This is my biggest problem, as well. You're investing a lot of money in a guy who's most likely on the decline, already. That said, he does show the kind of awareness and ability on the field that makes you think you could get another 4 years of really good production out of him. Next to that, an AB at 80% is still better than anyone we've had on the field since 2004 Javon Walker. I'm on the fence about this one. It's a big gamble.
I'd hope so. One of our biggest problems is that there's no viable starting WR next to Adams. I'd like for his targets to drop a bit. I don't know if Browns' numbers would take a big hit. He's already playing next to Smith-Schuster who caught 111 passes this year.
I agree if you're talking about the nr. 12 pick. The number 28-32 pick, I don't know. At that point you're getting into territory where you're not drafting the true top guys anymore. I know it's not a very good metric, but just to illustrate... Between '08 and '16, there've been 44 selections in that range, of which just 9 made the Pro Bowl. Again, not a great metric, but the chance you're drafting a Derek Sherrod, Kelvin Benjamin or a Beanie Wells is so much bigger than hitting on a guy like Eric Wood or Cameron Heyward.
Not taking the contract into account and looking at our current situation... I'd rather have 4 years of AB than taking a chance on a guy like Parris Campbell. AB would be ready to play immediately, something first year receivers usually can't do. Also, you're in a bit of a win now mode, with Rodgers most likely not having a lot more than 4 years of good play left.
Like most, though, I'm stuck on that contract. I don't see how you can make this big an investment in one 30 year old receiver, while you have holes at nearly every position on defense.
Originally Posted by: Rockmolder