23. Green Bay Packers
It's tempting to see the swap of Jordy Nelson for Jimmy Graham as a positive for the Packers, given Nelson's dramatic decline, but I'm not sure Graham is improving these days, either. He dropped off to 32.5 receiving yards per game last season, his lowest mark as a starter by more than 20 yards. Graham ran fewer routes, but he caught a pass on just 12.3 percent of his routes, which was his lowest rate as a pro. He made up for it by scoring 10 touchdowns on 57 receptions, but that 17.5 percent touchdown rate is a career outlier for the former Miami basketball player, and something Graham is unlikely to keep up, even with Aaron Rodgers under center.
If Graham doesn't at least challenge to be one of the most productive tight ends in football, the Packers aren't going to bless Rodgers with options. Davante Adams, now likely to be Rodgers' top target, still hasn't had a 1,000-yard season as a pro. (He will in 2018.) Randall Cobb, once a versatile threat at multiple spots in the lineup, has seen his yards per catch and receiving yards per game drop in each of four consecutive seasons. The Packers haven't had a single running back make it to 800 rushing yards once over the past three years, a feat only the Lions have matched. Rodgers will help this group play up, but we saw how little it was able to do with the star quarterback missing most of last season.
Barwell wrote: