StoicFire
10 years ago
A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
dhazer
10 years ago

A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.

Originally Posted by: StoicFire 



1) Blake Bortles texans

2) Derek Carr Raiders

3) Johnny Manzel Vikes

4) Teddy Bridgewater Browns

5) McCarron Jags


This I think is about right I think or flip vikes and Browns
Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)
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porky88
10 years ago
I just posted an article  on Johnny Manziel.

I would bet on him falling before Bridgewater. I also think Oakland could trade down from No. 5 and target Carr. The Browns could also be after him with their No. 26 pick.

Bortles to Houston seems likely. They sent the farm to watch his pro day. I think Bridgewater fits Minnesota well.
StoicFire
10 years ago
Bortles to Houston does seem pretty likely at the moment.

I'm thinking that Manziel will go off the boards next, because someone is going to fall in love with him.

Beyond those two is where it gets really tricky for me. I just cant get a good feel for where Carr, Bridgewater, McCarron, or Garoppolo will fall.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
porky88
10 years ago
My most recent mock draft.  

1. Blake Bortles to Houston
2. Johnny Manziel to Jacksonville
3. Teddy Bridgewater to Minnesota
4. Derek Carr to Cleveland

I would go with Jimmy Garoppolo in the second round to maybe Oakland. I could see Oakland trading into the first-round to select Carr and Cleveland trading back into round two to take Garoppolo.
texaspackerbacker
10 years ago
I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.
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porky88
10 years ago

I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.

Originally Posted by: texaspackerbacker 


I think they desperately want to trade down. Bill O'Brien does things by the book. In other words, he's more Bill Parcells than he is Pete Carroll. I think that works against Johnny Manziel. It's going to take somebody who thinks outside the box to take Manziel. O'Brien isn't that guy. He's a traditionalist.
Yerko
10 years ago
1. Bortles
2. Bridgewater
3. Manziel
4. Garrapolo
5. Carr
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StoicFire
10 years ago
As we get closer to Draft Day, I'm having trouble deciding which way to go.
I like the idea of taking an order from before the Combine, Pro-Days, and workouts. Something like this:

1 Blake Bortles
2 Teddy Bridgewater
3 Derek Carr
4 Johnny Manziel
5 Jimmy Garoppolo
Ending the run in the mid-late second round.

On the other hand, I wonder how much the Pro-days and whatnot have influence teams. Who's fallen in love with who?
Manziel on the rise? Bridgewater falling? Oh well, who knows?

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
buckeyepackfan
10 years ago
1 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M (TEXANS)
2 Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida (JACKSONVILLE)
3 Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville (BROWNS)
4 Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State (VIKINGS)
5 Tom Savage, QB, Pittsburgh (RAIDERS)

Texans may not keep Manziel, but he will be the 1st QB drafted, if nobody trades up for the rights to Johhny Football then The Texans will have their man.

Bortles to Jacksonville is a good fit.

The Browns continue their never ending quest to draft a franchise QB.

As do The Vikings.

The Raiders take Savage, even though Jimmy Garoppolo and several more qb's are rated ahead of him, because they are the Raiders!!!!

Added Bonus:

The Packers grab David Fales, QB, San Jose State, with their 5th round comp pick.
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Fan Shout
beast (6h) : Sounds like no serious injuries from the Saints game and Jacobs and Watson should play in the Vikings game
packerfanoutwest (11h) : both games Watson missed, Packers won
Martha Careful (12h) : I hope all of you have a Merry Christmas!
Mucky Tundra (23h) : Oh I know about Jacobs, I just couldn't pass up an opportunity to mimic Zero lol
buckeyepackfan (23h) : Jacobs was just sat down, Watson re-injured that knee that kept him out 1 game earlier
buckeyepackfan (23h) : I needed .14 that's. .14 points for the whole 4th quarter to win and go to the SB. Lol
Mucky Tundra (23h) : Jacobs gonna be OK???
Zero2Cool (23h) : Watson gonna be OK???
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : Inactives tonight for the Pack: Alexander- knee Bullard - ankle Williams - quad Walker -ankle Monk Heath
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : No Jaire, but hopefully the front 7 destroys the line of scrimmage & forces Rattler into a few passes to McKinney.
packerfanoutwest (24-Dec) : minny could be #1 seed and the Lions #5 seed
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : We'd have same Division and Conference records. Strength of schedule we edge them
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I just checked. What tie breaker?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes its possible but unlikely. If we do get the 5th, we face the NFCS winner
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Ahh, ok.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : yes due to tie breaker
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I mean, unlikely, yes, but mathematically, 5th is possible by what I'm reading.
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : If Vikings lose out, Packers win out, Packers get 5th, right?
bboystyle (23-Dec) : Minny isnt going to lose out so 5th seed is out of the equation. We are playing for the 6th or 7th seed which makes no difference
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, the ad revenue goes to the broadcast company but they gotta pay to air the game on their channel/network
beast (23-Dec) : If we win tonight the game is still relative in terms of 5th, 6th or 7th seed... win and it's 5th or 6th, lose and it's 6th or 7th
beast (23-Dec) : Mucky, I thought the ad revenue went to the broadcasting companies or the NFL, at least not directly
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I think the revenue share is moot, isn't it? That's the CBA an Salary Cap handling that.
bboystyle (23-Dec) : i mean game becomes irrelevant if we win tonight. Just a game where we are trying to play spoilers to Vikings chance at the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : beast, I would guess ad revenue from more eyes watching tv
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I would think it would hurt the home team because people would have to cancel last minute maybe? i dunno
beast (23-Dec) : I agree that it's BS for fans planning on going to the game. But how does it bring in more money? I'm guessing indirectly?
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : bs on flexing the game....they do it for the $$league$$, not the hometown fans
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I see what you did there Mucky
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : dammit. 3:25pm
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Packers Vikings flexed to 3:35pm
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : Upon receiving the news about Luke Musgrave, I immediately fell to the ground
Mucky Tundra (23-Dec) : Yeah baby!
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : LUKE MUSGRAVE PLAYING TONIGHT~!~~~~WOWHOAAOHAOAA yah
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I wanna kill new QB's ... blitz the crap out of them.
beast (23-Dec) : Barry seemed to get too conservative against new QBs, Hafley doesn't have that issue
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : However, we seem to struggle vs new QB's
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Should be moot point, cuz Packers should win tonight.
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : ok I stand corrected
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : Ok, yes, you are right. I see that now how they get 7th
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : 5th - Packers win out, Vikings lose out. Maybe?
beast (23-Dec) : Saying no to the 6th lock.
beast (23-Dec) : No, with the Commanders beating the Eagles, Packers could have a good chance of 6th or 7th unless the win out
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I think if Packers win, they are locked 6th with chance for 5th.
beast (23-Dec) : But it doesn't matter, as the Packers win surely win one of their remaining games
beast (23-Dec) : This is not complex, just someone doesn't want to believe reality
beast (23-Dec) : We already have told you... if Packers lose all their games (they won't, but if they did), and Buccaneers and Falcons win all theirs
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I posted it in that Packers and 1 seed thread
Zero2Cool (23-Dec) : I literally just said it.
packerfanoutwest (23-Dec) : show us a scenario where Pack don't get in? bet you can't
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