We'll have to wait and see whom gets it.
But I think there was an old saying, general rule for NFL MVP, where if QBs threw at least 30 TDs and less than 7 INTs then they were locks for MVP. Of course that was with 16 games, not 17.
But using those numbers, the QBs currently in the conversation would be
For just the TDs part (out of 11 games unless otherwise stated) and rushing TD listed if more than 4.
[list]
26 Cowboy Prescott (12 games)24 Bills Allen (12 games) (9 rushing TDs)22 Dolphins Tagovailoa21 Chiefs Mahomes20 Broncos Wilson20 Chargers Herbert19 Packers Love19 49ers Purdy19 Texans Stroud 18 Vikings Cousins 18 Lions Goff 18 Eagles Hurts (11 rushing TDs) 18 Commanders Howell[/list]
To be on pace for 30 they should have at least 20 right now. And all of them are over 7 INTs except Prescott, Herbert, Wilson, Purdy, Strout, and Cousins.
But I think you could argue that the following should be eliminated due to INTs, Allen, Tagovailoa, (maybe Mahomes), Love, Hurts and Howell. All have 9 INTs or more already.
Saving Mahomes is his track record, and saving Hurts is the only one loss all season so far, but eliminate the rest, and eliminate Cousins (injured) and Goff (he's behind on the TDs and higher on the INTs) and Chargers are last in their division so taking Herbert out.
So my Semi-Finals list of which QBs should be considered of MVP.
- 26 TDs, 6 INTs: Cowboy Prescott (12 games)
- 21 TDs, 9 INTs Chiefs Mahomes
- 20 TDs, 4 INTs Broncos Wilson
- 19 TDs, 6 INTs 49ers Purdy
- 19 TDs, 5 INTs Texans Stroud
- 18 TDs, 10 INTs Eagles Hurts (11 rushing TDs)
I think Purdy is considered a system QB and he has the RB in running for MVP too. Stroud is a rookie and they're both under that 20 number currently.
- 26 TDs, 6 INTs: Cowboy Prescott (12 games)
- 21 TDs, 9 INTs Chiefs Mahomes
- 20 TDs, 4 INTs Broncos Wilson
- 18 TDs, 10 INTs Eagles Hurts (11 rushing TDs)
So yeah, Hurts is mainly being considered because the teams overall record of 10-1 and the brotherly shove popularity and he gets attention from it.
Prescott currently should be the lead for MVP race. That doesn't mean he'll get the most talk, but if the Eagles got 15-2 Hurts might get it anyways.
Also there is this video