2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!

Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcwinmagicnumbers.html

Wanna join the discussion?! Login to your PACKERSHOME forum account or Register a new forum account

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

I still wanna win.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

PackFanWithTwins
Veteran Member

11 years ago

Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.

The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

This is the biggest test we'll face.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

luigis
Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Luis

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Originally Posted by: luigis

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nyrpack
Veteran Member

11 years ago

only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!

jimmy b.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#10

IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

Important Information:

The PACKERSHOME uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. More Details Close

Fan Shout

Zero2Cool (2m) : Packers were not selected for the 2025 Hall of Fame game.

dfosterf (2h) : PFOW Out of our division would be a good thing imo

Zero2Cool (3h) : Jameson Williams is done at 24 years old? What? He's a WR, not QB. I'm missing something here haha

wpr (4h) : Tomorrow is almost here.

packerfanoutwest (4h) : would you want him if Pack needed a back up qb?

packerfanoutwest (4h) : JW is done......stick a fork in him

Zero2Cool (6h) : You should. He goes to AFC that helps Packers.

packerfanoutwest (17h) : don't care

Zero2Cool (22h) : Lions shopping Jameson Williams?

packerfanoutwest (22-Apr) : Packers General Manager Brian Gutekunst says Green Bay’s roster can win, even without adding anyone in the draft.

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : It's a poor design. New site has SignalR like our gameday chat

wpr (22-Apr) : Ah today's Shout was very quick to post.

wpr (22-Apr) : now 3

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Who? What?

beast (22-Apr) : What is he supposed to say? He doesn't want players currently on the team?

Martha Careful (21-Apr) : meh

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Sounds like Walker and Wyatt will be with Packers for beyond 2026

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : It's so awesome.

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : new site fan shout post fast

wpr (21-Apr) : Slow posting in Fan shout.

wpr (21-Apr) : Only 4

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : If only we had a topic to read about and discuss it. That's something new website must have!!!

dfosterf (21-Apr) : Justice Musqueda over at Acme Packing put up an excellent synopsis of the Packers 1st round options this am

wpr (19-Apr) : 5 days

beast (18-Apr) : 6 days

wpr (17-Apr) : 7 days

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : sounds like Packers don't get good compensation, Jaire staying

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Nobody coming up with a keep, but at x amount

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Trade, cut or keep

dfosterf (16-Apr) : that from Jaire

dfosterf (16-Apr) : My guess is the Packers floated the concept of a reworked contract via his agent and agent got a f'

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Yes, and that is why I think Rob worded it how he did. Rather than say "agent"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Same laws apply. Agent must present such an offer to Jaire. Cannot accept or reject without presenting it

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : I'm thinking that is why Rob worded it how he did.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The Packers can certainly still make the offer to the agent

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Laws of agency and definition of fiduciary responsibility

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Jaire is open to a reduced contract without Jaire's permission

dfosterf (16-Apr) : The agent would arguably violate the law if he were to tell the Packers

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : That someone ... likely the agent.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : So, Jaire has not been offered nor rejected a pay reduction, but someone says he'd decline.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovksy says t was direct communication with someone familiar with Jaire’s line of thinking at that moment.

Zero2Cool (16-Apr) : Demovsky just replied to me a bit ago. Jaire hasn't said it.

dfosterf (16-Apr) : Of course, that depends on the definition of "we"

dfosterf (16-Apr) : We have been told that they haven't because he wouldn't accept it. I submit we don't know that

dfosterf (16-Apr) : What is the downside in making a calculated reduced offer to Jaire?

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers are receiving interest in Jaire Alexander but a trade is not imminent

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Jalen Ramsey wants to be traded. He's never happy is he?

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : two 1sts in 2022 and two 2nd's in 2023 and 2024

Zero2Cool (15-Apr) : Packers had fortunate last three drafts.

Please sign in to use Fan Shout

2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

34 - 0

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 3:25 PM

Vikings

25 - 27

Sunday, Jan 5 @ 12:00 PM

BEARS

22 - 24