mac, thanks bud.
I never got the whole 4 point cutoff thing anyways. Rodgers is something like 7-3 in games decided by 5-7 points but those games weren't close I guess.
"macbob" wrote:
I don't get it either, but I was curious what the difference was.
"mi_keys" wrote:
If anything the cutoff should be 3 or less since you can make that difference up with a field goal. I'd be willing to bet the come back rate drops off from 3 to 4 points because you no longer have that option to settle for 3 and try for it in overtime. Don't know how to research it though without literally looking at the scores of every NFL game over a time period (or at the very least a representative sample).
"Zero2Cool" wrote:
But if that's the case, why isn't the cutoff 6, 7, or 8 pts? It takes the same (TD) to come back from that as it does from 4 pts.
Personally, I like 7 or less--it's any game that 1 score (and an extra pt, not a 2 pt conversion) can make up.
Just because it's also what ESPN uses for their close game stats in their splits section and that makes it convenient for analysis is just a coincidence. ::wink:
"Stevetarded" wrote: