CubanPenguin
15 years ago
Just out of curiosity I took Rodgers' stats from the preseason that were shown on another thread and decided to work them out over the year. S
Since he only played roughly half of all his games i multiplied that by two then added it up if he had played 16 games and got some pretty good stats.

His yards would be 3488

with 12 TD's

and only four int's

This is also with him playing only one play vs. the Titans and a game against the 49ers that is pretty much a write off.

Just going by this though his yards would put him in 11th just behind cutler and ahead of Warner. Also he would be ahead of McNabb, Rothelesburger, Eli Manning and Phillip Rivers.

The TD's aren't very good but it would still put him in the top 20 tied with Jason Campbell at 19th.

Now I know he won't only have 4 Int's but if he did that would tie him for second with Jeff Garcia and right behind David Garrard who only has 3.

Now I don't know about you but if he ended the season with those stats I would be a very happy man.

What do you guys think?
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TheEngineer
15 years ago
A little bit difficult to judge considering the limited play time he got in preseason (he didn't get full games). Might be easier to use a TDs per attempt, average yards per attempt, etc numbers and scale it up to around 500 pass attempts for the season.
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Greg C.
15 years ago
The TD to INT ratio looks good, but the numbers are way too low. I agree with TheEngineer that it would be better to scale it to 500 attempts.

I really can't take preseason stats too seriously, anyway. The sample size is way too small and too many things are different about preseason games.
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Zero2Cool
15 years ago
I think we'd have to throw in a few more INT's to compensate for garbage time INT's (end of half chucks) and the lack of inexperience.
UserPostedImage
HoustonMatt
15 years ago
For what it's worth, which is essentially nothing, here's Rogers prorated numbers based on 540 passing attempts. Favre threw 535 times last year. I don't think we will throw as much again this year, but Rodgers had 54 attempts in the preseason, so, well.....it's just much easier to add a zero to the end of his numbers. Close enough.

4360 yds
30 tds
10 ints
68.5 completion percentage

I can't see him putting up those numbers for a whole season, but if he did, that would make us the best team in the NFC.
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Jacob
15 years ago
He could do better he could do worse, we'll just have to see, if he plays like he did in the dallas game.... :icon_smile:
all_about_da_packers
15 years ago
I'll go a little bit of a different route, based on Rodgers throwing 486 passes, which I think is a realistic number for him this season.

3924 passing yards
27 TDs
9 INTs
68.5 completion percentage

Those are damn good numbers IMO.

Compared to Favre last year ( 4,155 yds/ 28 TDs / 15 INTs / 66.5 😵 it'll be in the same ball park.

If Rodgers plays that well this season then we should have a good chance to match our 13-3 record from last year IMO.
The NFL: Where Greg Jennings Happens.
TheEngineer
15 years ago

I'll go a little bit of a different route, based on Rodgers throwing 486 passes, which I think is a realistic number for him this season.

3924 passing yards
27 TDs
9 INTs
68.5 completion percentage

Those are damn good numbers IMO.

Compared to Favre last year ( 4,155 yds/ 28 TDs / 15 INTs / 66.5 😵 it'll be in the same ball park.

If Rodgers plays that well this season then we should have a good chance to match our 13-3 record from last year IMO.

"all_about_da_packers" wrote:



Well well, looks like AADP got pretty close in his prediction. Except for the whole matching our 13-3 record thing.
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shield4life
15 years ago
We are and supposed to be a 13-3 team, we just didn't play like one. Which made us 6-10 team
Glad To Be A Packers Fan.
vegOmatic
15 years ago

What do you guys think?

"CubanPenguin" wrote:



You need to do that for all quarterbacks to see if it's a statistically valid method to determine expectations.
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