PackFanWithTwins
16 years ago
Since 2000, this is how the team has ranked in kick returning.

08' 32nd
07' 22nd
06' 31st
05' 32nd
04' Tied 14th
03' 5th
02' 25th
01' 30th
00' 3rd

Being nice, I will say that is 2.5 good years.

Wouldn't it be nice to consistently have a good return team so the O can start in better field position. It is time to quit the ST penalties on the returns, and to open some holes for the return guys.

I remember when Howard was returning, you would see the enzone angle and the holes were huge. Haven't seen anything like that since.
The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!
Bigbyfan
16 years ago
Will Blackmon isn't built as a kick returner IMO. He is a great punt returner, but the two are totally different. Returning kicks requires you to find a hole and hit it. Blackmon tends to do a lot of cutting and going laterally. This is bad obviously because he is stopping forward momentum when he has 11 guys running full speed at him.

It always seems we have to start the ball at the 23 yard line. I would like to see Tramon Williams back there.
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HoustonMatt
16 years ago
Interesting. I looked up the stats myself and found this tidbit of information.

Bottom 5 teams in average yards per kick return:

Green Bay
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Miami
Indianapolis

The 5 worst teams in terms of average kick return yardage have combined for 47 wins. 4 of the 5 could be playoff teams.

Conclusion: Who gives a shit about kick return yardage? It's clearly not much of a factor in determining overall success.
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all_about_da_packers
16 years ago

Conclusion: Who gives a shit about kick return yardage? It's clearly not much of a factor in determining overall success.

"mattresell" wrote:



Very interesting stat.

However, according to McCarthy winning ST battles and having favourable field position are important factors to him. KRs do factor into that, along with various other things.
The NFL: Where Greg Jennings Happens.
HoustonMatt
16 years ago

Conclusion: Who gives a shit about kick return yardage? It's clearly not much of a factor in determining overall success.

"all_about_da_packers" wrote:



Very interesting stat.

However, according to McCarthy winning ST battles and having favourable field position are important factors to him. KRs do factor into that, along with various other things.

"mattresell" wrote:



Which begs the question: Is McCarthy focused on the wrong things? My initial analysis of focusing on the bottom 5 teams this year, admittedly falls short due to small sample size, but a quick once over of the top and bottom 5 teams of the past 5 years in kick return average doesn't seem to show much correlation between the statistic and wins.

This could be one of those instances of popular opinion being dead wrong - similar to many baseball managers still believing stealing bases or playing "small ball" are effective offensive strategies even though they've been shown time and time again not to be so.

Anyone care to look further into this?
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Stevetarded
16 years ago
I think blackmon is ok, he did have a huge TD return get called back by a penalty. I also remember Jordy having a couple 30+ (I think) returns get called back.
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Rockmolder
16 years ago
Blackmon gets a good kick-return from time to time. He's not very consistent though, more of a high risk high reward returner. And indeed, that does usually work better on punt-returns, especially since you don't expect him to take it back very far.

Maybe Jordy can eventually be our good KR, the kid has the potential to give us some good field position. We'll see how they solve this problem in the off-season.

Giving up a spot on the roster for someone who can do little more than Kick-returning though, is pretty hard. I mean, even the Lions got rid of Drummond and he still seemed to be pretty good, he just couldn't catch a ball to save his life.
PackFanWithTwins
16 years ago
There may not be a direct correlation between good Kick of returns and wins. That doesn't mean it doesn't matter. And I would much rather be on the top end of the scale than the bottom end.

Returns do play a big part of the field position game. Team with better field position usually win and those with worse usually lose.
The world needs ditch diggers too Danny!!!
Nonstopdrivel
16 years ago
Hey, mattresell, I would appreciate if you'd contribute a statistical analysis of this topic to the Statistical Playground. One interesting thing to look at might be what was the Packers' record vs. their return-game ranking in the past 8 seasons?
UserPostedImage
TengoJuego
16 years ago
Getting anywhere passed the thirty is a success on Kickoff return in my eyes.
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packerfanoutwest (2h) : minny could be #1 seed and the Lions #5 seed
Zero2Cool (5h) : We'd have same Division and Conference records. Strength of schedule we edge them
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bboystyle (5h) : yes its possible but unlikely. If we do get the 5th, we face the NFCS winner
Zero2Cool (5h) : Ahh, ok.
bboystyle (5h) : yes due to tie breaker
Zero2Cool (5h) : I mean, unlikely, yes, but mathematically, 5th is possible by what I'm reading.
Zero2Cool (5h) : If Vikings lose out, Packers win out, Packers get 5th, right?
bboystyle (5h) : Minny isnt going to lose out so 5th seed is out of the equation. We are playing for the 6th or 7th seed which makes no difference
Mucky Tundra (6h) : beast, the ad revenue goes to the broadcast company but they gotta pay to air the game on their channel/network
beast (6h) : If we win tonight the game is still relative in terms of 5th, 6th or 7th seed... win and it's 5th or 6th, lose and it's 6th or 7th
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bboystyle (7h) : i mean game becomes irrelevant if we win tonight. Just a game where we are trying to play spoilers to Vikings chance at the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (7h) : beast, I would guess ad revenue from more eyes watching tv
Zero2Cool (7h) : I would think it would hurt the home team because people would have to cancel last minute maybe? i dunno
beast (7h) : I agree that it's BS for fans planning on going to the game. But how does it bring in more money? I'm guessing indirectly?
packerfanoutwest (8h) : bs on flexing the game....they do it for the $$league$$, not the hometown fans
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beast (10h) : Barry seemed to get too conservative against new QBs, Hafley doesn't have that issue
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Zero2Cool (11h) : Should be moot point, cuz Packers should win tonight.
packerfanoutwest (11h) : ok I stand corrected
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Zero2Cool (11h) : I think if Packers win, they are locked 6th with chance for 5th.
beast (11h) : But it doesn't matter, as the Packers win surely win one of their remaining games
beast (11h) : This is not complex, just someone doesn't want to believe reality
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Zero2Cool (11h) : I posted it in that Packers and 1 seed thread
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packerfanoutwest (11h) : show us a scenario where Pack don't get in? bet you can't
Zero2Cool (11h) : Falcons, Buccaneers would need to win final two games.
Zero2Cool (11h) : Yes, if they win one of three, they are lock. If they lose out, they can be eliminated.
packerfanoutwest (12h) : as I just said,,gtheyh are in no matter what
Zero2Cool (12h) : Packers should get in. I just hope it's not 7th seed. Feels dirty.
packerfanoutwest (12h) : If packers lose out, no matter what, they are in
packerfanoutwest (12h) : both teams can not male the playoffs....falcon hold the tie breaker
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