2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!

Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcwinmagicnumbers.html

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nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

I still wanna win.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

PackFanWithTwins
Veteran Member

11 years ago

Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.

The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

This is the biggest test we'll face.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

luigis
Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Luis

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Originally Posted by: luigis

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nyrpack
Veteran Member

11 years ago

only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!

jimmy b.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#10

IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

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Mucky Tundra (15h) : With LVN that is; need to see what happens in the next practice

Mucky Tundra (15h) : beast, reading about what happened, it sounded like one of those "two guys collide and are moving slow afterwards" type of deals

beast (17h) : I believe Musgrave has been injured every single season since at least a Sophomore in highschool

packerfanoutwest (19h) : Matt LaFleur: “Highly unlikely” Jordan Love plays more this preseason

dfosterf (21h) : Doubs, Savion Williams, LVN, Musgrave all banged up to one degree or another, missing one here I forget

Zero2Cool (22h) : RB Tyrion Davis-Price is signing with the Green Bay Packers.

Zero2Cool (22h) : zero help, dominated. preseason

beast (12-Aug) : QB Jordan Love has surgery

beast (12-Aug) : Martha said Morgan had a lot of help, I didn't watch the OL so I can't say.

Zero2Cool (10-Aug) : Packers LT Jordan Morgan did not allow a single pressure across 23 pass-blocking snaps vs. Jets last night, per PFF

Mucky Tundra (10-Aug) : With buckeye and the reasonable couple, we're currently sitting at 10

buckeyepackfan (10-Aug) : Just posted to re-up on our FFL.

Zero2Cool (10-Aug) : If healthy after, then thats all I care. Well, no drops would be nice

wpr (10-Aug) : I made it through the 1st Q.

dfosterf (10-Aug) : Just gotta figure out how.

dfosterf (10-Aug) : Could have been a worse start, so there is that.

beast (10-Aug) : Yeah, someone tell the Packers football season has started, seems like they weren't ready for it

Mucky Tundra (10-Aug) : Sooooooo many penalties

Mucky Tundra (10-Aug) : It may only be preseason, but this game is a trip to the dentist

Zero2Cool (10-Aug) : Packers do bad -- FREAK OUT!!!!!!

Zero2Cool (10-Aug) : Packers do good -- eh only preseason

dfosterf (10-Aug) : Well that half was fun

Zero2Cool (10-Aug) : Great, zayne is down

Zero2Cool (9-Aug) : 13 minutes away from kickkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkoffff

Zero2Cool (9-Aug) : Had Celebration of Life for my uncle up north. wicked rain hope it dont come south

Mucky Tundra (9-Aug) : THE GREEN BAY PACKERS ARE PLAYING FOOTBALL TONIGHT!!!!!! THIS IS NOT A DRILL!!!!

Zero2Cool (9-Aug) : Woo-hoo

TheKanataThrilla (9-Aug) : NFL Network is broadcasting the game tonight, but not in Canada. Not sure why as no local television is showing the game.

beast (8-Aug) : But the Return from IR designations had to be applied by the 53 man cutdown.

beast (8-Aug) : It's a new rule, so it's not clear, but my understanding was that they could be IR'd at any time

Mucky Tundra (8-Aug) : *had to be IRed at 53

Mucky Tundra (8-Aug) : beast, I thought the designate return from IR players had to be IR at cutdowns to 53, not before

beast (8-Aug) : It's a brand new rule, either last season or this season, prior, all pre-season IRs were done for the season

beast (8-Aug) : But the Packers would have to use one for their return from IR spots on him, when they cut down to 53.

beast (8-Aug) : I think the NFL recently changed the IR rules, so maybe the season might not be over for OL Glover.

Zero2Cool (8-Aug) : Packers star Howton, first NFLPA prez, dies at 95 😔

dfosterf (8-Aug) : Apparently it is too complicated for several to follow your simple instructions, but I digress

dfosterf (8-Aug) : Zero- Did you see what I posted about Voice of Reason and his wife? She posted over at fleaflicker that they are both "In"

Zero2Cool (7-Aug) : Well, not crazy, it makes sense. Crazy I didn't notice/find it earlier

Zero2Cool (7-Aug) : it's crazy how one stored procedure to get data bogged everything down for speed here

dfosterf (7-Aug) : to herd cats or goldfish without a bowl. They reminded me of the annual assembly of our fantasy league

dfosterf (7-Aug) : out on a field trip, outfitting them with little yellow smocks. Most of the little folk were well behaved, but several were like trying

dfosterf (7-Aug) : Yesterday my wife and I spent the afternoon on the waterfront here in Alexandria, Va. A daycare company took about 15 three/four year olds

wpr (7-Aug) : seems faster. yay

dfosterf (7-Aug) : Wife of reason posted on the in/out thread on fleaflicker that both she and vor are in

Zero2Cool (7-Aug) : This page was generated in 0.135 seconds.

Mucky Tundra (7-Aug) : Tbh, I can never tell the difference in speed unless it's completely shitting the bed

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