Zero2Cool
4 years ago

Looking at why the current WR66 could help you tilt your fantasy season in your favor. The immediate aftermath of the 2020 NFL draft  was a healthy dose of commentary on the Green Bay Packers  not adding any weapons to help the Packers “win now.”

The Packers have been insistent on being happy with the weapons they have and, frankly, they’re probably right. Allen Lazard  will be a better option for the Green Bay Packers in 2020 than any rookie pass catcher they could’ve gotten at the 26th pick in the draft.

Lazard  is big, can track a deep ball, and is still relatively anonymous in fantasy draft circles and in the national sports media. Lazard  had a really good last third of the season when he finally started getting the attention he deserved from Aaron Rodgers  and from the gameplan.

Looking at Lazard ’s success last year (albeit in little action) and how it adds up to winning Rodgers ’ trust, Lazard finished with the fifth highest situational success rate at WR, per Warren Sharp. Among WRs with 40+ targets, Lazard finished 12th out of 96 in passer rating when targeted (117.9). It’s one thing for a QB to have favorite targets, but another thing entirely when those targets actually equal analytical success.

It took time to build that trust, however, and for Lazard to earn his spot in the rotation. While receiving no targets in September, Lazard got 26 targets in October and November, then had that same amount in December alone. The Packers won five games during the month of December and Lazard was a big part of that success. He turned those 26 targets into 16 catches for 250 yards (15.63 Y/R) and two TDs.

Currently, Lazard’s average draft position is sitting at WR66. That’s snugly between future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald — who’s going to be 37 by the time the season starts — and rookie Tee Higgins. This area of the draft is, to put it nicely, not great, but Lazard can be an easy fantasy WR2 this year providing the most bang for your buck. WR66 is ridiculously low considering a few other numbers, too. Per Football Outsiders, Lazard was ranked 36th in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement (DYAR) in 2019 and was all the way up at 18th in DVOA. (Side note: DYAR measures the plays total value, while DVOA measures value per play.)

Davante Adams  is, rightfully, the Packer pass catcher to get the most attention, but Lazard should be in play for second on the team in targets. Securing the WR2 spot behind Adams  will keep him on the field despite the Packers going with more heavy personnel this season. Lazard is 6’5”, 227 pounds and uses that frame in run blocking to great effect. Per Pro Football Focus, Lazard was fourth among WRs last year in run blocking grade (82.0).

Lazard may have been a practice designee in his past, but that doesn’t mean he lacks pedigree to be a Pro Bowl  caliber NFL player. He was a USA Today All-American in high school and a four-star WR prospect who chose to play his ball at Iowa State, despite offers from Cal, Iowa, Nebraska, Notre Dame, and Stanford. Despite owning a ton of records at Iowa State, he went undrafted. He didn’t produce a particularly fast 40 time (4.55, still decent) and was considered a tweener prospect due to his size.

But sometimes it’s about finding the right fit and getting the right opportunity. Expect Lazard to be securing the edge and getting more looks like season in the passing game. If you can draft Lazard at a time when kickers and D/STs are being drafted, you might just get a serious game changer.

Continue Reading @ Jordan E. Smith 

Jordan E. Smith wrote:



Who knows!! But I'll take him in the 14th round.
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Mucky Tundra (3h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan
beast (3h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings
bboystyle (3h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in
Mucky Tundra (7h) : Or ties, but let's be real here
Mucky Tundra (7h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses
Mucky Tundra (7h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch
buckeyepackfan (7h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks
Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak
beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Packers are 6th in sacks.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : RB David Montgomery will undergo season-ending knee surgery.
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Dan Campbell on onside kick with 12 minutes left: In hindsight, wish I didn’t do that
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : They have that whole 12th man thing so ...
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