StoicFire
10 years ago
A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
dhazer
10 years ago

A coworker and I decided to try to predict the first 5 Quarterbacks picked in the draft this year, and the order they are drafted in. We aren't trying to guess the exact picks or teams, just in what order the top 5 QBs fall off the board. I've discovered that this is a pretty overwhelming thing to try to predict (seeing as I have no idea who is targeting who, where), so I thought I'd ask if anybody here has any insights. Any advice?

Or if you just want to guess as well, feel free to list the first 5 QBs you think will be picked.

Originally Posted by: StoicFire 



1) Blake Bortles texans

2) Derek Carr Raiders

3) Johnny Manzel Vikes

4) Teddy Bridgewater Browns

5) McCarron Jags


This I think is about right I think or flip vikes and Browns
Just Imagine this for the next 6-9 years. What a ride it will be 🙂 (PS, Zero should charge for this)
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porky88
10 years ago
I just posted an article  on Johnny Manziel.

I would bet on him falling before Bridgewater. I also think Oakland could trade down from No. 5 and target Carr. The Browns could also be after him with their No. 26 pick.

Bortles to Houston seems likely. They sent the farm to watch his pro day. I think Bridgewater fits Minnesota well.
StoicFire
10 years ago
Bortles to Houston does seem pretty likely at the moment.

I'm thinking that Manziel will go off the boards next, because someone is going to fall in love with him.

Beyond those two is where it gets really tricky for me. I just cant get a good feel for where Carr, Bridgewater, McCarron, or Garoppolo will fall.
"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
porky88
10 years ago
My most recent mock draft.  

1. Blake Bortles to Houston
2. Johnny Manziel to Jacksonville
3. Teddy Bridgewater to Minnesota
4. Derek Carr to Cleveland

I would go with Jimmy Garoppolo in the second round to maybe Oakland. I could see Oakland trading into the first-round to select Carr and Cleveland trading back into round two to take Garoppolo.
texaspackerbacker
10 years ago
I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.
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porky88
10 years ago

I can't see Bortles going to Houston; I can't see any QB going to Houston except possibly Manziel, and with the first pick, that doesn't seem likely. I think they use the first pick for something else, and maybe grab one of the QBs with the first pick of the second round.

Originally Posted by: texaspackerbacker 


I think they desperately want to trade down. Bill O'Brien does things by the book. In other words, he's more Bill Parcells than he is Pete Carroll. I think that works against Johnny Manziel. It's going to take somebody who thinks outside the box to take Manziel. O'Brien isn't that guy. He's a traditionalist.
Yerko
10 years ago
1. Bortles
2. Bridgewater
3. Manziel
4. Garrapolo
5. Carr
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StoicFire
10 years ago
As we get closer to Draft Day, I'm having trouble deciding which way to go.
I like the idea of taking an order from before the Combine, Pro-Days, and workouts. Something like this:

1 Blake Bortles
2 Teddy Bridgewater
3 Derek Carr
4 Johnny Manziel
5 Jimmy Garoppolo
Ending the run in the mid-late second round.

On the other hand, I wonder how much the Pro-days and whatnot have influence teams. Who's fallen in love with who?
Manziel on the rise? Bridgewater falling? Oh well, who knows?

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers
buckeyepackfan
10 years ago
1 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M (TEXANS)
2 Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida (JACKSONVILLE)
3 Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville (BROWNS)
4 Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State (VIKINGS)
5 Tom Savage, QB, Pittsburgh (RAIDERS)

Texans may not keep Manziel, but he will be the 1st QB drafted, if nobody trades up for the rights to Johhny Football then The Texans will have their man.

Bortles to Jacksonville is a good fit.

The Browns continue their never ending quest to draft a franchise QB.

As do The Vikings.

The Raiders take Savage, even though Jimmy Garoppolo and several more qb's are rated ahead of him, because they are the Raiders!!!!

Added Bonus:

The Packers grab David Fales, QB, San Jose State, with their 5th round comp pick.
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Zero2Cool (11-Mar) : digits of four
Zero2Cool (11-Mar) : four digits
Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : Eh, don't think so. better to split
Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : on new site, would Fan Shout and GameDay Chat show same messages?
Mucky Tundra (10-Mar) : The Hall of Fame stuff probably came from a scout as Zero said; at this point though it's hard to see them moving ZT from RT
Mucky Tundra (10-Mar) : Regarding ZT at C, Gute had said he felt C was ZTs best position after he was drafted.
Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : LB Oren Burks to sign a 2-year, $5M deal with the Bengals.
Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : Based on how it was worded at the time, probably scout.
beast (10-Mar) : I don't think the media person ever told the public the source, but Gute or LaFleur did say they thought Tom has earned his spot at OT
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buckeyepackfan (10-Mar) : Was that Gute or Lefleur or someone else?
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Martha Careful (10-Mar) : if we think CB is done, we have a poor roster
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dhazer (10-Mar) : to be honest the freee agent market isnt that great this year so I can handle a 500 yr or sub 500 is fine, i see us as 4th in division
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Mucky Tundra (10-Mar) : Slaton to the Begals=Guaranteed Big Boy in the first 3 rounds
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Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : Former #Packers DT TJ Slaton headed to the #Bengals on a 2-year $15.1M deal.
Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : 4-year $77M for Packers new guard Aaron Banks
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Zero2Cool (10-Mar) : oops
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