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uffda udfa
9 years ago

There's a difference between reaching for need vs. addressing need at a the appropriate position for where you have a player graded. In other words if Ted had Rollins and a center graded the same, I don't see the issue with taking Rollins.

He still goes bpa, Hundley was.

Originally Posted by: musccy 



So, we didn't NEED a competent backup QB? I would argue we did. You're telling me Ted had Hundley rated below Jake Ryan? I don't think that's the case. I think Ted had Hundley rated way up there and since Hundley wasn't as big of a need as DB, return man, and ILB he didn't take him with the first 4 picks. Once he got to the 5th round he must've saw RIDICULOUS value. It's not like he saw some 4th round prospect falling to the 5th and just had to trade up. He saw a prospect he had rated very high falling WAY down and felt the value was too strong.


UserPostedImage
Ted Thompson sits on his hands per former GM: "because they’ve had 25 fricking years of great quarterbacks. Of course it works. Try it without a special quarterback."


Barfarn
9 years ago
It is incongruous to assert the GB DL stinks and then argue that TT, who passed on Malcolm Brown [or another DLman], drafts for need.

The reality is: Ted Thompson drafts BAP! The draft savvy fans know, teams don’t rank players 1 to 300 and scratch-off each player drafted prior to their pick leaving the team to pick the guy w/ the lowest #. GMs evaluate draft talent in TIERS. When it’s time to pick, it's often the case that there are several position groups represented in the available talent TIER. Amongst equally talented players the smart GM will establish the BAP by the player's ability to contribute sooner at his position group, or what fans call a position of need.

Remember this major logic flaw: just because 1 event proximately follows another, a causal link is not necessarily established!
uffda udfa
9 years ago

It is incongruous to assert the GB DL stinks and then argue that TT, who passed on Malcolm Brown [or another DLman], drafts for need.

The reality is: Ted Thompson drafts BAP! The draft savvy fans know, teams don’t rank players 1 to 300 and scratch-off each player drafted prior to their pick leaving the team to pick the guy w/ the lowest #. GMs evaluate draft talent in TIERS. When it’s time to pick, it's often the case that there are several position groups represented in the available talent TIER. Amongst equally talented players the smart GM will establish the BAP by the player's ability to contribute sooner at his position group, or what fans call a position of need.

Remember this major logic flaw: just because 1 event proximately follows another, a causal link is not necessarily established!

Originally Posted by: Barfarn 



Not one bit, although, I wanted ol' Malcolm. We had Raji, Guion and another 1st round bust in Datone and Mike Daniels for DL. I'm sure he was a little gun shy to waste another 1st rounder on a DL after his Harrell and Jones failures.

Who did we have at the other CB position? We didn't have any starter there. Hayward was viewed as a slot guy due to lack of speed. Outside was a question with him from Day 1. So, who was going to play there? It is not incongruous at all. Clearly, Ted Thompson was panicked we had no starter material for the outside spot opposite Sammy. Hyde or Hayward???? He lost House and Williams his former guys who started there.

You're really knocking back the kool aid to be blind enough to think the GM doesn't draft for need. He's done it for years.

So, the guy who won't plug holes with FA, is not drafting for need? Think. Think. Think. If he isn't getting NEEDS met in FA where is he getting them met? THE DRAFT. Where else? UDFA's? He DRAFTS FOR NEED and then turns it over to our staff to try and develop them. Why would you even fool yourself on this issue?
UserPostedImage
Ted Thompson sits on his hands per former GM: "because they’ve had 25 fricking years of great quarterbacks. Of course it works. Try it without a special quarterback."


musccy
9 years ago
As I've understood drafts, it's similar to what Barfarn described. Teams will rank in groupings, not necessarily strictly 1-250. Maybe a late first round group (or grade), a 10-15th pick grouping, or whatever the case may be.

You're choosing from Randall, Malcom Brown, and TJ Yeldon (obviously a hypothetical) who you all had at a similar grade. Assuming value meets the pick, you can still select at a position that benefits your team the most at that time while still adhering to a BAP philosophy. It's not some automated choice of "we had Randall ranked 28th, he's the highest remaining, so we must pick him."

With that said, I haven't been in a draft room, so just going off what I've read over the years.
uffda udfa
9 years ago

As I've understood drafts, it's similar to what Barfarn described. Teams will rank in groupings, not necessarily strictly 1-250. Maybe a late first round group (or grade), a 10-15th pick grouping, or whatever the case may be.

You're choosing from Randall, Malcom Brown, and TJ Yeldon (obviously a hypothetical) who you all had at a similar grade. Assuming value meets the pick, you can still select at a position that benefits your team the most at that time while still adhering to a BAP philosophy. It's not some automated choice of "we had Randall ranked 28th, he's the highest remaining, so we must pick him."

With that said, I haven't been in a draft room, so just going off what I've read over the years.

Originally Posted by: musccy 



I don't disbelieve that one bit. However, if Hundley is a very highly rated guy they had a 1st or 2nd round grade on you're telling me they had Montgomery and Ryan rated higher? I don't believe that. I believe Hundley was rated higher than Ryan without any question in my mind and most likely higher than Montgomery.
Ted Thompson jumped to move up because the value, in his mind, was outstanding. Hundley was higher rated than Ryan...not the same...but he NEEDED an ILB more in his mind than he did a QB so he picked for NEED, not BPA. He got his real BPA a round later when he traded up to get Hundley.

UserPostedImage
Ted Thompson sits on his hands per former GM: "because they’ve had 25 fricking years of great quarterbacks. Of course it works. Try it without a special quarterback."


musccy
9 years ago
We don't know what any of those guys were graded, though. 31 other teams let Hundley slide like that, so it's certainly possible the Packers didn't have him rated that high, just like other teams apparently didn't. No way we can know, though.

You can also guess someone would slide, Lacy had a "media grade" around 1st round but the packers passed on that need and went Datone, maybe hoping/speculating Ball or Lacy would slide.

uffda udfa
9 years ago
Here's something I'm disappointed in Ted Thompson for not doing... He was one of the guys I had in my draft record for who I would've taken instead of who we actually took.

Why we didn't spend a 6th or 7th on him is baffling to me. For those who love PFF, he was PFF's top rated OL after the 1st preseason game.

https://vine.co/v/ed29ud9evT7 
UserPostedImage
Ted Thompson sits on his hands per former GM: "because they’ve had 25 fricking years of great quarterbacks. Of course it works. Try it without a special quarterback."


Barfarn
9 years ago

I'm sure he was a little gun shy to waste another 1st rounder on a DL after his Harrell and Jones failures.

Originally Posted by: uffda udfa 



How did you know? I was in the war room; but now that you spilled the beans I can talk about it.

When GB was on the clock, Ted Thompson was catatonic, just looking straight ahead. After 5 minutes Elliot waved his hand in front of TT's eyes and asked if he knew GB was on the clock. Ted Thompson was unresponsive, Elliot whispered, ya gotta make a pick Ted, ahhh, Kiper is suggesting Malcolm Brown. Ted's quivering voice said, I cant, I blew it with Harrell and Tone cant go DL. He then fell on the floor crying, I cant go CB, Lee; cant go safety, mcmIllian; cant go LB, Hawk sucked for a #5 and Elmore, my god I drafted Elmore...OL, Sherrod; WR Koren Robinson and that cheap Taiwan glassman Murphy; RB Green, QB Brohm; TE Williams...[sobbing uncontrollably] They all suck, i suck., i suck, i suck.

Guntkust said to Seale, i heard him say something about Randle, but he might have meant Cobb. Seale said i like Randle; Guntkust said he liked his guy Rollins; they arm wrestled for it and Seale won. Elliot jumped up and said what about my guy, Gunter. Seale won a game of pin the tail on the donkey, so the pick was Randle! We were an ass-hair away from Gunter being our #1 pick.

Now ya know why Ted looked a little tired in the press conference.
yooperfan
9 years ago

How did you know? I was in the war room; but now that you spilled the beans I can talk about it.

When GB was on the clock, Ted Thompson was catatonic, just looking straight ahead. After 5 minutes Elliot waved his hand in front of TT's eyes and asked if he knew GB was on the clock. Ted Thompson was unresponsive, Elliot whispered, ya gotta make a pick Ted, ahhh, Kiper is suggesting Malcolm Brown. Ted's quivering voice said, I cant, I blew it with Harrell and Tone cant go DL. He then fell on the floor crying, I cant go CB, Lee; cant go safety, mcmIllian; cant go LB, Hawk sucked for a #5 and Elmore, my god I drafted Elmore...OL, Sherrod; WR Koren Robinson and that cheap Taiwan glassman Murphy; RB Green, QB Brohm; TE Williams...[sobbing uncontrollably] They all suck, i suck., i suck, i suck.

Guntkust said to Seale, i heard him say something about Randle, but he might have meant Cobb. Seale said i like Randle; Guntkust said he liked his guy Rollins; they arm wrestled for it and Seale won. Elliot jumped up and said what about my guy, Gunter. Seale won a game of pin the tail on the donkey, so the pick was Randle! We were an ass-hair away from Gunter being our #1 pick.

Now ya know why Ted looked a little tired in the press conference.

Originally Posted by: Barfarn 



At least Thompson was right about one thing in your imaginative scenario.🤣

DoddPower
9 years ago

Here's something I'm disappointed in Ted Thompson for not doing... He was one of the guys I had in my draft record for who I would've taken instead of who we actually took.

Why we didn't spend a 6th or 7th on him is baffling to me. For those who love PFF, he was PFF's top rated OL after the 1st preseason game.

https://vine.co/v/ed29ud9evT7 

Originally Posted by: uffda udfa 



I still don't understand that decision either . . . but from all 32 teams. The risk would have been worth the chance, especially on a loaded team like the Packers. Does anyone actually believe this guy wouldn't show up to compete with the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers when there is essentially an open competition at left tackle that he could realistically win and compete for a Super Bowl? If it didn't work out, bid deal. Disappointing for such a position of need for the Packers.
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beast (2h) : I was rooting for the Bears to win and hurt their draft pick status
Zero2Cool (2h) : Forgot there was even a game last night haha
TheKanataThrilla (2h) : That was terrible.
TheKanataThrilla (2h) : Watching that game in its entirety yesterday is proof positive that I am a football addict.
beast (3h) : And horrible time management multiple times... and not being able to score more than 3 points on a team with talent
beast (3h) : Realizing the Bears didn't fix it from the previous week and do the same thing, getting the game to overtime
beast (3h) : They probably are not tanking, but they've absolutely mismanagement some things, such as Vikings seeing the Packers blocked FG and realizing
Zero2Cool (3h) : Crazy of Bears to have that mindset that is
Zero2Cool (4h) : Hail Mary stop away from 5 - 2. Not sure how that flips to tanking. Crazy mindset if true
beast (4h) : I've quietly questioned if Bears are tanking on purpose... they suddenly got a lot worse with some simple concepts like 101 clock management
wpr (6h) : Watching bares fans melt down over how putrid their team is, so enjoyable. It's the gift that keeps on giving.
Mucky Tundra (14h) : The Seattle Seahawks defeat the Chicago Bears 6-3. Jason Myers had 6 RBIs for Seattle while Cairo Santos had 3 RBI for Chicago
beast (15h) : Not nessarily, he might of been injured either way. He's playing about 50% of the games the last 4 years
Zero2Cool (21h) : If they'd been more patient with him, he'd be back already. Putting him out there vs Bears caused him to tweak it and here we are.
packerfanoutwest (21h) : well this is his last season with the PAck, book it
beast (22h) : Sounds like no Alexander (again), I'm wondering if his time with the Packers is done
Zero2Cool (26-Dec) : Could ban beast and I still don't think anyone catches him.
Mucky Tundra (26-Dec) : Houston getting dog walked by Baltimore
packerfanoutwest (25-Dec) : Feliz Navidad!
Zero2Cool (25-Dec) : Merry Christmas!
beast (25-Dec) : Merry Christmas 🎄🎁
beast (24-Dec) : Sounds like no serious injuries from the Saints game and Jacobs and Watson should play in the Vikings game
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : both games Watson missed, Packers won
Martha Careful (24-Dec) : I hope all of you have a Merry Christmas!
Mucky Tundra (24-Dec) : Oh I know about Jacobs, I just couldn't pass up an opportunity to mimic Zero lol
buckeyepackfan (24-Dec) : Jacobs was just sat down, Watson re-injured that knee that kept him out 1 game earlier
buckeyepackfan (24-Dec) : I needed .14 that's. .14 points for the whole 4th quarter to win and go to the SB. Lol
Mucky Tundra (24-Dec) : Jacobs gonna be OK???
Zero2Cool (24-Dec) : Watson gonna be OK???
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : Inactives tonight for the Pack: Alexander- knee Bullard - ankle Williams - quad Walker -ankle Monk Heath
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : No Jaire, but hopefully the front 7 destroys the line of scrimmage & forces Rattler into a few passes to McKinney.
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : minny could be #1 seed and the Lions #5 seed
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : We'd have same Division and Conference records. Strength of schedule we edge them
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I just checked. What tie breaker?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes its possible but unlikely. If we do get the 5th, we face the NFCS winner
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Ahh, ok.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes due to tie breaker
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I mean, unlikely, yes, but mathematically, 5th is possible by what I'm reading.
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : If Vikings lose out, Packers win out, Packers get 5th, right?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : Minny isnt going to lose out so 5th seed is out of the equation. We are playing for the 6th or 7th seed which makes no difference
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, the ad revenue goes to the broadcast company but they gotta pay to air the game on their channel/network
beast (23-Dec) : If we win tonight the game is still relative in terms of 5th, 6th or 7th seed... win and it's 5th or 6th, lose and it's 6th or 7th
beast (23-Dec) : Mucky, I thought the ad revenue went to the broadcasting companies or the NFL, at least not directly
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I think the revenue share is moot, isn't it? That's the CBA an Salary Cap handling that.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : i mean game becomes irrelevant if we win tonight. Just a game where we are trying to play spoilers to Vikings chance at the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, I would guess ad revenue from more eyes watching tv
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I would think it would hurt the home team because people would have to cancel last minute maybe? i dunno
beast (23-Dec) : I agree that it's BS for fans planning on going to the game. But how does it bring in more money? I'm guessing indirectly?
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : bs on flexing the game....they do it for the $$league$$, not the hometown fans
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I see what you did there Mucky
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