2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

11 years ago

Interesting website.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfclosemagicnumbers.html

Even if Packers lose Sunday, they are NOT eliminated!

Packers Elimination Options for Week 15

Spot #1 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #2 - First Round Bye
The Packers cannot win this spot

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage
Case 1
Cowboys beat the Packers
Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #5 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Spot #6 - Wildcard
No elimination cases were found for this spot

Magic Numbers for WINNING
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcwinmagicnumbers.html

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nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

I still wanna win.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

PackFanWithTwins
Veteran Member

11 years ago

Spot #5 - Wildcard
Win by either 49ers or Panthers and the Packers would lose a chance for the 5th seed.

Spot #6 - Wildcard
Win by Both 49ers and Panthers and Packers would lose a chance for the 6th seed.

The Pack must win the division to get into the playoffs. I find it highly unlikely that SF and CAR don't each manage to win one of their 3 remaining games eliminating the wildcard spots for the pack. They will both probably do that this weekend with Car playing the Jets and SF against the Bucs.

The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.

The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

This is the biggest test we'll face.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

luigis
Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Luis

nerdmann
Premier Member

11 years ago

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

#1 seed: 0%
#2 seed: 0%
#3 seed: 1.1%
#4 seed: 5.9%
#5 seed: 0%
#6 seed: 0%

Total: 7%

Originally Posted by: luigis

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

11 years ago

It all hinges on the defense. Mainly the Dline. Can we stop the run?

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

No it all hinges on THE TEAM getting a little healthier everyday and THE TEAM putting together a solid performance.

Offense, Defense and Special Teams.

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

nyrpack
Veteran Member

11 years ago

only way they are getting in is if they win out and lions lose at least one game, then nfc north is theres !!

jimmy b.

gbguy20
Veteran Member

11 years ago

#10

IF WE WIN OUR LAST 2

AND THE LIONS LOSE JUST ONE GAME OF THEIR LAST 3

WE WIN THE DIVISION...NO MATTER WHAT THE BEARS DO!

just read a comment on PFT, it said, "this is perfectly scripted for a packers division win and superbowl win. gross."

FUCK YES

BAD EMAIL because the address couldn ot be found, or is unable to receive mail.

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Fan Shout

Mucky Tundra (26m) : But to say they are in is looking past the Saints

Mucky Tundra (26m) : That said, their odds are very favorable with a >99% chance of making the playoffs entering this week's games

Mucky Tundra (27m) : Packers are not in and have not clinched a playoff spot.

buckeyepackfan (1h) : Packers are in, they need to keep winning to improve their seed#.

Mucky Tundra (10h) : Getting help would have been nice, but helping ourselves should always be the plan

beast (10h) : Too bad Seahawks couldn't beat Vikings

bboystyle (10h) : We just need to win Monday night and were in

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Or ties, but let's be real here

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch

buckeyepackfan (14h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks

Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.

Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak

beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other

beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)

Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.

beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs

packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.

beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating

Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!

wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.

beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!

beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)

Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"

Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.

Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”

packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB

Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him

beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie

Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b

Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with

packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie

beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst

Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck

beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now

beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.

Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell

packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies

Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol

Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?

beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!

Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.

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2024 Packers Schedule

Friday, Sep 6 @ 7:15 PM

Eagles

29 - 34

Sunday, Sep 15 @ 12:00 PM

COLTS

16 - 10

Sunday, Sep 22 @ 12:00 PM

Titans

30 - 14

Sunday, Sep 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

29 - 31

Sunday, Oct 6 @ 3:25 PM

Rams

24 - 19

Sunday, Oct 13 @ 12:00 PM

CARDINALS

34 - 13

Sunday, Oct 20 @ 12:00 PM

TEXANS

24 - 22

Sunday, Oct 27 @ 12:00 PM

Jaguars

30 - 27

Sunday, Nov 3 @ 3:25 PM

LIONS

14 - 24

Sunday, Nov 17 @ 12:00 PM

Bears

20 - 19

Sunday, Nov 24 @ 3:25 PM

49ERS

38 - 10

Thursday, Nov 28 @ 7:20 PM

DOLPHINS

30 - 17

Thursday, Dec 5 @ 7:15 PM

Lions

31 - 34

Sunday, Dec 15 @ 7:20 PM

Seahawks

30 - 13

Monday, Dec 23 @ 7:15 PM

SAINTS

Sunday, Dec 29 @ 12:00 PM

Vikings

Saturday, Jan 4 @ 11:00 PM

BEARS