texans, but the loss of another WR flipped me
wpr (1-Nov) : I thought about taking the Jets but they've been a disaster. Losing to the Pats last week
Zero2Cool (1-Nov) : Surprised more didn't pick Jets in Pick'em.
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